Polarbear Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Jealous lol Photos don't do it justice and videos are to big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I got in to work early and was in a meeting and missed most of the snow here in downtown Syr. That was faster than i thought...the old broom off the lake. Looks like maybe an inch or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Southern band off Huron is being drawn into much stronger northern band....none of the meso's show this (little depiction of the southern band)....and this interaction a bit later will be interesting... Loop this: http://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WSO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 the way the radar looked an hr ago i expected the snow to have stopped by now... but looks to have reoriented and game on again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I seriously think So.Oswego, No. Onondaga are gonna be under the snow gun for a good 4-6hr period this afternoon into this evening so I think tonights commute is gonna be a treacherous one. If it starts further North, I don't think it'll be up there for long. It may be our turn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 12 minutes ago, Polarbear said: the way the radar looked an hr ago i expected the snow to have stopped by now... but looks to have reoriented and game on again... Yeah, the wind in the lowest couple thousand feet are backing, and in response we can see L. Ontario starting to fire again over the Lake...I suspect that there will be some shoreline convergence for a bit, until the Huron/Ontario connection is made, then the inflow into it will overpower any shoreline convergence...I think the radar between 2pm and 7pm will be screenshot worthy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I seriously think So.Oswego, No. Onondaga are gonna be under the snow gun for a good 4-6hr period this afternoon into this evening so I think tonights commute is gonna be a treacherous one. If it starts further North, I don't think it'll be up there for long. It may be our turn! GFS meso from 00z last night had the band reforming right over us...but at 06z, it shifted it's starting location about 20 miles north....but current trends via vis sat., and radar look more and more like the new band will form south of Pulaski...and maybe as far south as Brewerton....and then a slower "drift"/reorientation to the south than this morning's "ye 'ol broom effect" (credit coined phrase to Brian!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Huron band is exploding! Some pink flecks in the returns....rare! http://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WKR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 6 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Huron band is exploding! Some pink flecks in the returns....rare! http://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WKR Thats between 5-6"/hr stuff in Ontario! Come on down baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Thats between 5-6"/hr stuff in Ontario! Come on down baby. Central L. Ontario is beginning to respond...I suspect tremendous lifting going on, and with better microphysics this time, suspect some thundersnow later this afternoon somewhere off Ontario.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3km nam give all of monroe county a inch of liquid later today into the eve. Could be a big hit for roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Interesting that on radar, the Huron band seems NW-SE oriented, yet over Ontario it looks more westerly. Satellite shows the tail clouds of the Huron band almost curving to the west as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: 3km nam give all of monroe county a inch of liquid later today into the eve. Could be a big hit for roc Can you post? I see the Hi Res 4k Nam, and it gives under .5 for Monroe Co..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, vortmax said: Interesting that on radar, the Huron band seems NW-SE oriented, yet over Ontario it looks more westerly. Satellite shows the tail clouds of the Huron band almost curving to the west as well. Ontario is still ahead of the shortwave....Huron is in it's wake...but also the geometry of L. Ontario's orientation tends to keep winds more aligned with it's long axis... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: Can you post? I see the Hi Res 4k Nam, and it gives under .5 for Monroe Co..... was gonna say the same thing! Link?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I think what we'll see (and it's not seen on the meso's) is that as the Huron band settles a bit further south, away from Geo. Bay, a new band will form off Geo. Bay and the two will make a sideways "V", pointed directly at L. Ontario and feeding it's developing band... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: I think what we'll see (and it's not seen on the meso's) is that as the Huron band settles a bit further south, away from Geo. Bay, a new band will form off Geo. Bay and the two will make a sideways "V", pointed directly at L. Ontario and feeding it's developing band... Thats what 3 km shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Ahh....the "overdone" model...lol! One can only dream....but I'd take those totals with a large grain of salt.....I've seen 24 hour LES events put out decent qpf....but in an arctic airmass, those 3.5+" qpf totals off Huron are very laughable.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 that including what fell yesterday as well. 12z 16th to 20Z 16th would be correct! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: that including what fell yesterday as well. 12z 16th to 20Z 16th would be correct! No all to come yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I'd like to get in on some of that ocean-effect stuff...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: that including what fell yesterday as well. 12z 16th to 20Z 16th would be correct! No...today is the 15th....lol! That includes tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 lol, my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, vortmax said: I'd like to get in on some of that ocean-effect stuff...lol Tough to get it to accumulate on 60+ degree water.....would probably need it to snow at about 1000"/hr..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3km did well with event yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 So dynamic i would almost excpect thundersnow later along south shore. This morning was bad but this eve will be much worse in my opinion. Picked up 2 inches in 45 min this am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 10 minutes ago, tim123 said: 3km did well with event yesterday? For total precip accumulations? Location....I'd agree, but the qpf is overdone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 KBUF's meso wrf did an outstanding job with this mornings Broom as well so we'll see how it does this afternoon. Its forming in South Oswego county right around Brewerton where my old crib is at. The orientation is weird though, Could actually fool me and go due East as well. LE isa something else! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, tim123 said: So dynamic i would almost excpect thundersnow later along south shore. This morning was bad but this eve will be much worse in my opinion. Picked up 2 inches in 45 min this am I'd agree with the thundersnow....colder, relatively drier (but still "moist" at colder temps.) will yield to more static charge separation (ice crystals rubbing against each other), thus higher potential for lightning.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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