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My first CWG outlook of the season


usedtobe

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Nothing much has cahnges since yesterday's discussion despite the various model gyrations.  You look at the 500h forecasts beween last night's Euro and GFS and they are quite different for the weekend through Monday event. Today's GGEM has a look more like last night's Euro but with some timing differences.  Today's GFS really dealys everything but might offer the western guys light freezing rain on Monday.  It's not a good look.  Bob showed the Euro ens mean low plot and it pretty much shows how many different solutions there are concerning the low track.  It's mean from last night would support winter weather before a changeover.  In reality,  any of the various solutions are possible from a lakes cutter to last night's Euro. 

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