Syrmax Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Lake Ontario band never made it very far south. Not surprising as it usually hangs up over Oswego cty. Should be nasty up there today. This will be one of those days where my kid has a snow day and it never snows here, although northern part of district will get hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The current band off Ontario is super impressive, especially with the fact that there isn't really a "connection" to the Upper Lakes.....but, once this band sweeps off the lake it will collapse quite quickly and be short-lived, thus Onondaga Co. will essentially just get a 1/2 hr. squall.....BUT then, Geo. Bay will instigate another band quite quickly, that will, again, start north then drift south late afternoon/evening.....That band may pump out 3-5"/hr. for areas further south (S. Oswego co./N. Onondaga Co. and points east) and be able to sustain itself much better as it moves south....maybe doubling or tripling the snowfall of this morning's band for Onondaga Co.....so for N. Onondaga Co. and SYR proper, look for 2-3" this morning....then an 8 hour break, then 5-10" this late afternoon/evening..... ....Some areas of the Tug will have storm totals (since yesterday) over 3'..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I don't think the second band that forms, and drives South. does so that far North as first projected. Well that's what the New 06Z Meso out of KBUF is spitting out so we'll see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 640 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016 NYZ004>006-151945- /O.CON.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 640 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ONE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALL WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY THIS MORNING. A SECOND SNOW SQUALL WILL MOVE THROUGH THE COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES TODAY...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT IN PERSISTENT SNOWS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH... STRONGEST NEAR LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE. * VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 15 AND 20 THROUGH 6 AM. HIGHS AROUND 20 TODAY. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE ZERO TONIGHT. * WIND CHILLS...5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO THURSDAY...DROPPING TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADWAYS AND SEVERELY REDUCED VISIBILITIES WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS OF 1O TO 20 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR HYPOTHERMIA AND FROSTBITE. STRONG WINDS MAY BRING DOWN A FEW TREES AND POWERLINES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. Never seen one of these issued in Oswego Cty or anywhere for that matter since Ive lived here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 This band that's about to come through has connections to both Huron and Superior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Lake Ontario band never made it very far south. Not surprising as it usually hangs up over Oswego cty. Should be nasty up there today. This will be one of those days where my kid has a snow day and it never snows here, although northern part of district will get hit. it was never supposed to come South till this morning, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The whole South Shore is getting blitzed right now, Awesome to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 24 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: This band that's about to come through has connections to both Huron and Superior? From a seeding point, yes...but later today, the Geo. Bay connection will also incorporate the vertical circulation structure...super important in getting things really going 4 places south of Southern Oswego County.... in terms of high snowfall rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I know it was talked about, but I guess I lost track with the snow last night or was thinking it was more for tmw morning but a little shocked to see 3f this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The heavy snow moved in here about 10 minutes ago. The band is moving steadily to the south so we won't be in it for a long period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Looks like seeding from GB on it's way already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I am in a blizzard warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 6 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: The heavy snow moved in here about 10 minutes ago. The band is moving steadily to the south so we won't be in it for a long period of time. Yep, and it's weakening pretty quickly now as it falls off the lake....that's why 2-3" will be the max from Brewerton south.....I think this afternoon, Brewerton to SYR should do quite a bit better, accumulation wise.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 20 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: From a seeding point, yes...but later today, the Geo. Bay connection will also incorporate the vertical circulation structure...super important in getting things really going 4 places south of Southern Oswego County.... in terms of high snowfall rates understood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 S++ right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Super cold too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: understood! Plus, I think the residence time will be quite a bit longer for us, Ty.....maybe for 1-2 hours....makes a big difference when rates are so high, wrt accumulations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Thanks George! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 I'm just not as confident as the meso's are with the second band forming up on the TUG, as I think it will be considerably South of there, IMO from just looking upstream at the upper GL's. I could be way off here with my thinking, but we'll see. The winds are more NWerly than first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Been snowing since I woke up at 430 but solid 1"/hr the last 1.5 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 0 vis right now with howling winds. Simply btutal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I'm just not as confident as the meso's are with the second band forming up on the TUG, as I think it will be considerably South of there, IMO from just looking upstream at the upper GL's. I could be way off here with my thinking, but we'll see. The winds are more NWerly than first thought. The winds are backing a bit up around Huron....So I think the band is going to form over N/C Oswego Co....then pivot south (as opposed to this morning's band which the WHOLE band is shifting south)...thus the connection to Geo. Bay. will allow the band to take on a more WNW/NW orientation, which is good for us in Onondaga Co.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 very good view of squalls at KSYR, their cams are almost just whiteouts! http://www.syrairport.org/about-us/live-video/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 here's a screenshot: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Rippin' here up at SU.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Round one is almost over, it's down to just a few flurries right now. I probably got about 1 to 2 inches out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just like last night from Erie, just pouring snow again now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, Polarbear said: Just like last night from Erie, just pouring snow again now... Jealous lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Huron is about to pour it's love onto Ontario: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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