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December 16-18 Winter Storm Threat


Hoosier

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15 minutes ago, Powerball said:

00z RAP has a 1002mb tracking over Columbus tomorrow afternoon.

Pretty significant difference from what was progged until about the last 12 hours or so.

Yep.  The NAM sort of ended up being right about being weaker/more sheared out.  

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3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Yep.  The NAM sort of ended up being right about being weaker/more sheared out.  

In fact, the 00z NAM takes the "low" from Louisville to SE Ohio. :lol: 

Gotta say, growing concerned about icing issues here tomorrow if we get light precip to develop. Even the NAM doesn't get us to 32*F now.

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3 minutes ago, Powerball said:

In fact, the 00z NAM takes the "low" from Louisville to SE Ohio. :lol: 

Gotta say, growing concerned about icing issues here tomorrow if we get light precip to develop. Even the NAM doesn't get us to 32*F now.

This whole setup is pretty much a mess. 

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Latest 3km WRF looking pretty lol worthy with tomorrow's post frontal stuff.  LSRs associated with those snows are probably not going to be so hot given the strong winds whipping it around.  Since model trends seem to only get worse with this storm I can only assume that will continue lol.  Final call for here/QC 0.3-1.4".

 

2py82dt.jpg

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