Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:40 PM, weathafella said: Looking at the rough products I can easily see Ray limiting his time of torch-heck even me while south of the pike gets obliterated. Once we mix out everyone warms but I bet many end up with net gain given the seal in potential of the tuck. MOS keeps BOS within 1-2 of freezing until well past dark. Expand Yup. That's what's gonna happen. 48-52 south of ORH for 10 hours while North and east stays near freezing until mix out time. Wish we could keep ours too, but I don't see how that's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:40 PM, weathafella said: Looking at the rough products I can easily see Ray limiting his time of torch-heck even me while south of the pike gets obliterated. Once we mix out everyone warms but I bet many end up with net gain given the seal in potential of the tuck. MOS keeps BOS within 1-2 of freezing until well past dark. Expand We could still see 6+ hours of high dew 50F+...that will do some damage. I'd feel more confident about a net gainer if we saw 6"+...don't think 3" will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:32 PM, dryslot said: There ain't nobody there but the chickens? Expand Lisa was there and took a vid. If it's decent maybe I'll post it later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:43 PM, ORH_wxman said: We could still see 6+ hours of high dew 50F+...that will do some damage. I'd feel more confident about a net gainer if we saw 6"+...don't think 3" will do it. Expand Strength of the front ended is the game changer and we don't really know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:45 PM, weathafella said: Strength of the front ended is the game changer and we don't really know yet. Expand Yes...it's possible it over performs and we see a lot of 5-7" amounts...if that's the case, we probably survive. If it's more like 3"...then we're prob wiped out. Deeper into the interior, there's already an existing snowpack that will help those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:45 PM, dendrite said: Lisa was there and took a vid. If it's decent maybe I'll post it later. Expand Sweet, We had one come thru here about 15 mins ago, But nowhere as intense as the one you just had go thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 And if folks do keep some it's likely wiped out by the Dec 23-26 torch. Either way blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: And if folks do keep some it's likely wiped out by the Dec 23-26 torch. Either way blows Expand Yes, but I'd def rather have it for several more days...it will remain cold through middle next week after the storm. There's no guarantee of future torches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Incoming squalls for greater BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:54 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yes, but I'd def rather have it for several more days...it will remain cold through middle next week after the storm. There's no guarantee of future torches. Expand Totally agree. I've resigned myself that mine is gone. I know how these work here. Ray will be left with 2-3 inches of pockmark pack while south of ORH stares at grass and acorns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Incoming squalls for greater BOS. Expand No sign of it looking out my window......I'll keep my fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:02 PM, moneypitmike said: No sign of it looking out my window......I'll keep my fingers crossed. Expand It's NW of 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 WaWa getting hit by the squall line.... https://www.wachusett.com/MediaCenter/PicsVideos/HDWebCam/tabid/680/Default.aspx Link is time sensitive but here's a quick screenshot: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:03 PM, CoastalWx said: It's NW of 495. Expand Hopefully it'll hold together to downtown. Down to 14.2 at the Pit. Top wind of 27mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 euro looks a tick colder for wct at 12z sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 HRRR bring BOS below 0 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Euro still looking pretty strong for Sat morning thump. It actually has a hint of the cold tuck...not nearly as pronounced as NAM, but you can sort of see it at 00z Sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Wow 3KM NAM tucks BOS below 32 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 5:14 PM, dendrite said: Was 0 vis on the Sanbornton cam. Manually go through the images. http://vortex.plymouth.edu/webcam/rwis/sanbornton/ Expand Before and during: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow 3KM NAM tucks BOS below 32 as well. Expand Def a nowcast situation...you can see even ont he Euro, it is bulging the 32F isotherm into Essex county at 00z Sun...usually it's trying to push it way inland to N ORH and Cheshire county. We'll have to really monitor how cold it stays on the W side of the front. Sometimes the models have a split of like 27-28F on the west side and 34F ont he east side but in reality it ends up like 20F and 34F....so if that frigid arctic airmass is having a hard time getting eroded, a cold tuck will be much much more dangerous as it would def put a lot of areas below freezing that had earlier risen above. But if the interior cold dome is getting eroded, then it might not as quite as bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:11 PM, ORH_wxman said: Def a nowcast situation...you can see even ont he Euro, it is bulging the 32F isotherm into Essex county at 00z Sun...usually it's trying to push it way inland to N ORH and Cheshire county. We'll have to really monitor how cold it stays on the W side of the front. Sometimes the models have a split of like 27-28F on the west side and 34F ont he east side but in reality it ends up like 20F and 34F....so if that frigid arctic airmass is having a hard time getting eroded, a cold tuck will be much much more dangerous as it would def put a lot of areas below freezing that had earlier risen above. But if the interior cold dome is getting eroded, then it might not as quite as bad. Expand Yeah...as a meteorologist, it makes perfect sense to me. Of course if it's BOS or LWM is tough to say right now...but that cold will find any excuse to dive SE again if we get a weak meso low. By I agree that the temp gradient is probably more like your example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Waiting for the squall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:16 PM, Bostonseminole said: Waiting for the squall.. Expand Might get 7-10 -ed along with much of BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:10 PM, klw said: Before and during: Expand That was the 2nd squall too. Check the first one and the frames from 11:41-11:56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Well quick dusting, my weather station clocked 32mph gust, 18F/wind-chill 8F, maybe another burst soon, clouds again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 22 sustained gusted to 38 here at work with a squall, temp went from 25 to 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:28 PM, Ginx snewx said: 22 sustained gusted to 38 here at work with a squall, temp went from 25 to 21 Expand impressive cold for December IMO, what a roller coaster, we now wait for Saturday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:23 PM, LSC97wxnut said: Might get 7-10 -ed along with much of BOS Expand yeah, does not look like I will see much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 On 12/15/2016 at 6:33 PM, Bostonseminole said: yeah, does not look like I will see much Expand Although that little cell seems to be filling the hole in the first line. Maybe that's yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 It looks like the sun has stalled the temp drop in GC. We're up a degree in the last hour from the 14.2* low. Meanwhile, clouds are moving into downtown. Am I interpreting the recent posts correctly that it seems that NE Mass might be the big winner this weekend? I'm hoping for a least a net-zero weekend with hope that it will be a gainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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