superjames1992 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 6 hours ago, burgertime said: I feel your pain! But hey at least it's warm where you're at. My climate here during the winter is a constant 34 - 38 degrees with rain and wind. Biking too and from work every day. At least you get nice summers. Summer is a nightmare here. Winter must be brutal there, though. Cold and it gets dark so early in Northern Europe, yet no snow... Winter is pretty nice here temperature-wise, but I miss the snow. I need to make it to Amsterdam sometime. I haven’t yet made it to any of the Benelux countries for some reason, though I’ve been in every adjacent country. I know you’ve been there for awhile, but are you there permanently or will you be moving back at some point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 You know, I still can't shake the feeling that SOMETHING unforeseen is going to go wrong with this storm. An under-modeled warm nose, anomalous dry banding, aliens from space using their death rays to zap the snow before it hits the ground. And when it happens, this board is going to be near catatonic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, cbmclean said: You know, I still can't shake the feeling that SOMETHING unforeseen is going to go wrong with this storm. An under-modeled warm nose, anomalous dry banding, aliens from space using their death rays to zap the snow before it hits the ground. And when it happens, this board is going to be near catatonic. The storm is still 3-4 days out, so there’s plenty of time for this one to head south in a big way. It’s not like we haven’t seen that song and dance before... Not that I expect that to happen here, but there’s always that chance. I would imagine there’s going to be some sneaky warm noses, maybe in the 750ish mb range, that are going to cause more sleet than some might expect. That seems so common with these systems. I know I’ve seen many storms in GSO where there would be 12-24” gaudy clown map totals for days leading up to the storm only to end up with 6-8” of snow/sleet because of that mixing. Which is still a nice storm, mind you.. The NAM seems like it usually does a good job with the mid-level thermals, so that’s probably one to pay attention to when we get closer (<48 hours). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, superjames1992 said: The storm is still 3-4 days out, so there’s plenty of time for this one to head south in a big way. It’s not like we haven’t seen that song and dance before... Not that I expect that to happen here, but there’s always that chance. By the way, I like your little header "1899 Repeat, Please". I learned about the great 1899 cold outbreak in my well-loved copy of Christopher C. Burt's "Extreme Weather". -2 F in Tallehassee! Here is a link to a journal article about it. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434(1988)003<0305%3ATGAOAE>2.0.CO%3B2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 The contradictory PBP posts crack me up. Less QPF. No, it’s more. Tad south. No, it’s north. Well, I think it’s the same. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I swear to god some of us have to be on acid or mushrooms to see the things we are seeing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Ill stick with the latest gfs run...has me getting 2 inches or less with around a foot about 20 miles to my north and west. Exactly what id expect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 who would have ever thought that people in this sub forum would be flipping out for having their 24" clown maps downsized to 15"??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 As expected the snow map wasnt quite as crazy with amounts due to slightly less QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Poimen said: who would have ever thought that people in this sub forum would be flipping out for having their 24" clown maps downsized to 15"??? I’d cash in my chips for 12” in GSO and get an Uber ride from the casino. No complaining about that in early December. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 11 minutes ago, wncsnow said: As expected the snow map wasnt quite as crazy with amounts due to slightly less QPF. Don't look at the snow maps, look at QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 hour ago, superjames1992 said: At least you get nice summers. Summer is a nightmare here. Winter must be brutal there, though. Cold and it gets dark so early in Northern Europe, yet no snow... Winter is pretty nice here temperature-wise, but I miss the snow. I need to make it to Amsterdam sometime. I haven’t yet made it to any of the Benelux countries for some reason, though I’ve been in every adjacent country. I know you’ve been there for awhile, but are you there permanently or will you be moving back at some point? Dude of you come def let me know! You're welcome to stay with me and use it as a base. I really want to be in the Marijuana biz so I could see moving back for that but I am really happy here and I'm working on another project in the UK outside of my normal job. So for The next two years I feel like I'll be here and thinking about buying a place. Problem is no one knows what's going on with Brexit. You are right about the summers though. This Summer was too hot...it was nearly 90 most of the summer with a few days topping close to 100! Maybe it's because of the winter but when it's nice out everyone is out at the park or doing something outside! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 hour ago, superjames1992 said: At least you get nice summers. Summer is a nightmare here. Winter must be brutal there, though. Cold and it gets dark so early in Northern Europe, yet no snow... Winter is pretty nice here temperature-wise, but I miss the snow. I need to make it to Amsterdam sometime. I haven’t yet made it to any of the Benelux countries for some reason, though I’ve been in every adjacent country. I know you’ve been there for awhile, but are you there permanently or will you be moving back at some point? Dude of you come def let me know! You're welcome to stay with me and use it as a base. I really want to be in the Marijuana biz so I could see moving back for that but I am really happy here and I'm working on another project in the UK outside of my normal job. So for The next two years I feel like I'll be here and thinking about buying a place. Problem is no one knows what's going on with Brexit. You are right about the summers though. This Summer was too hot...it was nearly 90 most of the summer with a few days topping close to 100! Maybe it's because of the winter but when it's nice out everyone is out at the park or doing something outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 hours ago, Wow said: What the heck are you doing over there? Tracking snowstorms aren't the same knowing you're not in the game with us anymore. At least you came back for the model pbp's. BOOM! I'm asking myself that John . I have a company Christmas party tonight and other than that a long weekend. So might as well do something fun? Plus once I saw the models I got sucked in. Hard not be excited even over here! Hope all is well with you! Thanks for the kind words. That's how you know it's a great community here. Even the ones who leave keep coming back...or is that a cult? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Are we worried about convection from the gulf coast yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: I don’t care if my 10” gets washed away by rain! Don't worry, our ten inches will compact to two with all the IP/ZR. Going to be tough watching Hendersonville get two feet while we get two inches. Not fair dang it! Yet another with the Pickens Oconee screw job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 48 minutes ago, burgertime said: I'm asking myself that John . I have a company Christmas party tonight and other than that a long weekend. So might as well do something fun? Plus once I saw the models I got sucked in. Hard not be excited even over here! Hope all is well with you! Thanks for the kind words. That's how you know it's a great community here. Even the ones who leave keep coming back...or is that a cult? You are such a good dude! Miss you over here brother! I am looking forward to the legalization of MJ here in the ole bible belt of NC. If I am not mistaken, Amsterdam has legalized MJ? LUCKY DAWG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Mack jackpots on the Euro, toss it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, JoshM said: Mack jackpots on the Euro, toss it! Exactly! That was the stupidest run I’ve seen in 5 days! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 5 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Exactly! That was the stupidest run I’ve seen in 5 days! We can cry together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 33 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: We can cry together. The boogie man, tooth fairy, and the Easter bunny may not be real, but that warm nose is very much real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, No snow for you said: The boogie man, tooth fairy, and the Easter bunny may not be real, but that warm nose is very much real. And it always wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 20 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: And it always wins Did you really email the CAE office and call them out? That has to have made their day that some message board hero is calling them out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: Did you really email the CAE office and call them out? That has to have made their day that some message board hero is calling them out... And did they respond? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 nam already firing the warning shots showing minimal to no snow for clt and all rain and sleet at the onset. i know how this movie ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I will not let myself buy into the models. They have broken my heart too many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Meh. I’m a bitter party of one. I love living in Raleigh and truly wouldn’t want to live anywhere else but I’m really tired of getting jack squat when it comes to snow. Charlotte getting more than us Wake County residents is a real WTF. I’m used to it for the Triad but Charlotte and upstate SC getting more? I’m convinced that we are just cursed when it comes to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 It's too early in the season to already be tired of half the posters on here. Gonna be a long winter of model watching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, snowinnc said: Meh. I’m a bitter party of one. I love living in Raleigh and truly wouldn’t want to live anywhere else but I’m really tired of getting jack squat when it comes to snow. Charlotte getting more than us Wake County residents is a real WTF. I’m used to it for the Triad but Charlotte and upstate SC getting more? I’m convinced that we are just cursed when it comes to snow. Upstate SC won't get more snow than Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, snowinnc said: Meh. I’m a bitter party of one. I love living in Raleigh and truly wouldn’t want to live anywhere else but I’m really tired of getting jack squat when it comes to snow. Charlotte getting more than us Wake County residents is a real WTF. I’m used to it for the Triad but Charlotte and upstate SC getting more? I’m convinced that we are just cursed when it comes to snow. I live just south of charlotte. I cant remember the last time we got more snow than my parents who live in raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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