isohume Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 Well, we're beating National Blend in maxt, mint, and dewp....but getting our ass kicked in winds. Probably only a couple years before the robots take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 I would assume most would take good temp forecasts over wind? You guys have to deal with all kinds of variables up that way... aren't the winds much harder to forecast in your areas versus most other US regions because of the terrain and things like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 23, 2016 Author Share Posted December 23, 2016 16 hours ago, Shawn said: I would assume most would take good temp forecasts over wind? You guys have to deal with all kinds of variables up that way... aren't the winds much harder to forecast in your areas versus most other US regions because of the terrain and things like that? Yeah the terrain makes for challenging wind forecasts, even on benign wx days, and many things can mess with a wind fcst. Winds are a sensitive fcst element for our aviation and fire wx customers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 24, 2016 Share Posted December 24, 2016 Not too shabby.... If I read the graphs correctly, this is for the first 24 hours...correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsolutZero Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsolutZero Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Observed winds used in the verification use sites besides airports which are unobstucted and taken at 10m. I believe they account for the lower height of wind measurements from non-ASOS/AWOS sites but they won't account for the obstructions (trees) that abound in this eastern half of the CONUS. Look at any bias correction for winds and you'll see they lower the speeds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 On 12/23/2016 at 8:57 PM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Not too shabby.... If I read the graphs correctly, this is for the first 24 hours...correct? That's correct. I have some pop/qpf charts I'll post when I get back from vacation. 10 glorious days of vacation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 hour ago, isohume said: That's correct. I have some pop/qpf charts I'll post when I get back from vacation. 10 glorious days of vacation. Enjoy vacation. You've earned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 hours ago, isohume said: That's correct. I have some pop/qpf charts I'll post when I get back from vacation. 10 glorious days of vacation. I'm on day 3316 since retiring. Now that's a vacation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 26 minutes ago, jburns said: I'm on day 3316 since retiring. Now that's a vacation. But who's counting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 39 minutes ago, jburns said: I'm on day 3316 since retiring. Now that's a vacation. Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 hours ago, No snow for you said: But who's counting? lol The "days between dates" site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 On 12/26/2016 at 6:16 PM, AbsolutZero said: Observed winds used in the verification use sites besides airports which are unobstucted and taken at 10m. I believe they account for the lower height of wind measurements from non-ASOS/AWOS sites but they won't account for the obstructions (trees) that abound in this eastern half of the CONUS. Look at any bias correction for winds and you'll see they lower the speeds. That's true, NCEI accounts for varying siting issues before the RTMA grids are released. The "BC" fcsts shown on these charts are accounting for previous model performance, however. 20 hours ago, No snow for you said: Enjoy vacation. You've earned it. Thanks! 10 hours ago, jburns said: I'm on day 3316 since retiring. Now that's a vacation. Lol! Less than 10 years before I join you on an extended vacation. Wonder how many mids that is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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