Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:28 AM, dryslot said: Might see an explosive squall with the first fropa tomorrow night Expand Shh someone doesn't like anything but Nor Easters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/12/2016 at 11:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: See UKMET for understanding what Will and I are talking about. Expand It's one operational run which does not have much support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Right now observations and satellite and radar imagery suggests that our coastal low will develop closer to the coastline and clip southeastern areas of SNE with snow showers Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 J-A-M-E-S, JAMES! JAMES! JAMES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Look at the short range models they show heavier precip developing over St Louis, MO and surrounding area, then the high altitude clouds over the western Atlantic are being placed southwest to northeast and it means heights are increasing ahead of the Vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 GFS is a shot Scooter might need before he throws all of Byrces presents out the window . whitey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Steve, that polar vortex is moving more south-southeast than southeast, I think it is digging further negatively with its tilt than modeled and digging the flow ahead of it from ENE to NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 5:05 AM, Ginx snewx said: GFS is a shot Scooter might need before he throws all of Byrces presents out the window . whitey Expand Sorry Bryce, nobody deserves presents if daddy can see grass in the front yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Any thoughts on the shortwave producing precipitation over MO and MO Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 5:13 AM, OceanStWx said: Sorry Bryce, nobody deserves presents if daddy can see grass in the front yard. Expand Christmas Eve Mai Tais on the euro op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 8:47 AM, CoastalWx said: Christmas Eve Mai Tais on the euro op? Expand Has PWM in the mid 50s this Sunday. Naso sure about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 The 6z GFS throwing most of us a festive Christmas Eve miracle. Take for what it's worth which is pretty much nothing atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 8:48 AM, OceanStWx said: Has PWM in the mid 50s this Sunday. Naso sure about that. Expand Doubtful anyone in New England is much less PYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 5:38 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Any thoughts on the shortwave producing precipitation over MO and MO ValleyYou may get some rain showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:21 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Doubtful anyone in New England is much less PYM Expand Torch cometh. No denying it I think in SNE. Mullets and Iroc-Zs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:34 AM, CoastalWx said: Torch cometh. No denying it I think in SNE. Mullets and Iroc-Zs. Expand Do you think the snow on the ground is toast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:51 AM, moneypitmike said: Do you think the snow on the ground is toast? Expand It will all depend on how long we warm sector. A bit too early to say right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:34 AM, CoastalWx said: Torch cometh. No denying it I think in SNE. Mullets and Iroc-Zs. Expand Couple hours of 40's out east like yesterday won't be bad before cold rips back in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:58 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Couple hours of 40's out east like yesterday won't be bad before cold rips back in Expand EPS says 24 hours in the 40s for ORH. GEFS agree. Of course the largest error bars are on the cold side, but that's not surprising with a warm front scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 11:58 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Couple hours of 40's out east like yesterday won't be bad before cold rips back in Expand Your snow is toast I think. It is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:05 PM, OceanStWx said: EPS says 24 hours in the 40s for ORH. GEFS agree. Of course the largest error bars are on the cold side, but that's not surprising with a warm front scenario. Expand Euro has 55 at ORH with dews in the mid 50s. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:06 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro has 55 at ORH with dews in the mid 50s. Ouch. Expand Do you think the colder scenarios discussed yesterday with weaker flatter wave is still in play or is that chance gone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Do you think the colder scenarios discussed yesterday with weaker flatter wave is still in play or is that chance gone? Expand We torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Do you think the colder scenarios discussed yesterday with weaker flatter wave is still in play or is that chance gone? Expand I don't think it matters for SNE with this one, esp south of pike. It's getting too late for massive changes. I mean maybe it could get flatter, but this isn't a pattern that would really force a flat solution this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:13 PM, CoastalWx said: I don't think it matters for SNE with this one, esp south of pike. It's getting too late for massive changes. I mean maybe it could get flatter, but this isn't a pattern that would really force a flat solution this close. Expand Playing with fire. Someone is going to get burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Close the blinds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:16 PM, OceanStWx said: Playing with fire. Someone is going to get burned. Expand I'll look forward to playing in the snow with my son Saturday morning, and then going on an African Safari with him Sunday morning. Seasons in seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Also have a chance of some overrunning next week. At least it's not dull around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 Canadian seems to be the flattest solution right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2016 Share Posted December 13, 2016 On 12/13/2016 at 12:20 PM, CoastalWx said: Canadian seems to be the flattest solution right now. Expand Definitely the most muted warmth, but still gets us above freezing aloft up here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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