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Model Mayhem!


SR Airglow

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Well in any event the term stemwinder in deference to deep Lows has been around in NCEP and AFDs since the mid-1990s. I /we did not make that up so it is what it is and the metaphor was always clear clear from the get go so not sure what to tell you

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  On 12/9/2016 at 2:12 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Boxing day was a stemwinder.

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One of only two meltdowns I've ever head on the forum.   Huge potential turning into  4" of smashed dendrite,  baking powder, dry slot hell.

You can guess what my other meltdown was. (hint: Messenger calling it as 24"-36" forecast turned into 3-5" of bitterness)

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  On 12/9/2016 at 2:25 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

If it was the scenario that occurred here that occurred where you guys were ... it wasn't technically a dry slot it was just extremely dry air being infected into the northern arc of the CCB. Perhaps also negative node and gravity wave action

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Whatever the cause, it sucked.

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  On 12/8/2016 at 9:37 PM, tamarack said:

Gusts over 150 kph on the SE coast up there?  Repeat of April 1-2, 2001, only moreso?

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April 1-2 2001 wasn't a big wind event...just a long duration 2 ft snow event over 3 days. This would be more similar to the event that sunk the Ocean Ranger Oil Rig on the evening of Feb 14th, 1987 and caused a major blizzard in the city, but had some mixing during. 

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  On 12/9/2016 at 2:19 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

One of only two meltdowns I've ever head on the forum.   Huge potential turning into  4" of smashed dendrite,  baking powder, dry slot hell.

You can guess what my other meltdown was. (hint: Messenger calling it as 24"-36" forecast turned into 3-5" of bitterness)

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I hate that storm with abiding passion. Only memorable for the wind.

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  On 12/9/2016 at 2:52 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Scott I find the explosive nature of the GFS and NAVGEM for the Wednesday storm as alarming as normally biased progressive models are actually the two most amped up model runs for this system.

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Just looks like good ole deepening to me. I don't see anything alarming.

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