wx2fish Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Quite sure its easier down there, But when your in an area like i am and many here that sit at 200' elevation and you have towns 20 miles to your west that are at 1,500'+ You get lumped in, That where knowing your climo comes into play. Yeah its pretty similar in Hillsborough. ASH is like 200ft then you get to New Ipswich and Peterborough where you can get above 1K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I would guess that we could have an onset of snowfall given that the NAM is cool at 850mb as the precip starts for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Yeah its pretty similar in Hillsborough. ASH is like 200ft then you get to New Ipswich and Peterborough where you can get above 1K Makes it rather difficult to draw the line, I also have the CF that comes into play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Quite sure its easier down there, But when your in an area like i am and many here that sit at 200' elevation and you have towns 20 miles to your west that are at 1,500'+ You get lumped in, That where knowing your climo comes into play. Not to deviate from the storm disco, but LWX also splits some counties along the Blue Ridge/ Shenandoah Mts. where you have a similar elevation disparity. If the split is done along a road or municipal boundary it's pretty easy for the public to understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 Wagon's way NW on the NAM. Congrats PF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: We know what side of the gradient he is on.................. ha, but if i was inside the gradient I dont make my eyes bleed looking at every detail biting my nails between 12-16" or 14-18" forecasts. i admit though, if your riding the gradient thats a different story. Ive been known to put tread marks on my hardhood floors from pacing back n forth. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: ha, but if i was inside the gradient I dont make my eyes bleed looking at every detail biting my nails between 12-16" or 14-18" forecasts. i admit though, if your riding the gradient thats a different story. Ive been known to put tread marks on my hardhood floors from pacing back n forth. lol. Yeah, I'm not going to sweat the details, If the Euro comes in at 12z looking the same, I know where i will lean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Wagon's way NW on the NAM. Congrats PF. A lillte slower and weaker by 2mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 NAM's looking like all rain for south of the Pike. Spanks the Green's-Sunday River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 What time does the south trend start anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Wagon's way NW on the NAM. Congrats PF. lol it looks the same for the most part to me. Its slightly deeper and NW when it goes over Long Island but looks like it'll come out very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 3 hours slower and weaker by 2mb I've got 987mb over PVD/BOS area at 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 NAM is a toaster for many who were riding the fence. Looks like mostly liquid around the pike and south. Congrats NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm more worried about the NYE clipper bringing more snow than this monster will to Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Looks like the best would be between me and Dendrite for banding...I'm on the NW side and northern CON area is on the southern edge of the NAM's snow band. That looks beastly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks like the best would be between me and Dendrite for banding...I'm on the NW side and northern CON area is on the southern edge of the NAM's snow band. That looks beastly though. Other then the Euro, You and Brian have been looking good on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I'm more worried about the NYE clipper bringing more snow than this monster will to Cape Cod. you worry alot. snow is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol it looks the same for the most part to me. Its slightly deeper and NW when it goes over Long Island but looks like it'll come out very similar. It appears much warmer and actually west a little.....looks like it might cross over Ginx. Eitehr way, it's showing mostly rain everywhere south of the Pike and everywehre east of ORH. A 10 hour snow blizz for CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I know, but I have only had .5" of snow this December, I guess most were right about being an above average winter for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 NAM destroys MPM up through the CT River Valley between VT/NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 My old college town is going to get pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, moneypitmike said: It appears much warmer and actually west a little.....looks like it might cross over Ginx. Eitehr way, it's showing mostly rain everywhere south of the Pike and everywehre east of ORH. A 10 hour snow blizz for CNE/NNE. That run dropped like 8-12" on Casa MPM. I'm on the edge at like 6-8"...eastern VT though gets like 12-18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Plymouth, NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol it looks the same for the most part to me. Its slightly deeper and NW when it goes over Long Island but looks like it'll come out very similar. Looks like a similar track just less dynamic. Road trip to Pittsburg with that mid level track. Pivoting deform and upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 9 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: What time does the south trend start anyway? LOL--when Kevin posts again. 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: NAM destroys MPM up through the CT River Valley between VT/NH. Can we just top all movement now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks like the best would be between me and Dendrite for banding...I'm on the NW side and northern CON area is on the southern edge of the NAM's snow band. That looks beastly though. i like where you sit. may be on the outer edge of highest qpf distribution but these things tend to rip a nice band on that nw side. dont know all the micro stuff up there when it comes to big coastals (considering you havent had one in years lol) but hovering around a foot give or take, at this point, is my call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 There is a very clear creep NW with best snow totals, at least for people in SNE on the NAM. This run looked pretty warm for South of Pike up into metro Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 42 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Has been; yesterday was spring-like. But what I was getting at is this colder airmass seems to be setting in nicely (finally). It took its time after the fropa, but it's here. It feels like winter again. Totally agree. I wasn't suggesting that we're going to have a problem with the airmasss tomorrow , as it does feel colder this morning and we had some snow flurries so there must be some cold air aloft coming in . I'm excited about what's to come up here. What is your thought about a dry slot? Frankly I don't see it as an issue up here because I figure we're going to get the warm advection precipitation and then we're gonna be in the Pivot point but I think Southeast New Hampshire maybe including Nashua and Manchester could get into the dry side first time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL--when Kevin posts again. Can we just top all movement now? I had to blow that map up to see if the front yard was in the 2" range and my BY in the 10" range, Low pressure going over or just to the west of your head is not a good sign, Its a track that i don't see often here, Usually its cut and dry on where we will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I had to blow that map up to see if the front yard was in the 2" range and my BY in the 10" range, Low pressure going over or just to the west of your head is not a good sign I't's going right over my head in the GofM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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