ayuud11 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, Buffalo Bumble said: Ha! We posted this at the same time. Yeah, Lake Erie produced big time with this event. Yea it's been awhile since areas near Springville have received close to this amount from a single LES event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Updated Advisory from BGM has slightly increased amounts along with enhanced wording for the higher terrain in CNY near and east of I-81. Def a key area to watch for an upgrade to a warning... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 203 PM EST SUN DEC 11 2016 NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND- CHENANGO-OTSEGO-BROOME-DELAWARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...HAMILTON... ONEIDA...ROME...UTICA...CORTLAND...NORWICH...ONEONTA... BINGHAMTON...DELHI...WALTON 203 PM EST SUN DEC 11 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...ONEIDA, ONONDAGA, MADISON, CORTLAND, CHENANGO, OTSEGO, BROOME AND DELAWARE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHENANGO, CORTLAND, DELAWARE, OTSEGO, ONEIDA, MADISON AND ONONDAGA COUNTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 WS Warning now in effect for the southern Dacks for 6-10... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 339 PM EST SUN DEC 11 2016 NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... OLD FORGE...ATWELL...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...LONG LAKE... SABATTIS...HOFFMEISTER...WELLS...CAROGA LAKE 339 PM EST SUN DEC 11 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Well Well, an underperforming SWFE that's gonna warm up and melt tomorrow with temps approaching 40. This December to remember, is gonna turn ugly. I just have a bad feeling but then again that seems the norm lately. I know its early in the event, but looking at the returns, darker returns approach and dry up, then refire to our East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Cant even get a solid area of precip to come through. I just don't get tit sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 second part of that didnt quirw come out right with a typo, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2.25" so far for the synoptic event today and averaging about .50"/hour thus far. I'm guessing KBGM at the airport is probably closer to 3". Odds of busting low down here is increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Not up here. Pixie dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Wait, let me correct my post. Its not snowing at all anymore so....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 About a inch here in roc. Better snowfall aproaching buffalo as waa increases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Not up here. Pixie dust Well to be fair, even though NWS started the advisory earlier this afternoon to match up with the first returns, the models weren't really showing much accumulation for north central NY until later this evening starting around 3z. Latest runs of NAM and HRRR still showing a slug of moderate to heavy snow coming through C NY between 6-10z and that seems to match up well with the radar showing the main shield of precip well back to the west over lower MI, OH, and northern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 32 minutes ago, tim123 said: About a inch here in roc. Better snowfall aproaching buffalo as waa increases. How much did you end up up there in Wayne county from the LES? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Not much here 2 inches maybe but sodus way had 6 to 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 13 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Well to be fair, even though NWS started the advisory earlier this afternoon, the models weren't really showing much accumulation for north central NY starting until later this evening around 11z. Latest runs of NAM and HRRR still showing a healthy slug of moderate to heavy snow coming through C NY between 6-10z and that seems to match up well with the radar showing a large shield of precip well back to the west over lower MI, OH, and northern IN. We are running about 2" here in Buffalo so we are on track to get the 3-5" NWS is calling for, it's better than nothing considering we only had an inch so far this winter lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 2 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: We are running about 2" here in Buffalo so we are on track to get the 3-5" NWS is calling for, it's better than nothing considering we only had an inch so far this winter lol.. Same here in Amherst/Snyder. First time grass has been covered this season. Baby steps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Over 3 inches here now. Snow has picked up quite a bit in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 30 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Over 3 inches here now. Snow has picked up quite a bit in the last hour. Ya just went out to measure and to my surprise there's 3.4" on my car and still coming down pretty good but not as heavy as 30 minutes ago. Thinking we may pick up another 1-2" which would be a decent little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 21 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Over 3 inches here now. Snow has picked up quite a bit in the last hour. I love what the HRRR is showing for early tomorrow morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 But its rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2016 Author Share Posted December 12, 2016 Lots of snow to come might be an overperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 12z euro jumped precip up to 1/2" at Kfzy, NWS using 12-1 ratios until the end of the event when precipitation will be shutting off.. Could be a nice little event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Sref like this event as well..(Not all from synoptic) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 What did euro show for roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Between 0.3-0.4" of liquid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 43 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: I love what the HRRR is showing for early tomorrow morning lol The HRRR was as completely wrong with the early stages of the recent event, so I highly doubt a strong band will end up developing tomorrow with marginal 850 T's. Which begs the question, how can such a short-term, high-res model be so off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 nice to at least see the precip to our S/SW filling in with the increasing WAA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Lake event for wednsday thursday looks nice for south shore to tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Nws already saying lighting and thunder with with frontal passage. And temps fallind to single digits above and below zero thursday night. Hope we can use these very warm lakes for some fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Some early totals in south Central NY... PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 839 PM EST SUN DEC 11 2016 ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...BROOME COUNTY... NWS BINGHAMTON 2.0 700 PM ...CHENANGO COUNTY... 7 SSE BAINBRIDGE 1.5 821 PM ...SULLIVAN COUNTY... CALLICOON CENTER 2.0 835 PM ...TIOGA COUNTY... 1 SE RICHFORD 2.5 832 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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