CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 I wouldn't buy a true -NAO yet. I'm not saying it won't happen, but that has been voodoo on models. Maybe a toned down version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 EURO produces a mega block PV over the Canadian Maritimes around day 10, shunts potential coastal snowstorm southeast of the region. Next run it will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 NYE clipper is becoming more and more robust by the model cycle, I think we could end up with a few inches of snow unless we warm up too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: NYE clipper is becoming more and more robust by the model cycle, I think we could end up with a few inches of snow unless we warm up too much. Last time I checked, it's not good to have SW winds for snow on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Yeah the GFS is rain on the coast, man can't catch a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah the GFS is rain on the coast, man can't catch a break even I'm on the borderline GFS verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Last time I checked, it's not good to have SW winds for snow on the Cape. Teach us the ways of the force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Geez, is that a tropical system approaching the Bahamas at the end of the 6z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Big signal overnight for big east coast snow event day 9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I agree Kevin, EURO is closer to the coast then the GFS at this period, the 5-8th of JAN has always been looking good for a major snow event even for the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Even the EURO with the coastal low off of VA coastline, would produce snow due to ocean effect processes given northeasterly winds of cold air over the relatively warmer ocean water, temps at 850mb would be below -10C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 CMC disagrees with the storm idea on the GFS and EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big signal overnight for big east coast snow event day 9-10 12z CMC agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Awesome, now we have good agreement on something off the East Coast around Day 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Yep 12z CMC is on board, but do the track at this moment it was rain for me again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 uh, James...sfc low tracks at D10 mean zero, zip, nada. signal is there, upper air looks favorable up north....all we can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: uh, James...sfc low tracks at D10 mean zero, zip, nada. signal is there, upper air looks favorable up north....all we can ask for. OH I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I'd like to lock in the 12z CMC for the day 10 system... 12-18" in this area Too bad it'll be Congrats NNE by the time it arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I'd like to lock in the 12z CMC for the day 10 system... 12-18" in this area Too bad it'll be Congrats NNE by the time it arrives Not a chance as I will be back home by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 I have a good feeling for the January 7-9th storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 The January 7th-9th storm actually starts to develop around day 6, January 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 12z Euro coming in with storm as well. Day 8 over TN/VA border with secondary development off HAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Very Jan '94-esque look on the LR Euro today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z Euro coming in with storm as well. Day 8 over TN/VA border with secondary development off HAT. High is in perfect placement for coastal snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Euro weak sauce at day 9. 1008mb low due S of ACK by about 100mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 It turns Cape Cod over to rain, how in the hell does it do that, it shows a surface low north of New England, we don't want that no way, no how, I don't like this turn of events at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Very Jan '94-esque look on the LR Euro today. Talk dirty to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It turns Cape Cod over to rain, how in the hell does it do that, it shows a surface low north of New England, we don't want that no way, no how, I don't like this turn of events at all. settle down Beavis, it's over a week away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 50's next Wed? Can we do something to squash that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 57 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It turns Cape Cod over to rain, how in the hell does it do that, it shows a surface low north of New England, we don't want that no way, no how, I don't like this turn of events at all. It's called Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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