WinterWolf Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 5:27 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I don't think anyone should be. You, Will, etc have pointed out potential issues with this pattern, and what it could look like moving forward. There is no obvious winter killing feature present at this time... so who knows where we are 3 weeks or 2 months from now. Expand Perfectly put! But you know the drill.....It's either the confident "Winter is here and locked in" type of talk, or the "catastrophe rhetoric" like we are seeing now. We couldn't buy a snowflake or day in the 40's last December. This December may break records in couple days with the cold coming, and we've had 4 snowfalls(granted they've been minor in SNE), but nonetheless snowfalls. Not bad at all in my opinion for December in SNE. About as it should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Nice little thump on the euro. Seemed like the low was a bit flatter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Nice little thump on the euro. Seemed like the low was a bit flatter too. Expand Yeah was just gonna post this...that's a nice 8 hours or so on the Euro...we'd probably beat our 3" we had in this past event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Although didn't matter too much in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:18 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah was just gonna post this...that's a nice 8 hours or so on the Euro...we'd probably beat our 3" we had in this past event. Expand I'm bummed about Sat night though. What can you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:19 PM, CoastalWx said: I'm bummed about Sat night though. What can you do. Expand Yeah we're still drinking pina coladas in speedos on Sat night. Only hope is that we see SW energy hang back a bit more...it did this run which is what I think helped that initial wave be flatter. But we want to try and blunt that secondary pulse of energy which causes the cutter. I don't think we'll be able to stop it, but maybe we can get it a bit flatter and prolong the front side enough to give us a net gainer...that's my optimistic scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 That was a nice high end advisory before the torch on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah we're still drinking pina coladas in speedos on Sat night. Only hope is that we see SW energy hang back a bit more...it did this run which is what I think helped that initial wave be flatter. But we want to try and blunt that secondary pulse of energy which causes the cutter. I don't think we'll be able to stop it, but maybe we can get it a bit flatter and prolong the front side enough to give us a net gainer...that's my optimistic scenario. Expand Look at that furnace though..good God. That's gonna have rivers overflowing into PFs condo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Look at that furnace though..good God. That's gonna have rivers overflowing into PFs condo. Expand Euro has mid 60's in ENE sunday afternoon, a 70 degree turnaround for some from Friday AM lows below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Bitter cold boys crying for mama, followed by high dews and winter moths by the millions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:29 PM, Ginx snewx said: Euro has mid 60's in ENE sunday afternoon, a 70 degree turnaround for some from Friday AM lows below zero Expand and then a 50 degree degree drop by Monday Am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Bitter cold boys crying for mama, followed by high dews and winter moths by the millions. Expand Will the resorts have to shut down do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah we're still drinking pina coladas in speedos on Sat night. Only hope is that we see SW energy hang back a bit more...it did this run which is what I think helped that initial wave be flatter. But we want to try and blunt that secondary pulse of energy which causes the cutter. I don't think we'll be able to stop it, but maybe we can get it a bit flatter and prolong the front side enough to give us a net gainer...that's my optimistic scenario. Expand Glass half-full. I'm hoping we can get enough of a front-end on top of yesterday's 6 to allow for coverage to remain. The general consensus here if "forget about it". Kind of a buzz-kill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:36 PM, moneypitmike said: Glass half-full. I'm hoping we can get enough of a front-end on top of yesterday's 6 to allow for coverage to remain. The general consensus here if "forget about it". Kind of a buzz-kill. Expand We'll still have some snow on the ground here Monday if we add a few inches on Saturday. You may warm quicker than me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Based on the posts here, BOX needs some major rewriting of the GC forecast: Friday Night Snow likely. Cold with lows zero to 5 above zero. Chance of snow 60 percent. Saturday Snow likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 30s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Saturday Night Rain likely with a chance of sleet. Not as cool with lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Sunday Rain likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 40s. Temperature falling into the mid 30s in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:36 PM, moneypitmike said: Glass half-full. I'm hoping we can get enough of a front-end on top of yesterday's 6 to allow for coverage to remain. The general consensus here if "forget about it". Kind of a buzz-kill. Expand Just hope we don't have an 18-24 hour warm sector...those are the snow pack destroyers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:38 PM, moneypitmike said: Based on the posts here, BOX needs some major rewriting of the GC forecast: Friday Night Snow likely. Cold with lows zero to 5 above zero. Chance of snow 60 percent. Saturday Snow likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 30s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Saturday Night Rain likely with a chance of sleet. Not as cool with lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Sunday Rain likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 40s. Temperature falling into the mid 30s in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent. Expand I'm sure you being tucked into the east sloped will help to a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:38 PM, moneypitmike said: Based on the posts here, BOX needs some major rewriting of the GC forecast: Friday Night Snow likely. Cold with lows zero to 5 above zero. Chance of snow 60 percent. Saturday Snow likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 30s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Saturday Night Rain likely with a chance of sleet. Not as cool with lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Sunday Rain likely. Not as cool with highs in the lower 40s. Temperature falling into the mid 30s in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent. Expand Point and click fetish.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 How many water mains will explode by Monday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah we're still drinking pina coladas in speedos on Sat night. Only hope is that we see SW energy hang back a bit more...it did this run which is what I think helped that initial wave be flatter. But we want to try and blunt that secondary pulse of energy which causes the cutter. I don't think we'll be able to stop it, but maybe we can get it a bit flatter and prolong the front side enough to give us a net gainer...that's my optimistic scenario. Expand Is this still a Euro model bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 2:48 PM, dryslot said: I may have had a few more then a handful that we didn't have one, And probably most of them has come in the last 20 yrs or so in my 59 years.......... Expand Brown Christmas records: BGR (1973-75) 2 of 3. Only 1975 had snow. Ft.Kent (76-84) zero of 9, and only 79 and 82 had less than 10" Gardiner (85-97) 4 or 5 of 13 (Don't have all my records at hand) New Sharon (98 on) 3 of 18: 99, 06, 15 CAR: 6 of 76, but 4 came 1998-2010. Those winters averaged 102% of avg snow. Ft. Kent: 1 of 61, winter had 105% of avg snow. 12/25/2006 was brown for all of the above locations. Edit: Top 4 spots are my residences, bottom 2 the WFO and Co-op sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Prob see a quick flash freeze Sunday with a High wind event. Ground softened from the 18 hours in Miami should have trees toppling in 50-60 mph gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:42 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Is this still a Euro model bias? Expand I'm not sure...I honestly haven't noticed it recently, but it if it is, it may not be that big of a deal anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:40 PM, CoastalWx said: How many water mains will explode by Monday morning? Expand I already programmed high heat positive pressure here for the Thursday to Sat night period. The wind driving that cold is what screws pipes in buildings. underground piping should be OK as the frost is minimal and lot of the cold will be absorbed by the warmer soil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:46 PM, Ginx snewx said: I already programmed high heat positive pressure here for the Thursday to Sat night period. The wind driving that cold is what screws pipes in buildings. underground piping should be OK as the frost is minimal and lot of the cold will be absorbed by the warmer soil Expand Can picture Christmas decorations becoming projectiles Sunday as the CAA rips in. Snowmen and Santas airborne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:51 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Can picture Christmas decorations becoming projectiles Sunday as the CAA rips in. Snowmen and Santas airborne Expand High winds in the screamin sou'wester, gusts in the 50's in that warm sector too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 It's Tuesday and the discussion is extraordinarily certain about the weekend event. Is it really that locked in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:52 PM, Ginx snewx said: High winds in the screamin sou'wester, gusts in the 50's in that warm sector too Expand Yup. If it has to happen let's make it fun. Town green Xmas trees stripped of all lights? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Well, at least if it verifies there is no need to worry about any "pack". If not gone this weekend, then gone by Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 6:53 PM, J Paul Gordon said: It's Tuesday and the discussion is extraordinarily certain about the weekend event. Is it really that locked in? Expand Discussion is about model output I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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