powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Another thing to remember is there's a lot of wet-bulbing room in SNE...its 32/12 at BDL and 28/10 at ORH. ORH even had some single digit dews this afternoon and RH under 40%. The dry air in the low levels should help tick temps down a decent bit once precip rolls in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Another thing to remember is there's a lot of wet-bulbing room in SNE...its 32/12 at BDL and 28/10 at ORH. ORH even had some single digit dews this afternoon and RH under 40%. The dry air in the low levels should help tick temps down a decent bit once precip rolls in. Yeah to some extent... only issue is going to be southerly winds. BDL is out of the south now at 7 knots... that's not exactly what you want to see for locking in the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I think you'll have something...its been very cold early on so the ground has to be pretty frozen so its not like it'll be melting from the ground up and from the air like some early season events. Probably something where it melts and falls off the trees but you have something left on the grass and deck. If the NAM and HRRR are right I get almost nothing so it won't matter . If the RGEM is right .. I could have full coverage . Too much stress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, CT Rain said: Yeah to some extent... only issue is going to be southerly winds. BDL is out of the south now at 7 knots... that's not exactly what you want to see for locking in the cold. True, probably will help more in the areas that can lock in the cold like the east slopes and ORH hills... but yeah maybe its one of those things where we see the dews jump up by 10-15 degrees and the ambient temp only drops a couple degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: If the NAM and HRRR are right I get almost nothing so it won't matter . If the RGEM is right .. I could have full coverage . Too much stress I agree with Will though... you get 2.5" or more I think you'll have coverage. You're right though, an inch or something and it disappears. Hopefully it busts cold for you or that the precip moves in with full body before the warmth tries to overrun it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 11 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Well, I was expecting 1-3 overnight Sunday and pretty much washed away by Monday PM. Not too surprised, but of course would have been nice if the colder version anticipated a few days ago had verified. On to the next one. Aren't you in Worcester? You'll do way better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Right now I'd go 1-3 for BOS metro. 2-4 for Rays area down to about Kevin. 3-5 for ORH. And 4-6 for Rt 2 corridor west of FIT. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 23 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: The key obstacle is the rapidly advancing warmth. Lol, thanks autocorrect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Congrats Dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, #NoPoles said: Congrats Dendrite lol that's a perfect map for that phrase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Oh, this little storm is going to be so good for Tenney Mtn. a bit OT, but y'all need to follow the resurrection via their FB page. Such a phenomenal amount of work and dedication to get that local ski place up and running! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 And we just lost our only hope in SNE on the Rgem. Enjoy this one up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And we just lost our only hope in SNE on the Rgem. Enjoy this one up north I think you are being a bit too negative . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Lol I have to agree on that. The Euros wheelhouse is down to like 24-36 hours now..what happened to that model?? Ever since Brexit, the Euro hasn't been the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 29 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Oh, this little storm is going to be so good for Tenney Mtn. a bit OT, but y'all need to follow the resurrection via their FB page. Such a phenomenal amount of work and dedication to get that local ski place up and running! I love their almost daily updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think you are being a bit too negative . His emotional swings over a 1 inch difference in a snowfall algorithm output is amusing. Ive seen those maps give me 3" on a SWFE and end up with double that. Esp when you are near the transition zone during the heaviest precip rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 18z gfs is juicing up the front end a bit more. Esp for ORH out toward Berkshires. That's pretty good before it flips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Drove up to Tenney yesterday. Nice to see the snow guns/fans making snow. But he's only making snow on the snow tubing lanes for now. One would suspect they'd be laying snow on the mountain by now if they intend to open for Christmas Week. So until then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: His emotional swings over a 1 inch difference in a snowfall algorithm output is amusing. Ive seen those maps give me 3" on a SWFE and end up with double that. Esp when you are near the transition zone during the heaviest precip rate. Wx is emotional. I think we all know that. With snowfall being the most emotionally exhausting. Just going to have to hold off those 925 torched temps from racing north. If the rates are heavy that could help hold it south . But if rates are higher 90 north then it's lights out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 49 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z RGEM I will go for the 8-10 that is throwing me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 In ORH here. May get lucky and do better than I thought, but CNE NNE get the best out of this. Anyhow, it really is just weather. Not like our emotional state changes anything so might as well just enjoy it for the science. Based on the 925/950 proverbial "torch", I was under the impression we hit 7 or 8 C tomorrow at 2 m which pretty much melts anything under 3 inches unless it is very short duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Feeling bullish up here with solid ratios, oe contribution...thinking 8 to 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: His emotional swings over a 1 inch difference in a snowfall algorithm output is amusing. Ive seen those maps give me 3" on a SWFE and end up with double that. Esp when you are near the transition zone during the heaviest precip rate. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Feeling bullish up here with solid ratios, oe contribution...thinking 8 to 12" Great place to be.... Perfect climate zone for me, except maybe the mid winter rainers that come when storms pass to the west. Would love the cooler summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 is there any reasonable chance the snow even sticks in BOS? looks like we're getting snow followed by a good bit of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 8 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Great place to be.... Perfect climate zone for me, except maybe the mid winter rainers that come when storms pass to the west. Would love the cooler summers. Yeah not always a great place to hold snow. Interior is much better...but i like people so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 34 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: In ORH here. May get lucky and do better than I thought, but CNE NNE get the best out of this. Anyhow, it really is just weather. Not like our emotional state changes anything so might as well just enjoy it for the science. Based on the 925/950 proverbial "torch", I was under the impression we hit 7 or 8 C tomorrow at 2 m which pretty much melts anything under 3 inches unless it is very short duration. Why do you keep using Celsius? Anyway you aren't hitting 46-47F. If you did it would literally be for like an hour. It's possible it doesn't get out of the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I've been away from computer and haven't seen 18z stuff, but I think my group briefed on 1-2" for Logan with the caveat of a burst getting them a bit more should that happen. I could see the west side of the city getting a good 2-3. We'll have to see how the fluff tonight works out along with any stuff coming up from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Why do you keep using Celsius? Anyway you aren't hitting 46-47F. If you did it would literally be for like an hour. It's possible it doesn't get out of the 30s. Actually think more in Celsius than in Fahrenheit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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