Thread for 12/14 potential dusting, arctic air, and 12/17 potential slop

[osfan24]

We need Ravens94 now more than ever. He will turn this into a blizzard for Bel Air/Aberdeen in no time!

[mappy]

Haha, oops. Tapatalk crashed when I tried posting the first time, hence the second, slightly edited version. Gonna keep them there because it's kind of hilarious

[mappy]

Stupid Tapatalk. 

[PaEasternWX]

1 minute ago, mappy said:

Haha, oops. Tapatalk crashed when I tried posting the first time, hence the second, slightly edited version. Gonna keep them there because it's kind of hilarious

Is Tapatalk free? Thinking about getting it.

[WinterWxLuvr]

1 minute ago, mappy said:

Haha, oops. Tapatalk crashed when I tried posting the first time, hence the second, slightly edited version. Gonna keep them there because it's kind of hilarious

 

1 minute ago, mappy said:

Haha, oops. Tapatalk crashed when I tried posting the first time, hence the second, slightly edited version. Gonna keep them there because it's kind of hilarious

 

[mappy]

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

 

 

I fixed that version. Taptalk is dead to me. Logged on the actual site now. Sorry guys 

[WinterWxLuvr]

MG, thanks.  It feels good to laugh.

[mappy]

Happy to help! 

[Bob Chill]

I think mappy is just trying to bump her post count now. 

[WinterWxLuvr]

Just now, mappy said:

I fixed that version. Taptalk is dead to me. Logged on the actual site now. Sorry guys 

Don't apologize.  It's great.

[mappy]

Why

[mappy]

Would 

[mappy]

I

[mappy]

Do

[mappy]

That?  

[WinterWxLuvr]

3 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said:

Is Tapatalk free? Thinking about getting it.

It works well.  Can you tell?

[RichmondTarHeel]

Radar starting to show some returns over my house.  I ran outside to check, but it's just dadgum virga.  

[mappy]

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

It works well.  Can you tell?

North Balti Zen had it happen to him too. lol

[PaEasternWX]

Just now, mappy said:

North Balti Zen had it happen to him too. lol

Lol probably not worth getting it. Never should have asked. 

[WinterWxLuvr]

Just now, mappy said:

North Balti Zen had it happen to him too. lol

Hope our Pa posters don't use it.  Not sure I can handle those doubled or tripled.

[high risk]

I hate to go off track and actually talk about the models (), but I think that the tropical tidbits crew is doing something wrong when plotting the parallel NAM nest (3 km) precip.   The amounts just look unrealistically high, especially for a model whose verification scores have been pretty good.    If you compare the TT precip with precip on the NCEP site (mageval.ncep.noaa.gov), the NCEP plots show much lower and more reasonable precip.

[PaEasternWX]

4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Hope our Pa posters don't use it.  Not sure I can handle those doubled or tripled.

Sometimes it happens on the computer too. But that is rare. Now back on topic:

 

In case you guys were interested. For whoever didn't see. 

[PhineasC]

 

24 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said:

 

I am pretty confident that map shows the cold air being quickly evicted at least in this subforum's area.

[Interstate]

6 minutes ago, high risk said:

I hate to go off track and actually talk about the models (), but I think that the tropical tidbits crew is doing something wrong when plotting the parallel NAM nest (3 km) precip.   The amounts just look unrealistically high, especially for a model whose verification scores have been pretty good.    If you compare the TT precip with precip on the NCEP site (mageval.ncep.noaa.gov), the NCEP plots show much lower and more reasonable precip.

I think they look pretty similar... it is just one is more zoomed in than the other

[CAPE]

34 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Then have a damn drink.  We need some snow.

Enjoying the heck out of this Flying Dog Milk Stout.

And no ice!!

[Bob Chill]

@high risk

TT is 3k nam and ncep is 4k. Not sure if that makes any difference though. 

 

[high risk]

8 minutes ago, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said:

I think they look pretty similar... it is just one is more zoomed in than the other

 

    no way.    Look at Michigan.    Most of the state on TT is > 0.5", while only a county or two exceeds 0.5" on the NCEP site.     Similar discrepancy for PA.   And check out the max in southeast NJ:  1"+ on NCEP but 2"+ on TT.

 

[WinterWxLuvr]

Yeah, that scale is the issue I think.

[PhineasC]

Beer of the Month Club, rare beers. Try it.

If you like high ABV Belgian Tripels, abbey styles, and saisons it's great.

[high risk]

3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

@high risk

TT is 3k nam and ncep is 4k. Not sure if that makes any difference though. 

 

 

      Bob, that's just labeling.   There is no parallel 4km nest;  the resolution is increased to 3km in the new version.   The NCEP site has no ability to change the labels on the parallel site without a special implementation, but mageval is showing the 3km nest.