griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Jonathan said: Gonna go ahead and get the heat running here in the sanitarium. Gonna be a packed house soon! It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Already bought an extra large tub of popcorn. This week is going to be fun. In more ways than one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 23 minutes ago, griteater said: It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here Yeah, every storm, Frosty is like: what’s the models showing? Looks like I’m only getting flurries, congrats CLT, yadda yadda, then go time it’s: in up to 10”, I don’t know how it happened! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Looks like everybody forgot about Climo since last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Looks like everybody forgot about Climo since last year. What the hell is that... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: What the hell is that... . I'm sitting here trying to figure out how places like Carolina Beach and Orangeburg are suddenly CAD storm territory. It's a close enough shave up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 None of this matters until I see a model showing me 65° and sunny for the two days before the storm. Cant have a great NC snowstorm without the warm and sunny prelude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 hour ago, griteater said: It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here That's not very nice, grit! What comes will come, and we will take it. I will chase if need be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 hours ago, griteater said: It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here No I won't, I will simply flat out admit I was wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 hours ago, griteater said: It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here 1 hour ago, Queencitywx said: Looks like everybody forgot about Climo since last year. Indeed. It also seems we have forgotten that starting storm threads 6 days out ends up with a forum that contains 20 storm threads 18 of which fizzled out before a first flake. I hate to do it but for the sake of the forum going forward, I am thinking about banning this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Ehh, this thread is worth keeping. Doubt the storm will look anything like it does on the models today, but I guarantee someone in the foothills, at least, will get wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 56 minutes ago, jburns said: Indeed. It also seems we have forgotten that starting storm threads 6 days out ends up with a forum that contains 20 storm threads 18 of which fizzled out before a first flake. I hate to do it but for the sake of the forum going forward, I am thinking about banning this storm. I think it has value, simply for the sake of allowing people to discuss the LR pattern in a separate thread, when there's a ton of posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I think it has value, simply for the sake of allowing people to discuss the LR pattern in a separate thread, when there's a ton of posts. You would think that but the reality is something else. The mid-range discussion simply gets moved to the storm thread, because it is mid-range at this point, and the regular mid-range thread goes almost silent. Hopefully, this storm will verify but most do not. It leads to multiple gaps in coverage inside the mid-range thread. If someone in the next few years comes back in research something it makes things difficult. You end up having to look at 20 storm threads to find the one or two that actually occurred and there is no continuity in the mid and long range threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Can I have a late checkout from this thread? Also just slide the bill under the door so I can expense it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Can I have a late checkout from this thread? Also just slide the bill under the door so I can expense it. I take PayPal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, jburns said: I take PayPal. Will you take a check dated for 2042? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 34 minutes ago, WidreMann said: Ehh, this thread is worth keeping. Doubt the storm will look anything like it does on the models today, but I guarantee someone in the foothills, at least, will get wintry precip. I agree with Mr. Widre Mann. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 14 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Will you take a check dated for 2042? Cashiers check sure. I'll leave it to my son in the will. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, Wow said: I agree with Mr. Widre Mann. Keeping this thread was never the issue. It's the next ten. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 hour ago, jburns said: You would think that but the reality is something else. The mid-range discussion simply gets moved to the storm thread, because it is mid-range at this point, and the regular mid-range thread goes almost silent. Hopefully, this storm will verify but most do not. It leads to multiple gaps in coverage inside the mid-range thread. If someone in the next few years comes back in research something it makes things difficult. You end up having to look at 20 storm threads to find the one or two that actually occurred and there is no continuity in the mid and long range threads. It's an interesting debate, because I find some of the most interesting discussion to occur many, many days ahead of a storm....i.e. the timeframe where you are trying to sniff out the storm in the long range...and when you wait to start the storm thread, there is a lot of good discussion that remains separate from the storm thread (because it happened earlier), and that discussion gets a bit lost. But I totally understand that many storms fail so it doesn't make sense to start threads early. It's a tough balance, but the 5 day rule is solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I bet the MA forum is going into meltdown mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 hours ago, jburns said: Keeping this thread was never the issue. It's the next ten. Maybe a rule that it has to be on more than one global model within 7 days for more than 3 runs or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I remember when we used to not even really talk about storms until they were inside 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Maybe a rule that it has to be on more than one global model within 7 days for more than 3 runs or something like that. I think my issue with every storm getting a storm thread, it would make searching impossible and bury shit we might want to revisit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, WidreMann said: I remember when we used to not even really talk about storms until they were inside 120. and you'd get run off for posting 10 day model images. RDale would've had our head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: and you'd get run off for posting 10 day model images. RDale would've had our head. Man, that reminds me of when people would post those 10 day MRF images that showed the 850 0-line south of us with precip. It only showed that back it was 12 hours of accumulated precip, but 850 temps at the timestamp. These are cold fronts. Every year a new round of weenies would get excited over their inability to read maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Man, that reminds me of when people would post those 10 day MRF images that showed the 850 0-line south of us with precip. It only showed that back it was 12 hours of accumulated precip, but 850 temps at the timestamp. These are cold fronts. Every year a new round of weenies would get excited over their inability to read maps. and you'd only know it was all the way for real if the NGM showed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: I think my issue with every storm getting a storm thread, it would make searching impossible and bury shit we might want to revisit. That was my point several posts above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 The Euro gave me 30”, GFS 1” good times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: The Euro gave me 30”, GFS 1” good times ahead! You know nature will find a way to shaft you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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