The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Latest from NBC & WTNH...I'd take the under and go closer to NBC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 @WX1BOX: Wind gusts materializing as forecasted: Tiverton, RI: 65 MPH Gust at 1149 PM, Conimicut Light - Warwick, RI: 63 MPH Gust at 1142 PM #riwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LikesNaturesFury Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 OK, so it's not just me imagining it, lol! The NWS forecast was odd (unusual, different), in that it called for pretty low sustained winds, but had (comparatively) ***way higher*** gusts than what would normally happen with the lower sustained winds. I'm actually surprised that we still have power, after that incredible burst of wind. Surprised and happy, I will add Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 OK that was loud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 18 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Latest from NBC & WTNH...I'd take the under and go closer to NBC not liking this one ey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Couldn't tell you what my gusts were because my weather station is busted, but has some loud, house shaking "gusts" for what seemed to be at least five minutes at around 11:30 and we lost power right afterwards. Still no power an hour later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: not liking this one ey? I'm not saying 4-7 can't happen but it would have to pound mod to heavy snow for 6 -7 hours to see those kind of numbers. And i think the bulk of the accumulating snow is only a 3 to 4, perhaps 5, hour window. A general 2 to 5 across the state should do it, closer to 5 in the N and W and 2 along the SE shoreline. I hope I'm wrong but i just dont see those 6"+ amounts verifying for a good chunk of the state, if it does happen it will be localized in the hills somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 It's been your typical CAA up here...nothing to write home about wrt wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 33 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That looks a lot different than what I saw on tropical tidbits... must be the snow algorithm It's because that map was a weenie algorithm that used more than 10 to 1 ratios. Snow maps are the worst....they aren't telling you how much snow the model predicts, they are telling you what the algorithm thinks the model is predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 They are good maps and to many weather people say it wont happen for sat but models have going for colder sat for the storm and more snow . models move the colder air out to fast all the time in sne area and valley . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's because that map was a weenie algorithm that used more than 10 to 1 ratios. Snow maps are the worst....they aren't telling you how much snow the model predicts, they are telling you what the algorithm thinks the model is predicting. Kuchera method . Please inform the good Dr. TIA Find the maximum temperature in the lowest 500 hPa in degrees K (MAXTMP) 2) If MAXTMP is greater than 271.16K, then the liquid equivalent ratio (RATIO) is 12.0 + 2.0*(271.16-MAXTMP) 3) If MAXTMP is less than 271.16K, then the liquid equivalent ratio (RATIO) is 12.0 + (271.16-MAXTMP) The 3-hourly snowfall (SNOW) is RATIO multiplied by the three hour liquid precipitation total. The accumulated snowfall (ACCUM_SNOW) is the sum of all the SNOW values up to that projection time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Thumpity thump on the Euro...pretty solid. Also, meso low much more defined now AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 What's the Euro like for Sunday? Does it have a ton of rain like the GFS? Trying to figure out if I can do anything outdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 6.6/-13 Falling fast since midnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kuchera method . Please inform the good Dr. TIA Find the maximum temperature in the lowest 500 hPa in degrees K (MAXTMP) 2) If MAXTMP is greater than 271.16K, then the liquid equivalent ratio (RATIO) is 12.0 + 2.0*(271.16-MAXTMP) 3) If MAXTMP is less than 271.16K, then the liquid equivalent ratio (RATIO) is 12.0 + (271.16-MAXTMP) The 3-hourly snowfall (SNOW) is RATIO multiplied by the three hour liquid precipitation total. The accumulated snowfall (ACCUM_SNOW) is the sum of all the SNOW values up to that projection time. besides the kuchera method though, pivotalweather's snow maps give different amounts than tropicaltidbits. Like even the 10:1 nam weenie map on pw looks vastly different. dxr has 1" on pw and 5-6" on tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Thumpity thump on the Euro...pretty solid. Also, meso low much more defined now AWT. Wil what time does the Euro flip Boston to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 4 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Wil what time does the Euro flip Boston to rain? Prob around noontime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 .2 from the squalls....the lid blew open on the trash thing so thats got to be a 30 mph guster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Thumpity thump on the Euro...pretty solid. Also, meso low much more defined now AWT.Looking like the Nam may have lead the charge on another system. It might have finally found its season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Thumpity thump on the Euro...pretty solid. Also, meso low much more defined now AWT.Looking like the Nam may have lead the charge on another system. It might have finally found its season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 6z rgem high fives bos and snh folk. takes meso low from jersey shore over montauk to pvc. its cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 -6.1f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Flakes still falling this morning. -6F and vis below 4 miles all night (mostly 2sm -SN) in flakes. Arctic appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 3KM NAM continues to crush most..this one has all the earmarks of a big over performer Regions Prev. Runs Forecast GIFTrend GIFPage SettingsKeyboard Shortcuts Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics 06z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 4006z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 4600z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 5218z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 5812z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 6406z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 7000z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 7618z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 8212z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 8806z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 9400z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 10018z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 10612z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 11206z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 11800z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 12418z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 13012z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 13606z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 14200z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 14818z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 15412z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 16006z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 16600z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 17218z Saturday, Dec 10 fh = 17812z Saturday, Dec 10 Forecast Hour:40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 All the mesos and even the awful at cold GFS shows the meso low tracking south of SNE with interior near freezing and BOX has everyone warming into the 40's tomorrow afternoon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3KM NAM continues to crush most..this one has all the earmarks of a big over performer Regions Prev. Runs Forecast GIFTrend GIFPage SettingsKeyboard Shortcuts Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics 06z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 4006z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 4600z Friday, Dec 16 fh = 5218z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 5812z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 6406z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 7000z Thursday, Dec 15 fh = 7618z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 8212z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 8806z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 9400z Wednesday, Dec 14 fh = 10018z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 10612z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 11206z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 11800z Tuesday, Dec 13 fh = 12418z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 13012z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 13606z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 14200z Monday, Dec 12 fh = 14818z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 15412z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 16006z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 16600z Sunday, Dec 11 fh = 17218z Saturday, Dec 10 fh = 17812z Saturday, Dec 10 Forecast Hour:40 How did that perform on Monday? Looks like advisories for just about all is the case on most models. -1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 3/-14Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 3/-14Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: All the mesos and even the awful at cold GFS shows the meso low tracking south of SNE with interior near freezing and BOX has everyone warming into the 40's tomorrow afternoon lol ??? My ZFP has 'mid-30's, and my p/c has a high of 35*. It does torch Sunday though with a high of 46* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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