CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:15 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Are we completely toast here.... or could an east tick get us in the game? Expand Maybe a little mash at the end. Unless this really goes east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:15 PM, CoastalWx said: It was well west of BM. But I'd say a bit east of the op. Expand I revised it south of LI up over CC and yes south and east of OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe a little mash at the end. Unless this really goes east. Expand Totally doable this far out. Only really need a tick of about 50-75 miles. East would be deeper I think, colder a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:18 PM, Ginx snewx said: I revised it south of LI up over CC and yes south and east of OP Expand If that can bomb south of sne we can get several inches here ala 12/25/02-got about 5 after the change from rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 The fact that the UK also had a bomb going to down East increases my confidence in the hero. Should be interesting to see the GFS come closer to the euro at 18 and 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:16 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah I think the Ensembles will continue to be NorthEast of the OP every run as inevitably there are weaker and slower members in there. Expand Over an inch of QPF. Looks good to go for an interior Noreaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:19 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Totally doable this far out. Only really need a tick of about 50-75 miles. East would be deeper I think, colder a bit? Expand You are in the sweet spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Still good ensemble run... has the 6" mean from the southern Berks to BTV on the west side and from southern Berks to N.ORH Cnty to Jeff/dryslot and up the Maine Coast about a county inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:20 PM, weathafella said: If that can bomb south of sne we can get several inches here ala 12/25/02-got about 5 after the change from rain. Expand Yes not writing this off at all. Total bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:25 PM, Ginx snewx said: Over an inch of QPF. Looks good to go for an interior Noreaster Expand Yeah just saw that on Wx Bell...more than I thought...was around an inch here QPF. Good upslope signal towards the end. Ensemble snow jack Wildcat to the Rivah and Sugarloaf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 4:06 PM, CoastalWx said: I would definitely keep an eye on it in Nashua. Expand Yup. Feel like we could see 2" or 18". On 12/26/2016 at 4:15 PM, CoastalWx said: I would never use that as an analogy. This is like any other secondary development. Expand I think we should all have to sign something that says we can never bring up 12/9/05 as an analogue. On 12/26/2016 at 6:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I don't doubt that its modeled; never do. Expand Computer models often model precip falling after the SLP center has past our latitude, but it rarely occurs as modeled. Once the center passes, precip shuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:25 PM, Ginx snewx said: Over an inch of QPF. Looks good to go for an interior Noreaster Expand What's it got for interior CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I'll bet Nashua gets like 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What's it got for interior CT? Expand About 0.5-.75" QPF and 2-4" snow verbatim it looks like but a minor tick south or colder and you're very close to 5-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:29 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Yup. Feel like we could see 2" or 18". I think we should all have to sign something that says we can never bring up 12/9/05 as an analogue. Computer models often model precip falling after the SLP center has past our latitude, but it rarely occurs as modeled. Once the center passes, precip shuts off. Expand On 12/26/2016 at 8:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet Nashua gets like 5". Expand i will take it, not going to be a bad December, i just think of last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 NAM is a mini nuke for Jerry lol. Of course I would rather use the NAM to wipe myself at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro: Expand Do you have that for the rest of New England? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Nashua jack in that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:19 PM, moneypitmike said: Do you have that for the rest of New England? Expand http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: http:// thanks. cne envy Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: http:// Expand i will take that, in fact a bump east even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Nice to see an NCEP model going big...even if it's the LR NAM. Wonder if the GFS goes big on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:29 PM, 512high said: i will take that, in fact a bump east even better Expand I'd prefer some wiggle room. I want this thing cranking as early as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:35 PM, dendrite said: Nice to see an NCEP model going big...even if it's the LR NAM. Wonder if the GFS goes big on this run. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:37 PM, dendrite said: I'd prefer some wiggle room. I want this thing cranking as early as possible. Expand two questions, first rough idea on start time, and based on what you all see chance of being a complete no show....ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 TBH that NAM map is kind of how you'd think things evolve in the progressive pattern with positive tilt. . That may end up closer to reality than Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: TBH that NAM map is kind of how you'd think things evolve in the progressive pattern with positive tilt. . That may end up closer to reality than Euro Expand Yeah but I think this trough goes negative, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 8:53 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM is a mini nuke for Jerry lol. Of course I would rather use the NAM to wipe myself at this range. Expand Just saw the NAM. I was going to use the exact same words. Impressive upper level divergence and lift. Short duration but very intense. Suspect solution on its own but it has support from the mid-range guidance and it has steadily trended towards a higher impact scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 9:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: http:// Expand On 12/25/2016 at 7:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: And then you have folks posting snowmaps 4 days out adding even more confusion Expand Didn't you say just yesterday that posting snow maps 4-days out was just adding confusion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.