Googlymoogly Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: Merry. Do you look at any of the weather models? Try tropical tidbits A merry one to you, as well. Yes I do - that site specifically. I was coached by a Met to not take them too seriously, so I look and post here... to hear more erudite interpretations on the look. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: The euro ensembles trying to rebuild the Bering Sea ridge. Hopefully it's right. Yay! 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hey.. where do you live Googly? I used to live in the Catskills but just moved to Brooklyn last week. I post in NE thread though because I like the personalities and Met discussions - more frequent and charismatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: The euro ensembles trying to rebuild the Bering Sea ridge. Hopefully it's right. Yeah that was the best EPS has looked in probably a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 i like the negatively tilted nuclear powered thunderstorm snow bomb with a 110 kt fold wind event the GGEM destroys Xmas with - what a riot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 54 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: i like the negatively tilted nuclear powered thunderstorm snow bomb with a 110 kt fold wind event the GGEM destroys Xmas with - what a riot Hour 204 is Pfreak approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Nice Miller B on the 12z GGEM for the 22-23. GFS still on the torch train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Nice Miller B on the 12z GGEM for the 22-23. GFS still on the torch train funny cause i as just looking at the 108 hr thinking it wasn't horrible looking at that frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 GFS has trouble picking up secondary development, I think. The 00Z GGEM is showing for my area a snowstorm on the 23rd then a rain storm on the 25th. However, the 12Z GGEM is showing a rainstorm on the 23rd instead and a long lasting snowstorm coming in late day Christmas lasting through the 26th into the 27th. The Euro seems to look possible snowstorms for the 23rd and 25th-26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 GFS is ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS is ugly this is probably the best descriptive analysis of any modeling cycle, and model, since this thread began ... sometimes succinct is better - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 GGEM is a legit Miller B snowstorm. GFS is close the shades right up to powderfreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Googlymoogly Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Let the model wars begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Shall we start shoveling GGEM snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 This is about the Grinchiest comment ever in an AFD: Though a progressive flow pattern as previously mentioned, systems with short residency, they`ll still have the propensity of delivering a decent slug of rain if preferred model forecast blend holds out given accompanying synoptics, deep- layer forcing. Possible 1 to 2 inch rainfall outcomes, definitely looking at some drought relief. Good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: this is probably the best descriptive analysis of any modeling cycle, and model, since this thread began ... sometimes succinct is better - Does anyone else see something very ironic in this post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is a legit Miller B snowstorm. GFS is close the shades right up to powderfreak. Euro was very manageable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is a legit Miller B snowstorm. GFS is close the shades right up to powderfreak. i still think in general it's a solid period to watch - value-wise. there's still a slight tendency even in the GFS to lower heights in the general circumvallate of the Gulf/Fl and adjacent SW Atlantic, well enough prior the governing mechanics propagating east of the west to wonder if the table might be setting differently for a change. that subtlety is key in my mind in getting something to finally go legit under our latitude. even if it is a shallowed-out nj model type system, whether this GFS run actually avails of that or not... if we lower heights so prior to the wave's arrival, the southern aspect of the trough will then have the mechanics for getting retoring jets and yada yada .... farther south. obviously one of the implicit aspects here is that we expect this to evolve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Does anyone else see something very ironic in this post? i hope so - that was the intent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Well GEFS. Is building the very night latitude ridge like EPS in the long range. Could be a fun January as December has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 CMC ensembles similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 At least it looks like there is going to be 1-2 storms to track during the Christmas period. Almost anything would be better than last Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Euro isn't so hot next week. Could be good for NNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro isn't so hot next week. Could be good for NNE though. It's sub par but at least it keeps temps from rocketing big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Just now, weathafella said: It's sub par but at least it keeps temps from rocketing big time. It still lousy either way. A colder rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: It's sub par but at least it keeps temps from rocketing big time. It's very manageable for SNE. Another tick or two south with 2ndary and it's snow threat. that's workable..esp since the last few were also supposed to be rainers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 And a Christmas cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's very manageable for SNE. Another tick or two south with 2ndary and it's snow threat. that's workable..esp since the last few were also supposed to be rainers Wagons north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 How far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 wow, Scott's even making me envious of Debby downer talent - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wagons north. Well it's already better than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: wow, Scott's even making me envious of Debby downer talent - Word. He's developing some excellent trolling capabilities. Comes with 100,000 posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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