Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Take the first wave with 2-4/3-6 Friday. the second one ain't happening. Never could understand why some folks won't just take a light-mod hit..gonna have to in winters with patterns like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I rather see both of them, but beggars can't be choosers lol that's the real truth. Most would rather see both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Wave 2 grazes SE areas.... close to something much bigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 I'd rather take the 1-3/2-4 Friday and have a wintry weekend with the cold rather than press my luck on a coastal, although thats partially because I think the first wave has some sneaky potential to be a bigger event(3-6/4-8 kind of deal) in eastern areas. I'm never a fan of writing off legitimate chances for a shot at something out in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Wave 2 grazes SE areas.... close to something much bigger Yeah that's real close to being big for some of you. Wouldn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think i would rather see the first one get out of the way and give the second one more room, But that's just me Right. I agree. Just not sure how likely it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah that's real close to being big for some of you. Wouldn't take much. Dig that northern stream s/w a little further south and boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Right. I agree. Just not sure how likely it is. Yeah, I don't know, It could be one of those deals where you could miss both too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: Yeah, I don't know, It could be one of those deals where you could miss both too True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Everyone wants to label Winter or even certain storms as "someone's." I guess the last few years may have something to do with it but the snow season should be longest the further north you go with better snows early/late season...while further south gets into it more in the heart of the winter in a truly climo speaking sense. I mean it can be everyone's winter, say S.CT rips off two or three 8-12" events in January followed by more in February...while at the same time NNE is getting normal snow or even gets suppressed for a few weeks (which is normal in the heart of winter). Some winters just hit everyone like 95-96...or 68-69...or 77-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 It's good to have two shots...but I'm in the camp of trying to trend the first one because it's more likely to hit given that it is closer in time and has decent ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I've seen enough of the 1-3"ers, but respect alternative views unlike others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think i would rather see the first one get out of the way and give the second one more room, But that's just me If wishes were horses...... 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, I don't know, It could be one of those deals where you could miss both too So, if I miss two in both Mass and in Maine, does that mean I miss 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I've seen enough of the 1-3"ers, but respect alternative views unlike others. the good news of the small events is you can skip shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Take the first wave with 2-4/3-6 Friday. the second one ain't happening. Never could understand why some folks won't just take a light-mod hit..gonna have to in winters with patterns like this Oh ya, you just said earlier that we will watch the models move it (the second system) north as we move forward...and the model did just that, it Moved it north quite a bit from 12z. But now you say "it ain't happening!" What an inconsistent individual you truly are!! You waver with each model run...flip flop-flip flop!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's good to have two shots...but I'm in the camp of trying to trend the first one because it's more likely to hit given that it is closer in time and has decent ensemble support. That's kind of where I hedge too. Maybe I can "not gonna happen" it and see if the second one bombs us lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Pretty good support in the 18z gefs for both s/w's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Snowy Fri upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 started a thread. Why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 If I wanted a parade of 1-3/2-4 I'd move to Chicago. We live in New England-land of the big dogs. Let's go for 6+. -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: If I wanted a parade of 1-3/2-4 I'd move to Chicago. We live in New England-land of the big dogs. Let's go for 6+. -- This. I want my snowblower gas to be burned on something more than advisory level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Can we start a new Model Mayhem thread ... seeing as this one has well-eclipsed the 100 page impractical number, and in that new thread ...BAN any talk of Friday snow? Seriously, that and...you're better off focusing on that Sunday into Monday time frame - I dunno. Focus on other hobbies if it's too long to wait but god...please, for the love of all that's good and decent shut up about the non-event on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Interesting how the gefs really redevelop troughing towards Aleutians at the end. The euro ensembles have hinted at that, but not to that extent. From what I can tell, the tropical forcing is fairly weak now and more at the mercy of these CCkWs flying east. It's possible we see a lot of variability in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Can we start a new Model Mayhem thread ... seeing as this one has well-eclipsed the 100 page impractical number, and in that new thread ...BAN any talk of Friday snow? Seriously, that and...you're better off focusing on that Sunday into Monday time frame - I dunno. Focus on other hobbies if it's too long to wait but god...please, for the love of all that's good and decent shut up about the non-event on Friday You couldn't be more wrong. The Fri wave is happening. Weekend very iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: If I wanted a parade of 1-3/2-4 I'd move to Chicago. We live in New England-land of the big dogs. Let's go for 6+. -- Haha, spoken like a true New Englander. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Go ahead and start a new thread. New year. I'm looking at the latter wave. GEFS has over 0.50" on the 24h QPF in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Personally, I'd gladly sacrifice the Friday event if it could help bring the big dog in on Sunday/Monday!! Dont want to go 0-2 though with these two chances. If it can only be one..bring the bigger event imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Some winters just hit everyone like 95-96...or 68-69...or 77-78. Are those where everyone finishes above normal or just normal? Might explains the us vs them mentality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Can we start a new Model Mayhem thread ... seeing as this one has well-eclipsed the 100 page impractical number, and in that new thread ...BAN any talk of Friday snow? Seriously, that and...you're better off focusing on that Sunday into Monday time frame - I dunno. Focus on other hobbies if it's too long to wait but god...please, for the love of all that's good and decent shut up about the non-event on Friday I think Tip just made it into a bigger event, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I don't think anyone should be discounting any threat at this time. Not like the weather gives a shat what we think or want...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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