moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: I had to blow that map up to see if the front yard was in the 2" range and my BY in the 10" range, Low pressure going over or just to the west of your head is not a good sign If RGEM comes in warm again, I'm going to just hop on the meso-train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Same as 6z. Just not as strong. Why all the fretting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Same as 6z. Just not as strong. Why all the fretting? Safe to assume you are riding the 6z 3k NAM? Everything else is pretty meager South of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Much more realistic than 6z Regions Prev. Runs Forecast GIFTrend GIFPage SettingsKeyboard Shortcuts Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics 12z Wednesday, Dec 28 fh = 4512z Wednesday, Dec 28 fh = 5106z Wednesday, Dec 28 fh = 5700z Wednesday, Dec 28 fh = 6318z Tuesday, Dec 27 fh = 6912z Tuesday, Dec 27 fh = 7506z Tuesday, Dec 27 fh = 8100z Tuesday, Dec 27 fh = 8718z Monday, Dec 26 fh = 9312z Monday, Dec 26 fh = 9906z Monday, Dec 26 fh = 10500z Monday, Dec 26 fh = 11118z Sunday, Dec 25 fh = 11712z Sunday, Dec 25 fh = 12306z Sunday, Dec 25 fh = 12900z Sunday, Dec 25 fh = 13518z Saturday, Dec 24 fh = 14112z Saturday, Dec 24 fh = 14706z Saturday, Dec 24 fh = 15300z Saturday, Dec 24 fh = 15918z Friday, Dec 23 fh = 16512z Friday, Dec 23 fh = 17106z Friday, Dec 23 fh = 17700z Friday, Dec 23 fh = 18318z Thursday, Dec 22 fh = 18912z Thursday, Dec 22 fh = 19506z Thursday, Dec 22 fh = 20100z Thursday, Dec 22 fh = 20718z Wednesday, Dec 21 fh = 21312z Wednesday, Dec 21 Forecast Hour:45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL--when Kevin posts again. Can we just top all movement now? No, I would like for it to move back west a tick or two, maybe three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Safe to assume you are riding the 6z 3k NAM? Everything else is pretty meager South of the pike Why would you or anyone be using the regular NAM when you have a mesoscale version of it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Same as 6z. Just not as strong. Why all the fretting? That's a bad thing for those walking the line, Weaker/Wetter. Stronger/Snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Totally agree. I wasn't suggesting that we're going to have a problem with the airmasss tomorrow , as it does feel colder this morning and we had some snow flurries so there must be some cold air aloft coming in . I'm excited about what's to come up here. What is your thought about a dry slot? Frankly I don't see it as an issue up here because I figure we're going to get the warm advection precipitation and then we're gonna be in the Pivot point but I think Southeast New Hampshire maybe including Nashua and Manchester could get into the dry side first time I think dry slot will be from Boston on SE and then into ME--just east of Portland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Can't remember a storm being so consistent with totals. Nearly all are showing 18" for MBY. This is great as Campton Mountain was able to open this week on natural snow and 18" refresher will really make the skiing sweet. Might even be enough for the kids to explore the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Re the location of the drive slot, I'm surprised it would be so far Southeast . I was thinking if the storm really wrapped up in a push the dry slot inland quite far but I have no meteorological skill to make that assertion just past experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: you guys seem way too nervous lol. frantically looking at every nws update, questioning which model they are using, comparing their snow maps to see which way your yards are trending....holy moly new englanders. just track it, get crushed or bust, and enjoy it. Welcome to the forum! Great first storm for you to be following here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Re the location of the drive slot, I'm surprised it would be so far Southeast . I was thinking if the storm really wrapped up in a push the dry slot inland quite far but I have no meteorological skill to make that assertion just past experience. The dryslot is on the eastern side of the storm, Its going to be in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 12 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: If RGEM comes in warm again, I'm going to just hop on the meso-train. Now that I look at this closer, I think this is the first run that really shifted the bulk of the Jackpot from NH/ME to VT/NH. We were seeing signs of this westward shift of heavier snows, but not the jackpot area. Let's see what the RGEM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 NAM is hideous out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: NAM is hideous out here Hideous for 85% of SNE. Rejoicing in VT though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, klw said: Welcome to the forum! Great first storm for you to be following here! Lol. Your new spot in E CVT at above 1k looks to be getting better and better each run. Your area over to the guys in Central NH looks primo ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think the 12z Nam made a tick towards the GFS. The main discrepancy is with the location of cyclogenesis around LI. The NAM has this occurring much further northwest than the GFS, which causes the track further inland. I have to believe cyclogenesis off the coast of LI is something the GFS should resolve much better than the nam... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: If RGEM comes in warm again, I'm going to just hop on the meso-train. Ha! There was bound to be one of those runs here but good luck with that NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hideous for 85% of SNE. Rejoicing in VT though. If you look closely, you can see me and PF high fiving in the background. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Lol. Your new spot in E CVT at above 1k looks to be getting better and better each run. Your area over to the guys in Central NH looks primo ATM. Who moved? From/to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: If you look closely, you can see me and PF high fiving in the background. I thought you were the one giving us the bird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Who moved? From/to? klw moved from Peacham, VT to Norwich, VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I thought you were the one giving us the bird LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: If you look closely, you can see me and PF high fiving in the background. I do agree some of these runs just add confusion. I really like the NEK through almost all of NH and Maine Mtns. This is like one of those crack ensemble runs or some ARW member that tries to bring 2" of QPF in like 12 hours (which ain't happening). Need to save for posterity to show how bad they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, mreaves said: klw moved from Peacham, VT to Norwich, VT. Gotcha--I saw Runaway Iceberg in the mix of the conversation so I wasn't sure. Enjoy that NAM run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Pretty much over before it starts here in ORH. Unless there is a change I'm going for 1-3 max here in the city. Great news for VT and NH though. Good for ski areas and snowmobiling. Happy for them. A long winter ahead for us to cash in. Bound to come some time in the not too distant future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, moneypitmike said: Gotcha--I saw Runaway Iceberg in the mix of the conversation so I wasn't sure. Enjoy that NAM run! I'll be pretty happy with anything over 8". Ill be unhappy with under 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, mreaves said: I'll be pretty happy with anything over 8". Ill be unhappy with under 6". Where are you for this storm? I'm so confused based on your tones of joy or dispair. Are you in Maine or in Mass? Ha! Edit this was for MPM not reaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Expecting my snowblower back from repairs today...doesn't look like I'll be needing it after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 That 4km Nam run plows a 960s low over Sebago Lake and into central ME. Well west of most everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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