CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 hours ago, swva said: We racked up here in Redfield in that November event. Not really expecting that again but could be a nice event. Air is not as cold with this blast either. Cold air means nothing really as there only needs to be a 13 degree difference between the Lake temp and air at H850 so for me, air temp means little if there is ample moisture in the BL with winds that are lined up. The only reason we may not see totals up there in the 3-4' range is because of the duration but intensity may in fact rival that of Novembers event so we'll see what happens. If I'm wrong, then I'm wrong but I'm still happy to replenish our snow cover that has been wiped out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Easily an inch down maybe two, huge flakes .. For some reason NWS issued a winter weather advisory on top of a lake effect advisory.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just took a quick measurement at work and it's already over 2" on the ground... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 A little surprise in Kroc. Moderate snow for the last 3 hrs in Irondequoit. Just N of Kroc. We had a 0% chance. I love living in LES zone. They can't forecast it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3.5" here and pouring snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I just got up and it looks to be about 2 1/2 inches here and still pouring down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Getting some huge graupel right now, it's like getting hit in the face with miniature snowballs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Long range 3k nam looks nice This is after we have already picked up double digit snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 "Officially" measured 2.6 inches at 7 AM. After a lull in the action the snow picked back up and about another inch has fallen. Snow is currently falling at a moderate rate with good flake size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Measured at 830, 3.0" here, liquid equivalent of 0.17...good thing it's going to be relatively cold the next few days or this would be gone quickly. Looks like we have one more warmup coming early next week before a colder pattern gets established in the long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Congrats guys! Only about 1" in Redfield. Got hit with a lot of graupel while the band was up this way. Glad you guys are cashing in. I'll have to wait until the next one. Band still looks pretty organized this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Looks like this event's just about over. I just went out and measured 5 inches total. Now it's time to turn our eyes to the next event tomorrow through Friday. The potential is there to at least double the amount we got today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Lol, didn't even get an inch. Good job KBGM. Advisories when not needed but none when needed!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 18 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Lol, didn't even get an inch. Good job KBGM. Advisories when not needed but none when needed! Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Where are you located? The advisory definitely verified here. It's difficult for KBGM to restrict an advisory to just the northern part of Onondaga County. If the band had moved another 5 miles south you probably would have verified too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Wind is going to be a factor in this next round too. Moderate to Heavy snow with strong winds = whiteout. I'm thinking 10-15" with a few spots maybe pushing 2'. Not factoring in 2-3" synoptic tomorrow. What do you guys think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Where are you located? The advisory definitely verified here. It's difficult for KBGM to restrict an advisory to just the northern part of Onondaga County. If the band had moved another 5 miles south you probably would have verified too. Liverpool, says it under my name I think, lol. Anyway, I understand as I've been here for too long! Knew it was going to be a So. Oswego cty Special but thought it would make it to the Cuse for a couple areas. We cash in on tomorrows event BIG TIME!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Very light dusting in Baldwinsville, nada downtown. Looks like that band didn't move much:) SWVA, I'll be up your way tomorrow through the weekend. Hoping we get some. It will make or break the weekend for snowmobiling. I keep hearing this is going to be a NW wind event setting up central and southern Oswego county. But I'm seeing a N. Redfield/Boyleston special here. Winds 270ish from 10:00 pm Thurs to 1:00 am Saturday. 27 hours at 1"-3"/hr. Hmmmm. This is the wind from Watertown loacation. Other wind reports starting on a 240-250, moving to 270 Fri am, but still a prolonged 270ish. DATE WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 28 THURSDAY DECEMBER 29 FRIDAY DECEMBER 30 SAT HOUR 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 10:00 PM 1:00 AM 4:00 AM 7:00 AM 10:00 AM 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 10:00 PM 1:00 AM 4:00 AM 7:00 AM 10:00 AM 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 1:00 AM 7:00 AM SKY Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy TEMP (F) 30 29 27 28 32 32 33 35 37 37 35 36 36 34 32 30 30 29 28 25 22 WIND CHILL 21 23 25 24 26 24 24 27 29 30 26 27 26 24 21 17 17 16 16 14 19 WIND DIRECTION (AZIMUTH) 280 270 190 150 120 140 150 160 200 240 250 270 270 270 270 280 270 260 270 270 180 AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS (MPH) 10 5 2 3 6 9 11 11 11 9 12 14 17 17 18 21 20 20 18 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2.5" in Phoenix. Drove up to Fulton this morning and it looked like a good 5 to 6 fell there. I am seeing a 290ish wind for our next round. Everything looks good for 12+ north of the thruway IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Couple inches of a muddy mess in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 12 minutes ago, danno said: Very light dusting in Baldwinsville, nada downtown. Looks like that band didn't move much:) SWVA, I'll be up your way tomorrow through the weekend. Hoping we get some. It will make or break the weekend for snowmobiling. I keep hearing this is going to be a NW wind event setting up central and southern Oswego county. But I'm seeing a N. Redfield/Boyleston special here. Winds 270ish from 10:00 pm Thurs to 1:00 am Saturday. 27 hours at 1"-3"/hr. Hmmmm. This is the wind from Watertown loacation. Other wind reports starting on a 240-250, moving to 270 Fri am, but still a prolonged 270ish. DATE WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 28 THURSDAY DECEMBER 29 FRIDAY DECEMBER 30 SAT HOUR 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 10:00 PM 1:00 AM 4:00 AM 7:00 AM 10:00 AM 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 10:00 PM 1:00 AM 4:00 AM 7:00 AM 10:00 AM 1:00 PM 4:00 PM 7:00 PM 1:00 AM 7:00 AM SKY Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy TEMP (F) 30 29 27 28 32 32 33 35 37 37 35 36 36 34 32 30 30 29 28 25 22 WIND CHILL 21 23 25 24 26 24 24 27 29 30 26 27 26 24 21 17 17 16 16 14 19 WIND DIRECTION (AZIMUTH) 280 270 190 150 120 140 150 160 200 240 250 270 270 270 270 280 270 260 270 270 180 AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS (MPH) 10 5 2 3 6 9 11 11 11 9 12 14 17 17 18 21 20 20 18 12 2 I disagree 100%. Your not gonna get a 270, a straight West wind, with an MSLP that looks like this, and a H500 like this. Not this time around. Dont worry, Redfield gets plenty of the white stuff to miss out on 1, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 i think the LES band does set up south Oswego but disagree that Redfield misses out totally. I think we cash in on some pretty good upslope like November event but I could be wrong. Only got an 1" from last night and thought we would do much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Everyone is gonna get something this time around I think with who knows where ending up the jackpot. I know one place where they'll be jackpot ting and that's in Central Maine. MSLP down to 965??? Wow, to the pressure falls as well!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 i think the LES band does set up south Oswego but disagree that Redfield misses out totally. I think we cash in on some pretty good upslope like November event but I could be wrong. Only got an 1" from last night and thought we would do much better.Your gonna do very very well up there as it does well with just about any wind flow. a 250-270 is ideal for Redfield to get big big snows but with a 290-300 your gonna do just fine. Maybe not 2+ft but definitely over 10" I think.Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 4 hours ago, Syrmax said: Measured at 830, 3.0" here, liquid equivalent of 0.17...good thing it's going to be relatively cold the next few days or this would be gone quickly. Looks like we have one more warmup coming early next week before a colder pattern gets established in the long term. 3 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Lol, didn't even get an inch. Good job KBGM. Advisories when not needed but none when needed! Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Same as Ty....Brian, you must have JUST gotten in on some of the heavier snow....usually you, me and Ty are teamates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 This will be a southern Oswego Co./ N. Onondaga Co. event..(max totals of 15-20")...with the Tug getting upslope scraps...of many inches!! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Same as Ty....Brian, you must have JUST gotten in on some of the heavier snow....usually you, me and Ty are teamates! It was just a weird event. Even when higher returns passed over the area, the intensity would not change. We were under 20-25dbz's for a good 1hr or 2 with 0 accumulation so..... suffice to say, I was livid!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 What are ur thoughts George on this next event. I think we're in the sweet spot for this one for at least a period of time during the event!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Off Lake Ontario... The entire event will be within a west northwest flow, which will direct most of the heavier snow into areas southeast of Lake Ontario. A secondary trough will cross the lake Thursday evening, following that boundary layer flow will become well aligned and lake induced equilibrium levels will quickly rise to over 12Z feet. This should allow a band of lake effect snow to become better organized by mid to late evening mainly across Oswego County, with the band of snow quickly settling a little south and focusing on southern Oswego, northern Cayuga, and northern and eastern Wayne county later Thursday night through Friday night. The snow will taper off later Friday night as deeper moisture pulls away and inversion heights quickly lower. The northwest flow direction suggests an upstream connection to Georgian Bay will develop at times, which often is responsible for enhancing the Lake Ontario band under a west northwest flow regime. Forecast soundings show a deep layer of moisture and a deep dendritic crystal growth layer, supporting heavy snow at times southeast of the lake. In addition to the pure lake effect, some upslope, lake enhanced snow will also be found across the Tug Hill and northwest facing slopes of the western Adirondacks. Finally, the northwest flow will also likely allow some lake effect snow to move onshore at the western end of Lake Ontario, with light to moderate accumulations possible along the lakeshore in Niagara and Orleans counties. In the Rochester area, this flow direction tends to produce light to moderate snow along the lakeshore near Hilton, and also in the eastern suburbs with higher amounts staying east in Wayne County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Thats from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Doesn't matter, shouldn't change much, lol!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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