ayuud11 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 It has to be coming down at 2-3l/hr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Nothing up at UB North, but I checked my security camera at home, and it's coming down hard in NE Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 lol dying band my ass, i just measured 5.3" at my house near Galleria and it's still coming down close to 2"/hr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 2 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: lol dying band my ass, i just measured 5.3" at my house near Galleria and it's still coming down close to 2"/hr! Awesome little surprise, theese are the best events. Not even an inch near Colvin and Delaware. Just flurries now too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Not overly enthused about tonight/tomorrow synoptic system. From my own observations these types of setups don't usually bode well for accumulating snow on the front end and the models are usually too slow on the transition from snow to mixed precip. I think th NWS amounts of 3-6/4-7 in the Advisory areas will generally bust high. I forsee a general 1-3 with some isolated 3-6 amounts in the high terrain E of 81 (southern Dacks, Catskills etc.) before we flip to sleet and eventually liquid in most spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Well that was fun...Saw the band swinging north up the lake, figured it would swing through and we would get a nice 15 minute burst of snow. Closing in on 3 hours later and 6 inches of powder on the ground at work in Lancaster (north side of town). Awesome little surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 20 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Awesome little surprise, theese are the best events. Not even an inch near Colvin and Delaware. Just flurries now too.. Really? From my camera at home it looks like 2-3 inches on the ground just a couple miles east, and still coming down pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 29 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Not overly enthused about tonight/tomorrow synoptic system. From my own observations these types of setups don't usually bode well for accumulating snow on the front end and the models are usually too slow on the transition from snow to mixed precip. I think th NWS amounts of 3-6/4-7 in the Advisory areas will generally bust high. I forsee a general 1-3 with some isolated 3-6 amounts in the high terrain E of 81 (southern Dacks, Catskills etc.) before we flip to sleet and eventually liquid in most spots. I have the same sentiment about these systems in general. It's only the extreme cold of this antecedent air mass that gives me any hope that this time will be different. But if I had to bet I would say a mushy 3 inches in my area and raining by noon Saturday, with temps well into the 40's by Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 17 minutes ago, WNash said: Really? From my camera at home it looks like 2-3 inches on the ground just a couple miles east, and still coming down pretty good. Right after I posted that it's been dumping snow. Prob close to 2" now. Just a couple miles east I know find better because for a good hour or two that band was literally just a mile or two South and a mile or two east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 That is one good looking SSW band, I wonder if it will stall near the southern Niagara border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Snow is finally letting up here on the north side of Lancaster. Probably about 6 inches of new fluff on the ground. The critters seemed to enjoy it (view from my office): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 I corrected BUF's AFD from 11 AM for them: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... A peek at regional satellite and radar imagery this morning indicates that the convergent lake effect band on Lake Erie is continuing to hold together quite impressively, as synoptic flow in the the in the lowest 5-6kft remains favorable to lake effect. This band will be pushed north across Erie County over the next several hours, in response to backing southerly flow as a surface high passes to our south. Given the fairly robust structure of the band, we should see a period of snowfall across the Buffalo metro during the early to mid-afternoon hours, with snowfall rates of around a half-inch 2-3 inches per hour, with total accumulations of up to 2 6 inches possible. The band should fall apart stay intact as it moves into the Northtowns/Niagara county this as the lake influence is diminished, just in time for the afternoon commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 7 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I corrected BUF's AFD from 11 AM for them: Hah! Here's their actual 3 PM AFD: Quote The Lake Erie lake effect band previously discussed continues to gradually make its way north across the Buffalo metro and has maintained its vigor as it has moved onshore, dropping several inches across the Buffalo metro over the last couple of hours. The good news is that this band is finally moving entirely onshore across the Niagara peninsula, and should weaken over the next hour or two as it loses its overwater fetch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Ended up with 5.5" which fell between 11:30-1:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 I don't think this even needs to be verbalized. Events like tonight are just plain ****ty. From start to finish it is completely useless. They underperform, turn over quick, and everything added melts fast. It was nice while it lasted. 1 hour ago, BGM Blizzard said: Not overly enthused about tonight/tomorrow synoptic system. From my own observations these types of setups don't usually bode well for accumulating snow on the front end and the models are usually too slow on the transition from snow to mixed precip. I think th NWS amounts of 3-6/4-7 in the Advisory areas will generally bust high. I forsee a general 1-3 with some isolated 3-6 amounts in the high terrain E of 81 (southern Dacks, Catskills etc.) before we flip to sleet and eventually liquid in most spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Heres a funny one. Buffalo really likes to buck the system sometimes. Look at the solid continuity across the entire great lakes, mid atlantic, and Northeast....except in WNY where buffalo doesnt feel that this event warrants a standard WWA. I mean solely from a continuity standpoint they should just add those few counties. Good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Heres a funny one. Buffalo really likes to buck the system sometimes. Look at the solid continuity across the entire great lakes, mid atlantic, and Northeast....except in WNY where buffalo doesnt feel that this event warrants a standard WWA. I mean solely from a continuity standpoint they should just add those few counties. Good grief. Only Oswego County warrants an Advisory, lol, give me a break. Makes absolutely no sense as, even Canada's Ontario province is under advisories, lol. They'll add em later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Cant imagine us losing, what was able to accumulate as of late, with 12 hrs above freezing?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Yeah it puts a damper on the current mood but I guess losing an inch or 2 from temps approaching 40 isn't as bad as a full blown torch that wipes out everything kind of like what happened in November here in Syracuse. It was gone in 2 days close to 30". That's why I absolutely hate early season snows because it not like its gonna hang around or anything like that. Unless you just like the site of falling snow, there's no purpose. I wanna build a glacier in the Winter. I don't even plow,lol, unless its absolutely necessary! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 That band off Erie finally seems to be breaking up. Nice surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 If we happen to pull off a couple inches before the slop commences, I will be extremely surprised, but whatever does happen won't be a surprise as we've seen this kind of bull**** set-up before. it kills me to know that if this POS system would of tracked 50 miles further East, we would have stayed all frozen, but no, lets just obliterate whatever snow that fell thus far in the month of December in a matter of 18hrs because the possibility exists to actually see a couple 50's before the front barrels through the area on Sunday, before we see a flash freeze as temps tumble into the 20's within a few hrs. DISGUSTING IS WHAT IT IS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Now lets see how much precip the atmosphere wastes before we see flakes fall from the sky. Tp of 20F and a dp of 8, lol, good luck as the BL is absolutely parched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Tonights snow is gonna be of the sand variety, lol, as we'll be lucky if there's sufficient moisture within the snow growth which is quite high. However, it starts out quite low but as WAA kicks in it rises quite rapidly. We probably have a 4-5 hr window for the snow to accumulate otherwise IDK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 So much for not issuing a WWA lol, 3.1" so far and it's coming down decent maybe half inch to 3/4 an hour.. heading out to plow in 20 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 18 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: So much for not issuing a WWA lol, 3.1" so far and it's coming down decent maybe half inch to 3/4 an hour.. heading out to plow in 20 mins. Agreed...same in ROC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Snowing pretty darn good here in L'pool....about 1.5" thus far, 1/2 mile vis. or less....nice flake size! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 I just measured an inch here but we're currently in the heaviest snow from this system. The question is how long will this last before the precipitation shuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 We are up to 5 inches here in Cheektowaga, it's actually snowing decent despite what the radar is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Just measured almost 2 1/2 inches since 7 which means we're pushing 3 1/2 inches for the event. It's still snowing moderately but the intensity is down from an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 28 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: We are up to 5 inches here in Cheektowaga, it's actually snowing decent despite what the radar is showing. Same here regarding the radar, quite heavy snow with minimal returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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