dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: That would not hurt my feelings at all Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nope. And helpful to the folks in the eastern areas down there, A slp track with the nam more like the GFS thru KBHB with the same bombing as the Nam would be ideal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Zeus-the most interesting poster in the world. "I may not always be a weenie but when I am-take notice l!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 that's like one of those crazy dreams you're having just before you realize how hung-over you are as you're waking up on new year's day... this is the part of the lead-up to the ceremony where I prepare a speech that discusses a 3 to 5 hour blizzard criteria being met from NW RI to ASH to CON and points NNE... Why? Because, even the highly reputable Euro has pressure down to 975 passing over or just left of Boston Light. That's like ...Category 2 hurricane surface pressure. Of great import, taking place with choking snow fall rates in a 55 dbz thunder squall over Metrowest... I don't see how it is fluid mechanically possible to pass that deep of a negative pressure node without mass-continuity price to pay. Namely, in the form of pulsed acceleration of wind of course. But, the temperatures would be pinched up into the upper 20s very tightly to (~) I-95 or perhaps and collapsing SE with certain rapidity... I mean, the snow is going to be as densely lifted air born as it would be falling in that whole picture. Pretty strong candidate for meeting the 3-hour requirement of 1/4 or < visibility. But, ... all of Meteorological humanity will attempt to out-think the models and bake ham their opinions until this system is just WSW level event.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: And helpful to the folks in the eastern areas down there, A slp track with the nam more like the GFS thru KBHB with the same bombing as the Nam would be ideal Indeed it would. Warm tongue is my problem here. We go above 0C right up through 85mb here or so. This thing needs to hook another 30mi east for TAN. I'm expecting a sloppy ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: And helpful to the folks in the eastern areas down there, A slp track with the nam more like the GFS thru KBHB with the same bombing as the Nam would be ideal Bombing over your fanny would be ideal but its not happening lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Indeed it would. Warm tongue is my problem here. We go above 0C right up through 85mb here or so. This thing needs to hook another 30mi east for TAN. I'm expecting a sloppy ending. I don't thinks its out of the realm of possibilities either, This may have a few tics back the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Bob I need a job to the east by 50 miles or so. Same intensity just 50 miles east of the latest model run. I think prayer needs to be made in order for this to be a snowstorm for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: I don't thinks its out of the realm of possibilities either, This may have a few tics back the other way Traditionally we see these bombs tuck in closer than modeled but perhaps the progressiveness of the pattern will counteract that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Bombing over your fanny would be ideal but its not happening lol. I rarely jack from any storm here when i have the foothills just to my NW, I would like to see the slp track further to the east as it would place the coastal plain more in the CCB rather then to the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Why is the snowfall distribution depicted even more horrible than 'usual' for the Ct Valley while areas just east and west of us seem to do so much better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 The 00z GEFS individual members, some a colder than op and some are a little warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Zeus-the most interesting poster in the world. "I may not always be a weenie but when I am-take notice l!" I'm not "in" on this one just yet, but that NAM look has at least piqued my interest because the last couple looks at it invoke memories of December 9, 2005. That storm started with morning snow of modest proportions that flipped to rain in Boston, but by midday the back end consolidated into a gorgeous and potent band. With a single flash of lightning and a clap of thunder, it heralded the flash changeover and the once-tame drip outside turned almost instantly into a raging snowstorm. We got about 8 or 9 inches in just roughly 3 hours, but despite the short duration, the intensity and the blue-green lightning make it one of the more memorable storms I've had the pleasure of experiencing in Boston. It's the type of thing I simply do not expect to see repeated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Traditionally we see these bombs tuck in closer than modeled but perhaps the progressiveness of the pattern will counteract that. If it maintains its current strength i could see that, I think we have maxed that out at this point though and its just a matter of how soon it goes to town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 I still think there is room for the models to tick east and colder as well as stronger faster with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 The 0z GFS looks like it may get tucked in this run as well just basing off the look at H5 a tick or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 0z GFS looks like it may get tucked in this run as well just basing off the look at H5 Very close to 6z at hr 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 GFS also looks faster with CCB development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS also looks faster with CCB development. It was a tic or so west but a little better at developing that CCB, Still not quite there yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Foothills of ME crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 I believe the GFS is the outlier with the speed of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 GFS not much change from previous run, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Foothills of ME crusher. IZG-RUM special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: IZG-RUM special And back over to Alton, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: And back over to Alton, NH. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 GFS great look for ME and parts of NH. No big changes otherwise I still think it caves a bit to the others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: GFS great look for ME and parts of NH. No big changes otherwise I still think it caves a bit to the others As Will said .. don't bother using it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: GFS great look for ME and parts of NH. No big changes otherwise I still think it caves a bit to the others I said it before, but I have a feeling the non-hydrostatic models might end up as the superior guidance in this system...we'll see. Still some time as we're about 60 hours out, but given the extreme height falls showing up on most guidance in such a tight gradient, I'd pay attention to the non-hydros as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Wrong thread but that NY eve clipper looks to be getting some legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.