RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Close the shades for this threat.... there is a lot working against it. Moving forward, sure something could pop never was for much south of nne to begin with. moving forward, looks active which is all we can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I believe we'll have to wait until the 5th or 6th before any real threats for most people outside of northern Maine and New Brunswick. Models were hinting at a pattern shift around the new year but like most times, the models rush things in a bit too quick. Give it another week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Euro is a little nuke over the interior. Especially NH/ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 6z GFS is a mini nuke for now SNE eastern areas, but GFS still produces rain even though the surface low pops southeast of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 GFS is not a nuke for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Euro is now a pretty solid hit in western ma/ nrn ORH county. The low deepens rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS is not a nuke for eastern areas. I started a Thursday thread. If mods want to toss it that's fine, but with today and the weekend showing activity, I figured I'd move this most promising opportunity to it's own thread. 12.8 at the Pit; 13* at Pit East https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/49424-thursday-thumper-or-thirst-quencher/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is now a pretty solid hit in western ma/ nrn ORH county. The low deepens rapidly. Good time for you to head to Center Harbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 GFS is too warm for eastern areas, the 540dm thickness line stays southeast of CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 23 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS is too warm for eastern areas, the 540dm thickness line stays southeast of CHH. So are you saying the model calculation is wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 We can do moderately well on Thursday, then it looks like something else comes in on Saturday night or Sunday I think which would be great . That looks like at least a moderate event it seems . Wpc qpf is robust, giving me maybe .3 tonight, .75 for thurs storm and then .5+ for the Sunday event. Cautiously, if things break well could be a new foot by monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: So are you saying the model calculation is wrong? It has been wrong before, most noticeably the Blizzard of 2016, and Blizzard of 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It has been wrong before, most noticeably the Blizzard of 2016, and Blizzard of 2015 Yes every model has been wrong before. But despite low thIcknesses, this is not an ideal set up for a snowstorm especially over Cape Cod,MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Yes, because there is a front that needs to pass through the area before any precip changes over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Day 9-10 euro is fantasyland, but it shows something that Tip has been preaching...what can happen when the flow relaxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Day 9-10 euro is fantasyland, but it shows something that Tip has been preaching...what can happen when the flow relaxes. There has been a fairly strong signal for that over the last few days on the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There has been a fairly strong signal for that over the last few days on the ensembles. Where do we stand right now? Do you think it's shades down for the coast until after the 5th? Looks like the interior will continue to have chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Where do we stand right now? Do you think it's shades down for the coast until after the 5th? Looks like the interior will continue to have chances Shades down until that deal near the 4th. I suppose maybe Boston had a shot at a few inches Thursday. It seems like the pattern is more conducive after the 4th as the Se ridge weakens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 If modeling is correct snowy next 10 days or so with systems every few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 We wait. We patient. We get goods. Happy holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Dicier for you but still decent. Up here could be mini epic...maybe. Or just a good stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Shades down until that deal near the 4th. I suppose maybe Boston had a shot at a few inches Thursday. It seems like the pattern is more conducive after the 4th as the Se ridge weakens. Thanks. Looks like the entire nation will be in the freezer by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Make no mistake-pattern is sub optimal but a nice flip is strongly signaled for around the 1/5-10 period. If we're lucky we time systems right but snow retention will be a challenge in most of sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Make no mistake-pattern is sub optimal but a nice flip is strongly signaled for around the 1/5-10 period. If we're lucky we time systems right but snow retention will be a challenge in most of sne.Agreed on all counts. I think retention should be last on the list of things to hope for...at least for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 It is a very different perspective here north of CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: It is a very different perspective here north of CON Reasonably confident in GC, too. Maybe we shouldn't be, but we're inspired by the season's early returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 It is a very different perspective here north of CONNo doubt. You're up in the frozen tundra land...lol. Large geographic region on this board. This isn't a one size fits all unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 6 minutes ago, Hazey said: No doubt. You're up in the frozen tundra land...lol. Large geographic region on this board. This isn't a one size fits all unfortunately. It's either QPF concerns or temp concerns. I'll let you figure out what region is what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Anyone that follows this board know who 'They" are..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Googlymoogly Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: There has been a fairly strong signal for that over the last few days on the ensembles. 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: If modeling is correct snowy next 10 days or so with systems every few days These don't seem connected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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