buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 7 hours ago, lookingnorth said: Raleigh's up to a 29% chance of blanking this winter just given climo on no measurable snow thru the 25th. Meanwhile, OKC luckily avoided blanking on winter with a whopping 0.1" of snow on the morning of the 22nd when I was asleep. Now you're just rubbing it in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 We're in trouble folks. Big SE ridge looks to build in after next weekend for a while at least according to the EPS and OP Euro. More rain of course too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 44 minutes ago, wncsnow said: We're in trouble folks. Big SE ridge looks to build in after next weekend for a while at least according to the EPS and OP Euro. More rain of course too. I’ll get roasted for saying this - and that’s fine, but I wish we’d get at least a minor drought. WNC is becoming Seattle south. We can’t string together more than 2 dry days a week and when it rains, it rains 2+ inches every time. My yard is muck. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 has any model ever in any time frame been wrong by predicting too warm???? i ask because it seems here the word is the models are NEVER ever wrong that way....like yesterday here imby they had forecast high in mid 50s and low 40 and the temp hit 50 for about 5 minutes and the low was only 29...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 12 hours ago, BillT said: has any model ever in any time frame been wrong by predicting too warm???? i ask because it seems here the word is the models are NEVER ever wrong that way....like yesterday here imby they had forecast high in mid 50s and low 40 and the temp hit 50 for about 5 minutes and the low was only 29...... ^rhetorical question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Ok so I know it's TWC and all but it shows my lowest temp over the next 15 days as 36 and reaching 67 on Monday. Seriously? What a pathetic winter. BTW, just looked back at daily temps for the winter of 2011-2012, when GSP went w/o a trace. This winter has been SIGNIFICANTLY warmer. Just wow at this winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 5 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Ok so I know it's TWC and all but it shows my lowest temp over the next 15 days as 36 and reaching 67 on Monday. Seriously? What a pathetic winter. BTW, just looked back at daily temps for the winter of 2011-2012, when GSP went w/o a trace. This winter has been SIGNIFICANTLY warmer. Just wow at this winter so far. Winters over, if that’s even possible, since it never even started! Nothing but normal or above temps through mid February! I have not even had 1 sleet pellet. This is the worst winter I have ever experienced! The awesome 10-15 day phantom pattern changes and snowstorms, just add insult to injury! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 5 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Ok so I know it's TWC and all but it shows my lowest temp over the next 15 days as 36 and reaching 67 on Monday. Seriously? What a pathetic winter. BTW, just looked back at daily temps for the winter of 2011-2012, when GSP went w/o a trace. This winter has been SIGNIFICANTLY warmer. Just wow at this winter so far. Got to warm up and get thunderstorms, then snow 10 days later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 well after picking up school kids and lots of buses already out on the road Buncombe County decides to have a two hour delay even though last night the weather service put out a special statement about black ice this morning for Buncombe County, lots of buses had to take kids back home. Every county had called a delay early this morning except Buncombe, even Henderson County. Wake ups folks and be on the side of precaution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 well after picking up school kids and lots of buses already out on the road Buncombe County decides to have a two hour delay even though last night the weather service put out a special statement about black ice this morning for Buncombe County, lots of buses had to take kids back home. Every county had called a delay early this morning except Buncombe, even Henderson County. Wake ups folks and be on the side of precaution. No doubt. If you’re going to make any changes it needs to be before 5 AM on any school day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Almost here... https://binged.it/2U3griJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I find peace with this craptastic winter knowing we aren't alone. Mid Atlantic and NYC boards have been dumpster fires all winter. Takes the sting off just a little... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 In other news, I saw my first flake of the season today... In Indianapolis on a work trip. Currently 33 with on again off again flurries 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: In other news, I saw my first flake of the season today... In Indianapolis on a work trip. Currently 33 with on again off again flurries Win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 9 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: In other news, I saw my first flake of the season today... In Indianapolis on a work trip. Currently 33 with on again off again flurries I'd take 33 w/sporadic flurries right about now. sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I'm happy to see the 60s will be back for the start of Fab Feb! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 What a craptastic winter! The blockbuster cold pattern that was supposed to start next week went poof, thank god irs almost over 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: What a craptastic winter! The blockbuster cold pattern that was supposed to start next week went poof, thank god irs almost over At least it’s not an analfronal cutter yet. We could honestly use the rain. Need the crappy beds as far up on the bank as we can get them. Beetlespins aren’t as effective in deep water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 2 hours ago, WarmNose said: At least it’s not an analfronal cutter yet. We could honestly use the rain. Need the crappy beds as far up on the bank as we can get them. Beetlespins aren’t as effective in deep water They are already on the beds! Especially after next weeks 70-80 degree temps! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Well, kiss the next weekend possibility (8,9) CJ already talking about frozen! What a weenie! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I think the most depressing part of this winter has less to do with the lack of physical storms themselves and more to do with the lack of being able to geek out, track storms, losing sleep for model runs, and watching these threads blow up. Such a deflating season, because most of this board disappears until November. I just hate that the odds of tracking something fun are so low at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: I think the most depressing part of this winter has less to do with the lack of physical storms themselves and more to do with the lack of being able to geek out, track storms, losing sleep for model runs, and watching these threads blow up. Such a deflating season, because most of this board disappears until November. I just hate that the odds of tracking something fun are so low at this point. Amen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 20 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: What a craptastic winter! The blockbuster cold pattern that was supposed to start next week went poof, thank god irs almost over The blockbuster cold the GFS was displaying without ensemble support? Really liked our odds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Well, as the LR now takes us into mid February with no hint of a pattern change, you may as well find your nearest cliff and jump, if you haven't already. Getting into sun angle szn before too long which starts to eliminate this board from south to north with every passing day outside the mountains. Ugh I didn't have high hopes for this winter but did not envision a board-wide blanking (minus the mountains) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Well, as the LR now takes us into mid February with no hint of a pattern change, you may as well find your nearest cliff and jump, if you haven't already. Getting into sun angle szn before too long which starts to eliminate this board from south to north with every passing day outside the mountains. Ugh I didn't have high hopes for this winter but did not envision a board-wide blanking (minus the mountains) I believe parts of North AL got a couple inches of snow in December. Or is AL not a part of the SE forum ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, Snownado said: I believe parts of North AL got a couple inches of snow in December. Or is AL not a part of the SE forum ? It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The blockbuster cold the GFS was displaying without ensemble support? Really liked our odds... Ensembles always showed the warmth for next week. Should have a nice cold shot after the cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said: Ensembles always showed the warmth for next week. Should have a nice cold shot after the cutter. Our 2 days of slightly below average westerly sinking flow from the Apps... No arctic connection. No cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I swear if one more person spells arctic "artic" i'm going to scream !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Our 2 days of slightly below average westerly sinking flow from the Apps... No artic connection. No cold. It will be Arctic air. Just flushed out quickly with no blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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