mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I'm sure we will trend colder and snowier as we head into next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I like it when it goes off the color scale! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Just now, mackerel_sky said: I'm sure we will trend colder and snowier as we head into next week! Yes! That's the spirit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Good news and bad news on the EPS.... Bad news says we are a cool rain next Fri-Sat...good news we won't have to worry about tracking a storm for a while. Still hope we get a 1-2" sometime...but with winter supposedly getting progressively warmer into Feb I am ready to pull my money off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I'll make a New Year's bet - if everyone really, really, started pulling (on your knees praying) for a MAN January and really wanted warm and rain and none of that cold stuff, we'd all be so disappointed with the resulting numbing, relentless, ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: Good news and bad news on the EPS.... Bad news says we are a cool rain next Fri-Sat...good news we won't have to worry about tracking a storm for a while. Still hope we get a 1-2" sometime...but with winter supposedly getting progressively warmer into Feb I am ready to pull my money off the table. Pack- is it really that bad? Inevitably there will be a positive surprise sometime down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 9 minutes ago, packbacker said: Good news and bad news on the EPS.... Bad news says we are a cool rain next Fri-Sat...good news we won't have to worry about tracking a storm for a while. Still hope we get a 1-2" sometime...but with winter supposedly getting progressively warmer into Feb I am ready to pull my money off the table. I'm usually as optomistic as anyone. But you have to call a spade a spade. If we whiff at the end of next week and I see no reason why we wont, then it's gonna be tough with the February outlooks I've been reading. Bottom line is by next weekend we will be 5 weeks down and 7 to go. Never been shutout and definetly to early to make that call, but if we can score one event this year it's a win in my book. Was hoping wed score the first half of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I was browsing the Ohio Valley forum and the mood there seems to be a little more positive than in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 18 minutes ago, packbacker said: Good news and bad news on the EPS.... Bad news says we are a cool rain next Fri-Sat...good news we won't have to worry about tracking a storm for a while. Still hope we get a 1-2" sometime...but with winter supposedly getting progressively warmer into Feb I am ready to pull my money off the table. The -AO/-NAO looks like it's got staying power, but the lack of a +PNA is killer as the trough stays in the west the whole run and the SE ridge still hangs around. Looks like we're still cool at 240 but not cold. It's amazing we complain for a -NAO then we get it....then we find another way to lose. It's -NAO, but not west based, so I guess that doesn't count.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Just now, Snowless in Carrollton said: I was browsing the Ohio Valley forum and the mood there seems to be a little more positive than in this forum. Try reading the New York forum. They started a Jan 7th storm thread. It has since been locked, but they are understandably amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 The DGEX will save us!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I'm looking at pics on the New England forum and I'm so jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Gut feeling says were not quite done with this system yet. Not saying it will happen, but I bet we get 1 or 2 good model runs a couple days from now. Always happens at least once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Where is the navgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 21 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: I'm usually as optomistic as anyone. But you have to call a spade a spade. If we whiff at the end of next week and I see no reason why we wont, then it's gonna be tough with the February outlooks I've been reading. Bottom line is by next weekend we will be 5 weeks down and 7 to go. Never been shutout and definetly to early to make that call, but if we can score one event this year it's a win in my book. Was hoping wed score the first half of winter. I'd still be fairly confident that Greensboro won't whiff, though. That seems to be exceedingly rare, historically. Of course, a 1-incher might be all that keeps it from being a total skunked, but I'd lean towards something before winter is done, still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 So we're done because of today's 12z runs? Man good thing they didn't have these great consistent models years ago!!! Mets would've pulled their hair out (Every Day). 70s and Golf sounds good to me!!! IF it's not gonna snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Prepare for MAJOR WINTER STORM in parts of the upper SE late next week. Now you've had your warning!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 10 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Prepare for MAJOR WINTER STORM in parts of the upper SE late next week. Now you've had your warning!!! JB told you that on yalls conference call today with Wilkesdud??! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 1 hour ago, debeaches said: Pack- is it really that bad? Inevitably there will be a positive surprise sometime down the road. Actually the day 6 and 7 h5 was fairly nice looking and was thinking it would at least be as good as the 0z but then the Atlantic block retreats quicker day 7-8 and that was that. Still looks like it's burying more energy in the sw though. Just thinking that climo favors TN up to NE with such a strong - PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 JB is convinced that just because the EPO is so strongly negative that with AO/NAO looking to go solidly negative is enough to kick the trough east after next week. 60/62 has had a lot of similarities to what we are seeing, but trough for the most part stayed in the west that Jan and we battled a SER. Both of these winters were weak Nina and wQBO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 24 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Prepare for MAJOR WINTER STORM in parts of the upper SE late next week. Now you've had your warning!!! Yes, upper SE = Northern Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 1 minute ago, SnowNiner said: Yes, upper SE = Northern Virginia. Wrong = Parts of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 17 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: JB told you that on yalls conference call today with Wilkesdud??! You know it, Big Mack!! Can't fool you.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 4 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Wrong = Parts of NC Yes, Boone, and Blowing Rock! lol. Well I hope he means east of apps and I hope he's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 2 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Yes, Boone, and Blowing Rock! lol. Well I hope he means east of apps and I hope he's right. Jb has said nothing about NC. I said that!! Mack is just obsessed with proven JB to be wrong, So I like picking with Mack!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 4 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Yes, Boone, and Blowing Rock! lol. Well I hope he means east of apps and I hope he's right. Something will have to change because Boone and blowing rock weren't even really in it on the midday runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Personally think this will end up being an Apps runner, maybe transfer over NoVA. The stronger energy holding back with deep west coast trough....doesn't equal winter storm for us. Weaker wave with stronger Atlantic blocking gave us a chance...it's trending away from that.... Nina climo...last Jan was Nino climo with SE and east coast event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 15 minutes ago, packbacker said: 60/62 has had a lot of similarities to what we are seeing Pack - is this what we're seeing then? If so, please wake me up next November - Or am I missing a portion of your post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 9 minutes ago, pcbjr said: Pack - is this what we're seeing then? If so, please wake me up next November - Or am I missing a portion of your post? Yep...would be my guess. I definitely don't see Jan being BN, I see it being warmer then Dec for the SE. I think Feb could be ugly, if Nina is still driving. If Nina forcing backs off maybe +PDO with blocking can help, ala 1960. If you look at 1960 Feb-March temps you see what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 14 minutes ago, packbacker said: Yep...would be my guess. I definitely don't see Jan being BN, I see it being warmer then Dec for the SE. I think Feb could be ugly, if Nina is still driving. If Nina forcing backs off maybe +PDO with blocking can help, ala 1960. If you look at 1960 Feb-March temps you see what I mean. Thought the Nina was pretty much dead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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