DeltaT13 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Pattern is certainly looking atrocious for the next few weeks. Nothing even remotely exciting on the horizon with a doomsday like SE ride becoming firmly entrenched. The snowpack will be gone by next week so at this point I'd actually like to hasten its departure so I can at least work on some yard projects that have lingered through the fall. Lets hope the second half of January brings it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Alls I have to say is this. Here in the upstate, it can SNOW in an above normal regime, so I'm really not concerned especially it being 2 weeks out. We all knew, after this current Arctic shot came through the cold would have to reload so if anyone expected cold straight through to March is not being realistic. look at the November and the 3 weeks of Dec we just had??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Great day for a winter hike on the waterfront. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Great day for a winter hike on the waterfront. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 15 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Alls I have to say is this. Here in the upstate, it can SNOW in an above normal regime, so I'm really not concerned especially it being 2 weeks out. We all knew, after this current Arctic shot came through the cold would have to reload so if anyone expected cold straight through to March is not being realistic. look at the November and the 3 weeks of Dec we just had??? I'm just saying that a 970mb low over Lake Superior would mean howling south winds over us. I know a lot can happen in 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 I'm just saying that a 970mb low over Lake Superior would mean howling south winds over us. I know a lot can happen in 10 days Oh, no doubt, it's a straight nasty system that would effect everyone from MI eastward. Is this the first run showing these 2 back to back cutters? Yesterday it showed 2 favorable systems in the same time frame, lol. If we can eek by the 25th with some of the white stuff still around I'll be happy. Theres nothing worst than it pouring outside when gifts are being opened, NO?Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 From GoldenSnowball.com - not so bad compared to last year....just some perspective... GSB Cities This Seasons City Snowfall Totals Combined Combined Snow Totals Last Season Deficit This Season & Last Binghamton 53.6 1.1 + 52.5 Syracuse 49.2 0.8 + 48.4 Rochester 40.7 1.2 + 39.5 Buffalo 25.8 0.1 + 25.7 Albany 10.6 Trace + 10.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 lol, it looked like Thursdays system would drop further South, than the current runs are showing, so that too has changed. Oh well, like I said, Ill be happy to keep what we have till Sunday and then let nature do what it likes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: Pattern is certainly looking atrocious for the next few weeks. Nothing even remotely exciting on the horizon with a doomsday like SE ride becoming firmly entrenched. The snowpack will be gone by next week so at this point I'd actually like to hasten its departure so I can at least work on some yard projects that have lingered through the fall. Lets hope the second half of January brings it. I hate to admit it but that is a very impressive Bermuda high that builds in after Christmas. There's no fighting that thing. Just going to have to wait for it to relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Whats gonna be crossing KBUF's metro area in about an 1-1.5 hrs is gonna do so at a snails pace and if the intensity is anywhere near what they were yesterday, for us here in Syracuse, then I'd expect 3-6" area wide so hope it works out but either way, it settles to be about an 1", lol!, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 I'd call that H5 ridge a Bahama Pig as its pretty far to the South and East of Bermuda. Its center is in a spot where I can see improvement, its not really out in the Atlantic like they usually are and they cant be budged, so if this is where the HP is progged then I see some room to where we can squeeze something in here if the GFS is depicting the position of that Monstrous H5 HP correctly so we'll see. It's definitely gonna get warm, no doubt, but we can get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Its even building out over the lake as well so thats a good sign. Good luck guys its looking interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 21 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Its even building out over the lake as well so thats a good sign. Good luck guys its looking interesting. It's looking good on radar but the winds are so light it's almost tea kettleing. Heaviest returns are within a mile or two of the lake with nothing really falling just 5 miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 5 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: It's looking good on radar but the winds are so light it's almost tea kettleing. Heaviest returns are within a mile or two of the lake with nothing really falling just 5 miles inland. Yeah well with a 1040 HP overhead the winds tend to do that. Whoever gets in on the action should have fun whether it tea kettles or moves overhead but at a snails pace. I'm for the latter but we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 I'm more interested in intensity. I also haven't looked at any soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 parameters off the HRRR look good with the only caveat being the cap or eq's which are approaching 6kft which isn't too good but will work. Omega within the deepest layer of moisture is fantastic so big fat parachutes should fall. Snow growth is to the floor, lol, so growth should be outstanding so lets see what transpires. I bet you it snows extremely heavily when that hits the city. You guys will let me know, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 parameters actually get better as the day progresses, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Found this graphic on FB shared by NWS Binghamton. Upstate NY accounts for 4 of the top 5 snowiest cities in the eastern US so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Full on fluff mode here. Really just a light snow but these flakes are huge. A good inch in the last half hour just due to the fluff factor. HRRR and BTV WRF look good keeping this locked in through the rest of the day. As long as it can push onshore should be a fun afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Heavy snow NW of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Nice big fluffy flakes too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Yeah snow growth cant get any better, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Yeah snow growth cant get any better, lol! definitely now if it can only move 10 miles eastward as I'm driving back to my house lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 1 minute ago, ayuud11 said: definitely now if it can only move 10 miles eastward as I'm driving back to my house lol It's gonna be a stretch to get it far inland - some light styrofoam falling at UB North, but the skies look brighter to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 There's a 1040HP overhead and its snowing NE of both lakes! LES is definitely a meteorological phenomena! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 http://www.buffalowebcam.com/live-webcams/buffalo-ny-elmwood-bidwell-elmwood-taco-sub North Buffalo- definitely light but just beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 44 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Full on fluff mode here. Really just a light snow but these flakes are huge. A good inch in the last half hour just due to the fluff factor. HRRR and BTV WRF look good keeping this locked in through the rest of the day. As long as it can push onshore should be a fun afternoon. Coming down good at McKinley pkwy, you guys should do good if this thing stays like this for couple more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 Pretty much stopped here. Just doesn't want to push inland with the light winds. Really nice time lapse from downtown today. Looks like it really came down good for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 New Euro cuts the first system up to Montana, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 What a horrible upcoming 10 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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