ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 Rap model is pretty weenieish for SE MA late this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Rap model is pretty weenieish for SE MA late this evening. I've seen some meso's spit out some higher totals too. Was wondering if it's frontogenesis related as the warm front pushes north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 RAP suggests some 3-4 inch totals until the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I've seen some meso's spit out some higher totals too. Was wondering if it's frontogenesis related as the warm front pushes north. Yeah in low levels. Some good LL convergence in that area so for a while it could be a little bit of enhancement to the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 FWIW at this time range, here's the HRRR's 18hr (7:00a.m.) snowfall. At that same time, it has the rn/snow line straight across the CT/MA line except for the CRV where it shoots up to Northampton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: FWIW at this time range, here's the HRRR's 18hr (7:00a.m.) snowfall: You driving in tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: You driving in tomorrow? I'm thinking of making it a 'work from home' day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I've seen some meso's spit out some higher totals too. Was wondering if it's frontogenesis related as the warm front pushes north. There has been a signal of some almost convective like nature of snow (cellular low level stuff) assoc with convergence of SE vs SW winds. That's been on the models for a day now. That's why i said the s coast may get a surprise 1-2" where perhaps they weren't expecting much of anything. Maybe more just inland there into SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1-2" at BOS would be the current call on my end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'll take the Rgem over this new Euro. What a POS lol I don't even have to check to see what it shows when this is DIT's take. I'm going on on a limb and will say the RGEM is snowier for NCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol I don't even have to check to see what it shows when this is DIT's take. I'm going on on a limb and will say the RGEM is snowier for NCT. Of course, But it really wasn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Of course, But it really wasn't It was . 4" vs 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It was . 4" vs 2" Yeah I don't know how that makes a model a POS when you are on the line in a front end thump situation. It's a 2-4" forecast and all models are in that range. Not sure what else you expect from the models...all showing exactly the same amount? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I don't know how that makes a model a POS when you are on the line in a front end thump situation. It's a 2-4" forecast and all models are in that range. Not sure what else you expect from the models...all showing exactly the same amount? I would figure 3" and call it a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I would figure 3" and call it a day I don't expect more than 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 There's a reason we have ranges. We don't forecast with one amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 GFS and EURO have me at 2", NAM at 1". I like my call of 1" for downtown KBOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Well, the NAM's continued it's roasting solution for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Looks like a snow sky. Temp up about 20 degrees from the overnight low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Who's going to start the obs thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 Right now I'd go 1-3 for BOS metro. 2-4 for Rays area down to about Kevin. 3-5 for ORH. And 4-6 for Rt 2 corridor west of FIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Right now I'd go 1-3 for BOS metro. 2-4 for Rays area down to about Kevin. 3-5 for ORH. And 4-6 for Rt 2 corridor west of FIT. You think any of it will be left Tuesday AM south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Latest HRRR. It has the rn/sn line moving rapidly northward, through CT by 7:00a.m. Continues rapidly at least to the Pike (further in the CRV) by the end of the run (8:00a.m.). 25.8/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You think any of it will be left Tuesday AM south of 90? If you manage like 3" I bet there will be. It's not like it's going to spike to 50. Maybe upper 30s to near 40 for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Right now I'd go 1-3 for BOS metro. 2-4 for Rays area down to about Kevin. 3-5 for ORH. And 4-6 for Rt 2 corridor west of FIT. Yeah that sounds good, though I haven't looked that hard at the gradient areas other than I think there's a good portion of SNE that could be included in a 1-4" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Who's going to start the obstacles thread? The key obstacle is the rapidly advancing warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Obs thread has been started, See if we can get a mod to pin it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You think any of it will be left Tuesday AM south of 90? Yeah I think you'll have something...its been very cold early on so the ground has to be pretty frozen so its not like it'll be melting from the ground up and from the air like some early season events. Probably something where it melts and falls off the trees but you have something left on the grass and deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Well, the NAM's continued it's roasting solution for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Well, I was expecting 1-3 overnight Sunday and pretty much washed away by Monday PM. Not too surprised, but of course would have been nice if the colder version anticipated a few days ago had verified. On to the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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