superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 My winter checklist is a single flake of snow falling from the sky. I don't think that's going to happen, though. At least I saw snow on the ground when I went skiing, I guess? I actually got to see it snow twice last year (here in Tallahassee with our "historic" dusting in early January and about 1" in Greensboro while visiting in late March). I also saw it snow while I was on a vacation in Scandanavia in May 2017. But this winter I might get shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 You guys don't know how to handle this upcoming pattern change just like these models don't. Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 37 minutes ago, CADEffect said: You guys don't know how to handle this upcoming pattern change just like these models don't. Chill ^this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 We need packbacker 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 34 minutes ago, *Flash* said: Not to downplay any concerns of an empty-handed pattern change, but it's only fair to point out many locales in middle TN/other SE forum areas at/under 35°N haven't seen a flake of snow this winter. Not only have most of you had a grade A winter already...but you've had solid storms the past three winters. With much of this forum locked in an entertaining/memorable weather zone in recent years, count your blessings. You've been on the feast side way more often than the famine side. In agreement there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 hours ago, superjames1992 said: My winter checklist is a single flake of snow falling from the sky. I don't think that's going to happen, though. At least I saw snow on the ground when I went skiing, I guess? I actually got to see it snow twice last year (here in Tallahassee with our "historic" dusting in early January and about 1" in Greensboro while visiting in late March). I also saw it snow while I was on a vacation in Scandanavia in May 2017. But this winter I might get shut out. Take a look at the latest FV3. But you might be a little too far north... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 40 minutes ago, *Flash* said: Not to downplay any concerns of an empty-handed pattern change, but it's only fair to point out many locales in middle TN/other SE forum areas at/under 35°N haven't seen a flake of snow this winter. Not only have most of you had a grade A winter already...but you've had solid storms the past three winters. With much of this forum locked in an entertaining/memorable weather zone in recent years, count your blessings. You've been on the feast side way more often than the famine side. I have no complaints, but there are folks in SE NC, SC ,and Ga that are in a long snow drought (maybe half the board??). I would love to see at least one deep south and coastal snow storm; even if I got shutout. It seems like its been ages since the last one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 59 minutes ago, FallsLake said: I have no complaints, but there are folks in SE NC, SC ,and Ga that are in a long snow drought (maybe half the board??). I would love to see at least one deep south and coastal snow storm; even if I got shutout. It seems like its been ages since the last one. This is my second winter in Matthews, NC. I have yet to see more than a half inch of accumulation. A lot of us south of 85 are due for a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, southernskimmer said: This is my second winter in Matthews, NC. I have yet to see more than a half inch of accumulation. A lot of us south of 85 are due for a monster Yeah, the upstate of SC up to your location have had bad luck the last couple of years. There's been numerous storms where you're suppose to get a big storm and it doesn't pan out. That's probably worse then the folks farther east that were never in the game to get anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, FallsLake said: Yeah, the upstate of SC up to your location have had bad luck the last couple of years. There's been numerous storms where you're suppose to get a big storm and it doesn't pan out. That's probably worse then the folks farther east that were never in the game to get anything. Yeah. When I moved here from Greensboro I didn't really understand the magnitude of I-85 climo because it never affected me. It's painful as hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 28 minutes ago, southernskimmer said: Yeah. When I moved here from Greensboro I didn't really understand the magnitude of I-85 climo because it never affected me. It's painful as hell I can probably count on one hand the times Matthews did better than where I'm from in Gaston County in major events. 1/25/2000 comes to mind but then? eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 41 minutes ago, southernskimmer said: This is my second winter in Matthews, NC. I have yet to see more than a half inch of accumulation. A lot of us south of 85 are due for a monster Used to live in Indian Trail before moving to the mountains, the number of times I watched it rain while charlotte and NW got sleet or snow was agonizing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redteamllc Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I think it's about to get busy in here - not just the sanitatium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 hours ago, redteamllc said: I think it's about to get busy in here - not just the sanitatium. The south of 85 crew will definitely be posting here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: The south of 85 crew will definitely be posting here though. Yeah, only 384 hours from glory! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, only 384 hours from glory! I lucked out for the Dec storm 3 miles n of 85. But couldn't really enjoy the lead up because being on the edge you just knew you were getting screwed. And 20 miles south of me did. Feel bad for Simpsonville, Anderson and especially the ATL to CAE corridor. Sometimes I wonder if it'll ever snow down there again. Can't wait for the storm where the snow line is past CAE and all we have to figure out is how much we'll get. If that storm ever comes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 hours ago, Queencitywx said: I can probably count on one hand the times Matthews did better than where I'm from in Gaston County in major events. 1/25/2000 comes to mind but then? eh. The ridiculously obvious rule of thumb in NC is those north and/or west of a given location will usually receive more winter accumulation during any given season. Even within a single county. Individual storms might pan out differently, but this rule seems to hold true over an entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Waiting on snow said: The south of 85 crew will definitely be posting here though. I got my flake quota for the year... I'm past the point of giving a dam (pun intended) cause at this point it is all gravy for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Can't wait for this awesome pattern where we get to rain, freeze to death, warm up and rain, freeze to death again and repeat over and over again. What a shit fest! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Waiting on snow said: Can't wait for this awesome pattern where we get to rain, freeze to death, warm up and rain, freeze to death again and repeat over and over again. What a shit fest! Looks like it's time for fresh kitty litter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18 minutes ago, Icy Hot said: Looks like it's time for fresh kitty litter. It may be wise to buy stock in Fresh Step. I'll be using my fair share in the next month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 9:17 AM, FallsLake said: With the pattern change and with so much cold air moving into the US, I think we can only use the models out to about day 9. We're seeing big swings in the later days with each model run. The one big constant is the availability of cold air. It still may be early February until something pops, especially if we get unlucky with the day 10-16 period. But the euro weeklies and many mets think the rest of winter is going to be on the cold side. I think we're looking good. On a side note; many have posted what they would consider a good (A score) winter. I have four things: 1) Significant snow event (Check----already had the 12" in December) 2) Significant arctic outbreak, with at least a couple of sunny days with highs below freezing (looks like that is coming) 3) Significant winter event, which can be a mixed bad but has to limit driving, etc. (waiting) 4) Small winter event, which can be mixed bag but is picture worthy (waiting) So far for me: 1. Nope 2. Nope - short one coming - 1 day and 2 nights 3. Nope 4. Nope Other than a chance of flurries early Monday morning, I don't see any real chances of snow, sleet, or freezing rain this month. Hope I am wrong but I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 11 hours ago, yotaman said: So far for me: 1. Nope 2. Nope - short one coming - 1 day and 2 nights 3. Nope 4. Nope Other than a chance of flurries early Monday morning, I don't see any real chances of snow, sleet, or freezing rain this month. Hope I am wrong but I don't think so. I keep saying this, but you guys are due. I actually think this is the perfect "forecasted" pattern to give coastal areas snow. Strong blocking with strong highs that can suppress the storm track way south. Then when something does pop, you guys snow. **also if it gets cold enough, it would be cool to see bay effect snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 11 hours ago, yotaman said: So far for me: 1. Nope 2. Nope - short one coming - 1 day and 2 nights 3. Nope 4. Nope Other than a chance of flurries early Monday morning, I don't see any real chances of snow, sleet, or freezing rain this month. Hope I am wrong but I don't think so. Keep the faith man, there is some cold air incoming. I think before winter 2019 is over we get a suppressed coastal. Told my wife Monday that we would be snow chasing to the beach house in EI before it was al over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 13 hours ago, Waiting on snow said: It may be wise to buy stock in Fresh Step. I'll be using my fair share in the next month! I hope you’re not buying it for traction in snow?? Your wasting your money!! Save it for preemergeant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: I hope you’re not buying it for traction in snow?? Your wasting your money!! Save it for preemergeant! Well, someone just posted clippers in the discussion thread. If that's what we have to rely on to save this pattern change, well....I don't need to say more. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I've more or less given up on a wintry pattern for this area. I mean, that doesn't mean we can't squeak out a storm in one of these cold shots, but the SSW/PV split, -AO, MJO, etc. are all failing to materialize and the models are backing off a true wintry pattern. At least it's not two weeks of a heat ridge, so I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, WidreMann said: I've more or less given up on a wintry pattern for this area. I mean, that doesn't mean we can't squeak out a storm in one of these cold shots, but the SSW/PV split, -AO, MJO, etc. are all failing to materialize and the models are backing off a true wintry pattern. At least it's not two weeks of a heat ridge, so I'll take that. I'll take the heat ridge over rainstorms between Arctic fronts anyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: I'll take the heat ridge over rainstorms between Arctic fronts anyday. You'll have the heat ridge steady from May to September, and periodically March, April, and October. I'll take cold/cool anyway and anytime I can get it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I think many on here need to take a break or need another hobby. In the grand scheme of things it’s weather, it’s not a life crisis. I love it as much as anyone but keep it in perspective. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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