ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 9:22 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I know, I shouldn't b*tch considering I'm sitting at 26"+ for the season already. Expand I was messing around anyway, lol...it's fun to say that phrase when folks complain about the weather. Ya'll actually got jackpotted a couple winters ago in a coastal too...the Pre-Thanksgiving storm. I remember driving up to Killington that weekend and saw the increase in snow on Rt 2 westward. We had about 6 inches at home, but there was easily 8-12" out there and plastered to everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 8:46 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We've had a bad run with them for sure, miller Bs are a b*tch. need more southern bowling bawls or canadian shortwaves that dig deep into the south, not slide through OH Valley transfering off the NJ coast. those rarely get going in time for west of 91. Expand Yeah, that's the issue with Miller B's W of I-91. They can be huge out here but generally it's more for the Worcester and East crowd while we eat some crumbs. SWFE generally don't disappoint at my lat/lon. I'll risk a slow moving Miller A too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 9:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: I was messing around anyway, lol...it's fun to say that phrase when folks complain about the weather. Ya'll actually got jackpotted a couple winters ago in a coastal too...the Pre-Thanksgiving storm. I remember driving up to Killington that weekend and saw the increase in snow on Rt 2 westward. We had about 6 inches at home, but there was easily 8-12" out there and plastered to everything. Expand Close to 6" here. The drive E on Rt 2 was breathtaking that morning. edit: meant close to 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Mahk can't shake 2009-10 ...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Rgem and GFS both have been consistent in 1-2 inches of snow tomorrow night from ORH down thru NE CT and hills of NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 9:43 PM, weathafella said: Mahk can't shake 2009-10 ...lol. Expand Oh God you are so right. I moved up here and my first winter was 110+" 08-09. I was in heaven and thought it was supposed to snow early in December and not melt until April. We had a great run that winter. And then 09-10, and I wanted to move back to Philly. Since then it has tended to be either great or bad...uneven seasons a lot. This year feels normal to me for this part of the world. A winter that comes in December and features a good number of light to moderate events, and sometimes a biggie here or nearby, ingterspersed with warm ups.. But yes I am wounded from that year and hate to see suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 18z GFS looks a bit more robust for the Friday SWFE deal.... also has the weekend system but it's well offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 10:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Rgem and GFS both have been consistent in 1-2 inches of snow tomorrow night from ORH down thru NE CT and hills of NW CT Expand Yeah surprised there isn't more talk about this. Up here we've got an advisory for 3-6" and looks like a lot of people have a good shot at a 1-3" snowfall. 18z RGEM brings snow to many of us tomorrow afternoon and night. Definitely has a pretty solid orographic signal in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 11:05 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah surprised there isn't more talk about this. Up here we've got an advisory for 3-6" and looks like a lot of people have a good shot at a 1-3" snowfall. 18z RGEM brings snow to many of us tomorrow afternoon and night. Definitely has a pretty solid orographic signal in spots. Expand I'm not sure down here what would generate all that qpf with a clipper tracking into Canada. NAM 3 and 4 drop 1-2".. GFS 1-2" and Rgem 1". Something must be up , but I can't figure out what Up there you are golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Weather Underground (GFS based?) spits out 1-3" for me Sat night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 10:03 PM, mahk_webstah said: Oh God you are so right. I moved up here and my first winter was 110+" 08-09. I was in heaven and thought it was supposed to snow early in December and not melt until April. We had a great run that winter. And then 09-10, and I wanted to move back to Philly. Since then it has tended to be either great or bad...uneven seasons a lot. This year feels normal to me for this part of the world. A winter that comes in December and features a good number of light to moderate events, and sometimes a biggie here or nearby, ingterspersed with warm ups.. But yes I am wounded from that year and hate to see suppression. Expand Just remember-without an NAO you'll need strictly thread the needle often. Last nights system was a dynamic outlier. In most systems you would see taint in that setup. With an NAO however, you'd have a bigger margin of error. Its an upside down world. Mahk needs some NAO often but is scared of it. Lee in Newfoundland may be better without nao but craves it. Our fears are deep seated....including mine...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Those squalls were something today Two minutes of deep winter and then blue sky. Sherborn/ Metrowest about 1:30pm - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 11:05 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah surprised there isn't more talk about this. Up here we've got an advisory for 3-6" and looks like a lot of people have a good shot at a 1-3" snowfall. 18z RGEM brings snow to many of us tomorrow afternoon and night. Definitely has a pretty solid orographic signal in spots. Expand Strong SW flow on a storm tracking into quebec doesn't inspire a lot of exciting discussion for snow enthusiasts in SNE. It's possible a nice little band forms, but marginal BL temps and what appears to be putrid lift make this a pretty ugly "threat" IMHO. Up there it's a different story. Maybe we'll pull off an inch...I'd gladly take it. Not buying anything more than that outside of the Berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 12:11 AM, ORH_wxman said: Strong SW flow on a storm tracking into quebec doesn't inspire a lot of exciting discussion for snow enthusiasts in SNE. It's possible a nice little band forms, but marginal BL temps and what appears to be putrid lift make this a pretty ugly "threat" IMHO. Up there it's a different story. Maybe we'll pull off an inch...I'd gladly take it. Not buying anything more than that outside of the Berkshires. Expand I thought the same thing. But all the Mesos including rpm drop 1-2" and the awful GFS. Odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 12:14 AM, Damage In Tolland said: I thought the same thing. But all the Mesos including rpm drop 1-2" and the awful GFS. Odd Expand Nobody gets excited of snow off SW winds unless you're a picnic table at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 First system next weekend looks like a hit on the GFS which still shows two different storms, while the EURO shows one storm, the CMC shows one storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 6:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: There was prob like a 1-2C warm nose at 750mb while 925mb was -12C. Expand Something like this only hedged colder for interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 1:37 AM, CoastalWx said: Nobody gets excited of snow off SW winds unless you're a picnic table at 850mb. Expand True but if this was a week ago folks would be lining up for model runs showing .1-.3" QPF snows. GFS/NAM/RGEM all looked good for the ORH area and adjacent hills. Peeps were stoked for GGW snow showers today, chance of .5-2"seems like it should keep the party rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 7:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was 2006 for undergrad, 2008 grad. Expand Samesies. Got two days off in my time there for flooding. That was a first. But back on track, if you locked this Euro run it would definitely put some chest hair on the snow pack up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 1:37 AM, CoastalWx said: Nobody gets excited of snow off SW winds unless you're a picnic table at 850mb. Expand There's something up with every single model showing it. Sometimes they win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 2:10 AM, Damage In Tolland said: There's something up with every single model showing it. Sometimes they win Expand Isentropic lift is actually pretty decent for NNE. 40ish kts lifting up from 900 mb through 700. Temps in that zone are pretty close to prime dendrites. Nickel and dime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Saturday Night Snow likely, mainly before 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 29. Southwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 2:10 AM, Damage In Tolland said: There's something up with every single model showing it. Sometimes they win Expand Maybe the hills get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 I think the tue event we may stay wedged and hold on to more frozen like the one a week or two ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 3:16 AM, dryslot said: I think the tue event we may stay wedged and hold on to more frozen like the one a week or two ago Expand The Euro doesn't get Dendrite above 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 3:23 AM, OceanStWx said: The Euro doesn't get Dendrite above 38. Expand Just started poking around at models after being focused on this last storm plus needed sleep, RGEM pretty bullish on tomorrow nights clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 NAM 3K, RGEM, NAM 4K, GFS all give me an inch or 2 Not banking on it but it might make my skiing a bit more fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/30/2016 at 11:55 PM, weathafella said: Just remember-without an NAO you'll need strictly thread the needle often. Last nights system was a dynamic outlier. In most systems you would see taint in that setup. With an NAO however, you'd have a bigger margin of error. Its an upside down world. Mahk needs some NAO often but is scared of it. Lee in Newfoundland may be better without nao but craves it. Our fears are deep seated....including mine...lol. Expand Well a little nao helps Just no massive Davis straights uber block please. I do loves me some Leon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 On 12/31/2016 at 1:53 AM, powderfreak said: True but if this was a week ago folks would be lining up for model runs showing .1-.3" QPF snows. GFS/NAM/RGEM all looked good for the ORH area and adjacent hills. Peeps were stoked for GGW snow showers today, chance of .5-2"seems like it should keep the party rolling. Expand I wouldn't have cared then, either. I promise you I won't see an inch. Fraud threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 The Friday deal is gone on the 00z GFS.... late weekend system is way South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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