zinski1990 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Hey guys. I'm new here and live in Central Indiana. Glad to find another good weather page since Talkweather went down forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Nice little uptick there by the NAM. The 12z UK was pretty juicy as well. If the HRRR is right, low-end warning criteria isn't out of the question in isolated areas north of I-80 in Iowa. EDIT: Gonna up my call for here/QC to 4". 5-6" for the Hawk. EDIT#2: Bears game at Soldier Field should be fun to watch tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Flakes just starting to fly here. Maybe we'll pull off an inch... maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Latest HRRR has 6" for Moline using a 10:1 ratio. Kuchera map has 4-5" as ratios are under 10:1. Seeing some indications of slightly better precip rates possibly evolving roughly along/south of I-80 in IL/IN during the day on Sunday. Temps more uncertain there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, zinski1990 said: Hey guys. I'm new here and live in Central Indiana. Glad to find another good weather page since Talkweather went down forever Welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 New Euro gives parts of eastern IA 6" of snow based on a 10:1 ratio. QC about 5". LSRs likely a tad under that, but I wouldn't be surprised if amounts get close to those figures. Top down saturation underway here. Radar estimates the snow is still about 5kft above us. Best rates look to be between 7am and 1pm tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Been hanging at 29-30 degrees for about 6 hours. All things considered, I like the 2-3" call here. I think there's a better chance at coming in at or just over the top end than there is at coming in at the bottom end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 10 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Been hanging at 29-30 degrees for about 6 hours. All things considered, I like the 2-3" call here. I think there's a better chance at coming in at or just over the top end than there is at coming in at the bottom end. Yeah the temps have remained cold enough the last few days that the ground temp shouldn't be a big issue. If it weren't for the marginal BL temperatures I'd be riding a solid 10-12:1 LSR. Temps at, or just above freezing will likely drop LSRs slightly below 10:1 unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 43 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah the temps have remained cold enough the last few days that the ground temp shouldn't be a big issue. If it weren't for the marginal BL temperatures I'd be riding a solid 10-12:1 LSR. Temps at, or just above freezing will likely drop LSRs slightly below 10:1 unfortunately. If it weren't for the temps I think there would be a few hour window where it snows about 1" per hour. Probably going to have a little too much melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 6z RAP and HRRR have .5" qpf all the way into northwest Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 The 6z NAM looks a bit wetter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The 6z NAM looks a bit wetter as well. It is. An extra .10" liquid across northern IL. .40"+ now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 minute ago, Thundersnow12 said: It is. An extra .10" liquid across northern IL. .40"+ now I'd think that LOT will expand the advisory farther east. Still have the uncertainty with temps but increasing evidence of higher precip amounts and a window where it may come down fairly hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: I'd think that LOT will expand the advisory farther east. Still have the uncertainty with temps but increasing evidence of higher precip amounts and a window where it may come down fairly hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm surprised that IWX hasn't issued advisories for their northwest counties. All indications are that there will be advisory level snowfalls in the counties adjoining LOT, as well as extreme SW Lower MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 ILX has put roughly GBG-PIA-BMI northward into the WWA from 9AM-6PM today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: The Intellicast forecast (FWIW) for Springfield now has 3-5 inches predicted for SPI--we're getting some decent flurries now but I'd be shocked if we got much more than an inch here by tonight. Still, it's enough to make me decide to take my snow shovel out of my apartment and into my car this morning as I head to church here in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Moderate snow has started and is accumulating on the roads/concrete without too much of an issue. Sitting at 30 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 9 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Moderate snow has started and is accumulating on the roads/concrete without too much of an issue. Sitting at 30 degrees Snowing quite nice here south of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Nice little overachiever here in St Paul. Just measured a little over 3". Nice fluffy snow considering it wasn't overly cold. Back edge of the snow pushed thru. Too bad 39F is in the point for tomorrow before the arctic air hits on Tuesday. It would be nice to have the white stick around for a while. Good luck to to those of you downstream today. Enjoy the flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 We had an initial burst of snow before 2am that whitened the grass (half inch maybe), but it melted by 3am. The main batch of snow has dropped 2.5 -3.2 inches so far (2.5 on the grass/snow board, 3.2 on the car where less melting has occurred). An obvious heavier band has set up through the Quad Cities. A guy south of Iowa City says big flakes are pouring down, putting him at 3 inches. Cyclone should be seeing some nice flakes. Up here the flakes are more moderate size. The temp is still slightly above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Top down saturation occurring here, i.e. virgafest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Heavy snow reported at MLI as of 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Raining fat dendrites. Haven't measured yet, but looks like at least 4". Even the paved areas/road has a few inches. Trees caked. Temp is at 30 which helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 There's a report of 5 near Davenport. Because of the heavy band over that area DVN says up to 7 inches could fall there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Happy for you guys in the Iowa region...you haven't had many opportunities over the past several years to get the heaviest snows. Even with temps going up to around 40 the next two days, I think many will still have some snow left for when the arctic blast hits. Wet snow usually takes longer to melt, especially if it has the chance to freeze and crust over at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Not looking well currently for LAF. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 New report of 6.5 in Bettendorf. That yellow bands means business. Someone in the QC area could end up with 8+. I'm sitting at 3.5 in the general light to moderate area farther nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Pure rippage out there right now. With these big fatties raining down on a consistent basis, our LSRs are likely above 10:1, which is likely contributing to these higher totals than expected. It's a regular dendrite fest out there lol. Measured over 5" a half hour or so ago. First warning criteria event in the bag. Some quick picks in the backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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