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Possible 12/6 - 12/7 Winter Storm


Zelocita Weather

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I want to point out my thoughts on this event and why I think the Nam is actually correct.

IMG_0583.PNG

This is the upper level Nam, notice the energy associated with the frontal boundary, you would expect to see some decent snows popping up in a stretch ranging from IL, OH, PA and SNY/NE

well... 

thats exactly what's happening here on the Nam, albeit less amped then I'd expect given the state of the upper levels.IMG_0584.PNG

now.... the GFS, same time frame, give or take, at 500mbIMG_0586.PNG

notice anything?... nope.. nearly identical set-up In The upper levels. Yet what does it translate to at the surface on GFSIMG_0585.PNG

unimpressive and flat compared to NAM

i do believe Nam is seeing the proper solution on the back end of wave 2

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temps are actually falling now,went from 45 to 43 in last half hour. dp of 30 which as also fallen from 33..??..some would say when the sun goes down with incoming heavy precip temps are going to crash. not sure if it gets close to freezing but it's not out of the question for a heavy wet snow at 33 degrees,even in some parts of the city.

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