thess Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Sorry, lurker non-met and I usually keep my posts to a minimum. However, tonight's posts are more cryptic than usual but tone seems pretty negative. Did we lose the storm for now? (Figured this would be okay in cliff diver thread.)Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 15 minutes ago, thess said: Sorry, lurker non-met and I usually keep my posts to a minimum. However, tonight's posts are more cryptic than usual but tone seems pretty negative. Did we lose the storm for now? (Figured this would be okay in cliff diver thread.) Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk GFS went north and had rain for NC. Still a long way to go, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 10 minutes ago, thess said: Sorry, lurker non-met and I usually keep my posts to a minimum. However, tonight's posts are more cryptic than usual but tone seems pretty negative. Did we lose the storm for now? (Figured this would be okay in cliff diver thread.) Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk The storm is still modeled just more north than last run. Maybe a Virginia snow event down into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Anything more than a flurry will exceed my expectations. Love snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Thanks guys. I appreciate the answers and I'll hush back up now. (I gotta quit this hobby--don't even have the technical foundation, so the ups and downs suck but are also often obfuscated due to my lack of knowledge. It's a unique torture!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 19 minutes ago, thess said: Thanks guys. I appreciate the answers and I'll hush back up now. (I gotta quit this hobby--don't even have the technical foundation, so the ups and downs suck but are also often obfuscsfed due to my lack of knowledge. It's a unique torture!) I know the feeling. I've been a lurker here for several years and I feel that I have a good handle on the jargon and can understand what others are saying. As to actually doing my own interpretation beyond what a map shows....I have a very long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Well i admit 0Z Gfs had me concerned and still does. Shows one possible scenario. But after euro and cmc i wasnt as worried and now the 6Z Gfs goes ham again. This will be an interesting week for sure of model hugging. Really appreciate the pbp last night by Grit and others! Lets get some good 12Z runs in today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Mornin'! Still feeling good about my Miller B call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 hour ago, oconeexman said: Well i admit 0Z Gfs had me concerned and still does. Shows one possible scenario. But after euro and cmc i wasnt as worried and now the 6Z Gfs goes ham again. This will be an interesting week for sure of model hugging. Really appreciate the pbp last night by Grit and others! Lets get some good 12Z runs in today. 6z Gfs please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Mornin'! Still feeling good about my Miller B call! With the 50/50 low trending stronger as the low moves toward the GOM, I'm a little skeptical of that. but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Mornin'! Still feeling good about my Miller B call! A good Miller B with good CAD that transfers to the coast at a lower latitude? Or a bad one with weaker CAD and gets north or our latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: With the 50/50 low trending stronger as the low moves toward the GOM, I'm a little skeptical of that. but we'll see. I hope you're right. I'm not generally a big fan of the Miller B. On the other hand, I would take the 6z GFS and call it a winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, FallsLake said: A good Miller B with good CAD that transfers to the coast at a lower latitude? Or a bad one with weaker CAD and gets north or our latitude? Front end snow/ice to rain. The pattern just doesn't feel right for a suppressed system to me. But I don't have much model evidence of it yet. Hopefully, it stays that way. For a good Miller B or hybrid Miller A/B thing, I want to see a huge high over PA or New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Mornin'! Still feeling good about my Miller B call! You and Shetley! Good luck with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: You and Shetley! Good luck with that! Speaking of Shetley, did y'all get any rain? It's been pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Speaking of Shetley, did y'all get any rain? It's been pouring here. 1.40" since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: 1.40" since yesterday. Nice. That's fairly robust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 31 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Mornin'! Still feeling good about my Miller B call! That would make me mod for a day on the se forum. Maybe he will make me mod for a day on PR too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 9 hours ago, packbacker said: Like I said...we aren't getting a snow storm before the MA gets there's. Just like Lions can't beat the Packers. We will always have the Navgem which was crushing snows for the SE in its 12z and 18z runs. 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 13 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: 2002. Yep...15 years ago last time we had a good snow event that missed the MA. Point was if we get snow typically they will too. I just hope someone gets snow out of this whether it's us or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 37 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Front end snow/ice to rain. The pattern just doesn't feel right for a suppressed system to me. But I don't have much model evidence of it yet. Hopefully, it stays that way. For a good Miller B or hybrid Miller A/B thing, I want to see a huge high over PA or New England. I tend to agree. It's amazing the blocking is so weak but the pv/50/50 stays so far south on most models, and so many high pressures are popping up right in the right place. I'm expecting to rug to be pulled out at any moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Ok cash me out with my 9.3 inches of fantasy snow on the gfs. I will call it a winter as well. Thanks for playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 hour ago, strongwxnc said: 1.40" since yesterday. 0.4" IMBY up here in the desert valley; which I guess isn't bad for a desert valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Come on everyone join the darkside of winter here in the Wilmington, NC area. Models have been hinting at that. Just need a nudge..........not trying to jinx anyone. Well nvm of course I am. 12z run will show snow for the northeast and nothing down here. Muahhahahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 36 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Ok cash me out with my 9.3 inches of fantasy snow on the gfs. I will call it a winter as well. Thanks for playing. You can't be a kid under that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The amount of trash taken out of the discussion thread must mean there is still a need for another banter thread In other news.....I see my ice storm is still being thrown out there at random #goofygfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Is it too soon to start talking about 850 track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 hours ago, No snow for you said: That would make me mod for a day on the se forum. Maybe he will make me mod for a day on PR too. Not it wouldn't and no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Paging Dr. No, paging Dr. No, urgent emergency for Dr. No! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Well if the 12z GFS comes even close to verifying I'm going to look a fool for my Jan forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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