UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 2-5" NYC to rockland 6-10 north of rockland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 South of NYC? Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:24 PM, Franklin0529 said: South of NYC? Rain? Expand Ptype issues south of basically New Brunswick, if your at or north of Newark area your 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 ESNE gets crushed this run. A bit further south please. But I'll take this and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:28 PM, dmillz25 said: ESNE gets crushed this run. A bit further south please. But I'll take this and run Expand Looking closer at it the track is real good and the strength is the same as 00z. The high is just weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:24 PM, Franklin0529 said: South of NYC? Rain? Expand 2 inch line starts at New Brunswick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:29 PM, Allsnow said: Looking closer at it the track is real good and the strength is the same as 00z. The high is just weaker. Expand Never cuts really, tracks through PA, not a bad track, need the H to be stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 850 Temps up here are between -4 and -10 during heaviest precip, could squeeze out better than 10:1 rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Euro also agrees with other guidance of another system following it up dropping an additional 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:51 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro also agrees with other guidance of another system following it up dropping an additional 3-6 Expand On 12/8/2016 at 6:51 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro also agrees with other guidance of another system following it up dropping an additional 3-6 Expand WHAT IS BEST EURO Website? I realize its not free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 These are all fast movers and I could see both the 11-12th system and the 14th give or take or so (exact timing uncertain) system being good for 1-4/2-5" area-wide. However, Sunday looks like very light snow or flurries with little if any accumulation (maybe a dusting) and if any/either of these systems (11-12 or 13-14/14-15) are stronger or strengthening they could hook more to the left sparing coastal regions that much of anything. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Just glad we are in a pattern with higher potential, the most exciting December pattern since 2013Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:56 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said: These are all fast movers and I could see both the 11-12th system and the 14th give or take or so (exact timing uncertain) system being good for 1-4/2-5" area-wide. However, Sunday looks like very light snow or flurries with little if any accumulation (maybe a dusting) and if any/either of these systems (11-12 or 13-14/14-15) are stronger or strengthening they could hook more to the left sparing coastal regions that much of anything. WX/PT Expand Thanks for the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 6:56 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said: These are all fast movers and I could see both the 11-12th system and the 14th give or take or so (exact timing uncertain) system being good for 1-4/2-5" area-wide. However, Sunday looks like very light snow or flurries with little if any accumulation (maybe a dusting) and if any/either of these systems (11-12 or 13-14/14-15) are stronger or strengthening they could hook more to the left sparing coastal regions that much of anything. WX/PT Expand Good to see PT back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 7:01 PM, White Gorilla said: Just glad we are in a pattern with higher potential, the most exciting December pattern since 2013 Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Expand Yeah last December we where wearing bathing suits with no chance at anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 7:04 PM, cleetussnow said: Good to see PT back! Expand Thank you! I was having a little trouble logging on or at least I thought I was. It's possible I was logged in the whole time! I'm just getting intrigued with what seems like an extremely active pattern though I'm not sure how well it will produce. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 7:13 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said: Thank you! I was having a little trouble logging on or at least I thought I was. It's possible I was logged in the whole time! I'm just getting intrigued with what seems like an extremely active pattern though I'm not sure how well it will produce. WX/PT Expand Great to have u back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Nam will look better than its tail end from this morning, brings the LP back down to reality, it was WAY north before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 THe EPS are just WOW! Lol... running from central jersey to Albany anywhere from 12-24" of paste...LHV, NYC, NNJ jackpot over next 8 days i haven't seen the ensembles this snowy in a couple years for this many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 8:37 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: THe EPS are just WOW! Lol... running from central jersey to Albany anywhere from 12-24" of paste...LHV, NYC, NNJ jackpot over next 8 days i haven't seen the ensembles this snowy in a couple years for this many Expand It'll be interesting to see the verification scores in the coming months since the upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 I know it's tail end and out of range, but NAM looks great, LP is well south, ignore the graphics the Nam is overamped and the H is poorly modeled IMO at this range, but placement of that LP on the nam would mean big snow for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 I think this will be the final solution as navgem depicts it. all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 8:56 PM, WeatherFeen2000 said: I think this will be the final solution as navgem depicts it. all snow Expand Dude I love ya, but you may be clinically insane lmao!! The navgem? Gonna score the coupe? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 GFS looks Slightly weaker and a tad slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 9:46 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GFS looks Slightly weaker and a tad slower Expand Looks a bit flatter so far, probably good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Our LP is already 999mb just north of TX, snows breaking out across midwest weakened back to 1001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 I think it's Def gonna cut again, just a matter of how much front end dump we get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 Gonna look similar to 12z, cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 gfs still amped up 990 west of buffalo lol it rains up to mass/nh boarder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2016 Author Share Posted December 8, 2016 On 12/8/2016 at 10:04 PM, Allsnow said: gfs still amped up 990 west of buffalo lol it rains up to mass/nh boarder Expand What's your thoughts? Every other models trended flatter except GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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