EastonSN+ Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 2:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Just some long range met forecasts out there . Hopefully wrong Expand Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 12:57 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Remember, Jan was toast too. Now Feb. Our only saving grace is a clipper in early March but thats fizzled lately. We can regroup in spring training though and get em next winter. Expand LMAO....Some things never change and some people just never get it..... great post Runnaway...hope that clipper in March works out for us(probably going to be moisture starved for SNE though) cuz Jan and Feb are toast on this second day of winter now. Thank goodness for the level headed people in here who give accurate and reasonable info. and not voodoo. If not for them this place would be another twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 He knows what hes doing, we know know what hes doing....but its still fun to knock the punching bag around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 2:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He knows what hes doing, we know know what hes doing....but its still fun to knock the punching bag around. Expand NYE is my target date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 The one around the 30th is the one i like that could be on the siggy side, Until then we will gather up the crumbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 11:06 AM, CoastalWx said: NNE winter. Expand We’ll see, but there are definitely areas of NNE that are in line for some recovery to average snowfall eventually, after multiple seasons running below. Regardless, at least at our site, we’re pretty much just keeping up with average December snowfall at this point, and snowpack is actually below average, so I’m not sure I’m on board with calling anything “NNE winter” yet. Aren’t most SNE sites at or above average December snowfall already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 2:54 PM, J.Spin said: We’ll see, but there are definitely areas of NNE that are in line for some recovery to average snowfall eventually, after multiple seasons running below. Regardless, at least at our site, we’re pretty much just keeping up with average December snowfall at this point, and snowpack is actually below average, so I’m not sure I’m on board with calling anything “NNE winter” yet. Aren’t most SNE sites at or above average December snowfall already? Expand Well I don't mean to take it too literally of course, just in a relative sense up to this point. As far as the numbers go, I think western ma up into srn VT and srn NH are AN in snow and BN in temps. I believe ORH is also a bit snowier than normal so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 2:25 PM, Ginx snewx said: NYE is my target date Expand Pattern looks much more conducive for SNE around that period. Nice ridging building into GoAK. Also looks like PV is moving into a move favorable position for a cold dump into the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 3:11 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Pattern looks much more conducive for SNE around that period. Nice ridging building into GoAK. Also looks like PV is moving into a move favorable position for a cold dump into the east. Expand yes need a strong shortwave to induce cyclogenisis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 3:12 PM, Ginx snewx said: yes need a strong shortwave to induce cyclogenisis Expand I know you saw the 06z GFS with the late bloomer on the the 30th. That's one to keep an eye on. Looked like the 00z run sheared it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 3:18 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I know you saw the 06z GFS with the late bloomer on the the 30th. That's one to keep an eye on. Looked like the 00z run sheared it out. Expand Deep sub 520 5h is a start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 Yeah the pattern is much more conducive towards and after NY. For SNE anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 3:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah the pattern is much more conducive towards and after NY. For SNE anyways. Expand Yup. Typical start to a typical Winter. Seeing agreement between the EPS/GEFS is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 Looks like everyone concurs on NYE storm potential is the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 4:11 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Looks like everyone concurs on NYE storm potential is the real deal. Expand It's 9 days out so I wouldn't get too carried away. It is just that there's some potential with a decent high in place but that could change...and not to be a downer, but still probably a hostile look for cape cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's 9 days out so I wouldn't get too carried away. It is just that there's some potential with a decent high in place but that could change...and not to be a downer, but still probably a hostile look for cape cod. Expand Especially east of HYA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 3:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Well I don't mean to take it too literally of course, just in a relative sense up to this point. As far as the numbers go, I think western ma up into srn VT and srn NH are AN in snow and BN in temps. I believe ORH is also a bit snowier than normal so far this month. Expand I'd include western MA with respect to Mitch's area west of the Berks AN as they got that nice upsloping stuff earlier in the month. I'd put the east side in the close to normal area. That said, this area might be doing better than the west side with OTG given our retention last weekend. I'm still keeping hope alive for something other than rain on Saturday. 28.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 Canadian provides a Festivus miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 4:52 PM, moneypitmike said: Canadian provides a Festivus miracle. Expand Toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 Too warm for snow in MBY, but NNE folks will get some accum. The GFS for late next week is the one to track. Hopefully it trends farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 4:27 PM, moneypitmike said: I'd include western MA with respect to Mitch's area west of the Berks AN as they got that nice upsloping stuff earlier in the month. I'd put the east side in the close to normal area. That said, this area might be doing better than the west side with OTG given our retention last weekend. I'm still keeping hope alive for something other than rain on Saturday. 28.1 Expand If you are getting close to 24" on the season, then you are solidly above normal for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: If you are getting close to 24" on the season, then you are solidly above normal for the season. Expand You're right---arithmetic failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: If you are getting close to 24" on the season, then you are solidly above normal for the season. Expand I'm over 20" and since I probably average a little under 60" seasonally I would say we are at least 20% AN in Greenfield for the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 4:52 PM, moneypitmike said: Canadian provides a Festivus miracle. Expand I like to use a blend of the Canadian, Ukie and JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:30 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'm over 20" and since I probably average a little under 60" seasonally I would say we are at least 20% AN in Greenfield for the date. Expand My guess is that you avg closer to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:37 PM, CoastalWx said: My guess is that you avg closer to 70. Expand It's too bad the town keeps lousy records. We do have a retired met in town who I'm going to email about averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:37 PM, CoastalWx said: My guess is that you avg closer to 70. Expand That seems like a better number for that area. I know it is in a valley, but they get the latitude going for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 latest monthlies have March warmer than January - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 On 12/22/2016 at 5:56 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: That seems like a better number for that area. I know it is in a valley, but they get the latitude going for them Expand Yeah and they also get some spill over from LE bands too. He doesn't get as shadowed like further south in the CT valley because his is a more narrow type valley and he's tucked in west of the main CT valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 I'll take the under on 70" avg up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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