Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: See if this develops rapidly, it's going to depend more on low track because the western wall or CCB will flash over. Antecedent airmass be dammed. To me, I see this as low track and intensity dependent....not necessarily the airmass prior. If this low bombs east of FMH even Taunton would flip to paste. I agree as well. Track this far tnite has narrowed on the NAM/GFS/RGEM to about a 15mi wide area over SE MA and either just E or W of BOS. Intensities look to be about 5-10mb different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 GGEM significantly improved for interior MA vs 12z run...goes to town earlier. Probably hangs a 20 spot somewhere near Bridgton, lol. The house I rented in Denmark, Maine on Moose pond would be a nice location right about now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM significantly improved for interior MA vs 12z run...goes to town earlier. Probably hangs a 20 spot somewhere near Bridgton, lol. The house I rented in Denmark, Maine on Moose pond would be a nice location right about now Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Bingo Time to visit Mikey in Sumner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Time to visit Mikey in Sumner Yes it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 GGEM looks reasonable to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes it is Or maybe you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Thank God I'm not in Lowell for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Or maybe you A little saturday clipper enhancement in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Noticed a lot of sleet soundings for at least some part of the bombing out stage just inland. I remember in 05 looking up into the sky and watching as the heavy sleet instantly became a descending wall of snow immediately followed by the pink flash of lightning and the boom of thunder. Some lucky SOB like Hunchie will see this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: A little saturday clipper enhancement in there Inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 How ironic. I was just looking last week at Bridgton as having a good combo for snow and proximity to other activities as a place to purchase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 This is a great looking storm for you guys up there. I'm looking at some of the forecast soundings showing upwards of 150 j/kg of elevated CAPE. That's usually enough to trigger lightning strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: How ironic. I was just looking last week at Bridgton as having a good combo for snow and proximity to other activities as a place to purchase. Very good area in the lakes region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, bdgwx said: This is a great looking storm for you guys up there. I'm looking at some of the forecast soundings showing upwards of 150 j/kg of elevated CAPE. That's usually enough to trigger lightning strikes. Yes it appears to be a very convective situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 41 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Define interior? If your talking N & W of I-90/I-495 than I'd agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 MAV: 8's in interior Maine including Jeff in LA. Less as your u get further east such as 6 in BGR and 2 in BHB. 8 in the lakes region and 6 in PWM, 4 in Wiscasset, 2 in Rockland. NH is 4 on the sea coast, 6/8 elsewhere. VT: 6/8 except 4 in Bennington. MA: 2 BOS/BEV/BED/ORE/MQE. 4 LWM/FIT 1 PYM, PVC zilch elsewhere RI: 1 STZ, zilch elsewhere. CT: 1 BDL, zilch elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 58 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GGEM looks reasonable to me Yes. I favor a GEM scenario...I've been advocating for something like that all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Euro looks like its going to be a beast again looking at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Euro goes 996 to 988 in 3 hours 48 to 51. Bombs over SE MA and at 51 hours is just east of Boston. It then continues to bomb and riteously croaks NNE with emphasis on lakes region up through interior Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Another solid Euro run, It has held steadfast over the last 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro goes 996 to 988 in 3 hours 48 to 51. Bombs over SE MA and at 51 hours is just east of Boston. It then continues to bomb and riteously croaks NNE with emphasis on lakes region up through interior Maine. Its only 988 east of BOS? Thats not so strong...Other guidance like the NAM had this into the lower 970s/upper 960s at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Euro bringing the ruckus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, nzucker said: Its only 988 east of BOS? Thats not so strong...Other guidance like the NAM had this into the lower 970s/upper 960s at that point. 16 mb in 6 hours ain't hay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: 16 mb in 6 hours ain't hay. I mean 1004mb to 988mb is a nice storm but I wouldn't consider it that unusual. It's 16mb but it's starting out super weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Weaker trend not unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Snowmap? Or it's too ugly to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Here was 12z....clear trend that I had expected: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 0z Euro still looks awesome for NNE (ME/NH) but shaves 20-30% or more from 12z for many in SNE. Still a good hit (esp deep interior/ Rt 2) but if ends up a later bloomer you can bring totals down even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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