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Winter Banter & General Discussion/Observations


ORH_wxman

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Perfect! Looks like the realization of my evil vision for an early spring is almost complete -

Funny .. how relative "sensible climatology" is, both unto its self and compared to actual climate. 

Firstly, climate is in flux; hence the expression Global Warming - notice that doesn't say Global Warmth.  We, here, in this rough geographical box of 100W - 70W by 40N - 60N have had a uniquely chilly-charmed go of it over the span of the last five years of yellow, orange, and red NASA yearly inferno warning products: We are verified as one of the only offset blue regions during that same time frame.

It's fascinating why that has been so persistent for one digression...who knows? 

But for another thing altogether, we are forced as a society in that rough regional area, to think/observe outside our collective sand-box to get a truer sensible impression of what GW means. 

History has proven, time and time again ... that is not something Human Kind does very well. 

And as such, to us, here... if we were just say, more primitive and less aware of the World at large, we'd have a better excuse - we would think that even if the environment has been warmer than normal, ...all available evidence lends to a conclusion that it's not that big of a deal.  But we do not have that excuse. Surprisingly, large numbers of observers are guided by what appears to be primal limitation, where their 'mind-sets' are still constructed too much by the back-yard of eastern the North America experience.

I just wonder when the other shoe is going to fall, if it does, for our region.  Yes it has been above normal - but that's a obscuring argument that serves to block having to face the fact that it "should have been" a hell of a lot warmer across that five years.  Anyone that tries to refute that, really belongs in the same gaggle of myopic nitwits that stand around on the railroad tracks, while the iron begins to whir, arguing about the color shoes they are wearing to the engagement..

That metaphor suffices all of America and probably the Industrial world for that matter, as we toil in the "paramount importance" of functional Industrial society, like this new Trump high treason collateral Russian collusion thing. While all that distraction is delusional and all -consuming, the horn gets steadily more audible.

It may very be that the physics of the atmosphere in a warmer world somehow favors a cool node over our region of the Hemisphere. The one nation, under God, with the liberty and power to [possibly] be the greatest advocate for utmost necessitated change in Environmental concern, management, and practice, is being immersed in a GW off-set sense of reality ...that Humans are challenged to think beyond.  I  find that fascinating -

Or, perhaps we have merely been caught up in some repeating local decadal fractal of coin flip randomness - only the appearance of order, biding the proverbial ticking clock of the Darwinian Timebomb.  And, when the time is up, the time is up... 110 at Logan some faithful day in July, and a following winter ...or two or three or four, that can't seem to ever descend much below Portland Maine. And all those that ridiculed anyone with the audacity to speak in alarming terms about a reality that may not feature the obsessively coveted "snow" over the years?  They just disappear.

 

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On February 17, 2017 at 7:51 AM, Cold Miser said:

I'm guessing that no one from this forum lives at that 80"(79") locale?  Would love to see pics from there...measuring sticks...structural pics with snow on roofs, etc.  Would be good porn to view for the evening.

I'm going TODAY!!  Where is DrySlot?  Contact me!    I'm heading to the Andiver area!  

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26 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

hey does anyone have resource to a decent meso product for temperatures?  

Doesn't have to be official...    i was always a big fan of this one,  http://www.pdfamily.com/weather/mesomap.htm

but for weeks now they haven't been updating..

http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?state=CT&rawsflag=3

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18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Lots of melting in the sun though. Shaded areas am won't melt much 

should make it through this first wave of assault.  Nice LLV chill signaled on the recent NAM runs ...  sort of n-door front look.   Then we'll see what happens with the continental warm bulge mid week that showing up in recent means.

I wouldn't be shocked if it got 60 on one or two of those days, just as much as I would not be shocked if the boundary ended up too close ...sky contamination episodes and/or even the ridge just being sort of flatter. 

This time of year and month ...no way am I confident on sustaining +15 diurnal averages that long unless in 2064. 

Either way, I figure the land-scape to be down to patch-work granular snow globules in fields with lots of dirt and brown exposed, and lots of road side VERY attractive looking schit-slushy glaciers by this time next weekend.

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6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

should make it through this first wave of assault.  Nice LLV chill signaled on the recent NAM runs ...  sort of n-door front look.   Then we'll see what happens with the continental warm bulge mid week that showing up in recent means.

I wouldn't be shocked if it got 60 on one or two of those days, just as much as I would not be shocked if the boundary ended up too close ...sky contamination episodes and/or even the ridge just being sort of flatter. 

This time of year and month ...no way am I confident on sustaining +15 diurnal averages that long unless in 2064. 

Either way, I figure the land-scape to be down to patch-work granular snow globules in fields with lots of dirt and brown exposed, and lots of road side VERY attractive looking schit-slushy glaciers by this time next weekend.

The next 10 days look pretty warm overall. A couple of cutters and warm temps will make a lot of this a dream by March. Hopefully we can have a decent March. 

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3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Buddy's barn collapsed Thursday night. Spent the morning digging stuff out from the rubble. Boat's, heavy equipment, snowmobile, tractor and more. Sucks. Good thing we have a skid steer to help clean up. IMG_20170218_095847637.jpgIMG_20170218_095808646.jpgIMG_20170218_093525134.jpgIMG_20170218_095834880.jpg

That sucks, yeah biggest problem in 11 and 15 were barn collapses 

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Wow what a day.

Not going to lie, I do really enjoy a nice sunny mild day this time of year.

Skiing is like Colorado or California right now...full sunshine, mild temps in the 30s on the mountain but with dry high pressure the dews are low and the snow isn't turning to mush.  Wet bulbs have to be running decently low right now.

MVL ASOS already with a 43 degree diurnal swing today at 1pm...with several more hours of warming to go.  Low of 1F and a high of 44F so far.

 

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18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The next 10 days look pretty warm overall. A couple of cutters and warm temps will make a lot of this a dream by March. Hopefully we can have a decent March. 

I was thinking about that March idea this morning ... 

Probably eyes-glaze-over sophistry for some, but, I almost think of everything that's happened prior to about January 25th as an extended autumn, ..replete with cold snaps that failed to turn into true departure patterns and/or tastes and frets and starts at snows here and there like you do in any NE autumn.  "Winter" for us started three weeks ago, as this season was probably more destined to an abbreviated version of winter than many would likely admit or even perceive.  But to me...this all seems more so. 

This warm period is our "January thaw"... March may reload for awhile, but I almost think if that's going to happen it will do so before February is over ( I have a reason for that). Then we're done, save for getting lucky in bowling season.

We're doing seasonal averages in snow while being solidly above normal in temperatures ... failing any affectation of this winter in either direction, which is interesting. I really thought we got very fortunate (lucky) with some of those snows earlier on - they were needle threaded dice roller 7's in patterns that otherwise had no business doing diddly.  The only 'pattern' that really supported much was the last 2 or 3 weeks - ...now a fading snow pack like an old old photo of a cherished celebration.

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39 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Wow what a day.

Not going to lie, I do really enjoy a nice sunny mild day this time of year.

Skiing is like Colorado or California right now...full sunshine, mild temps in the 30s on the mountain but with dry high pressure the dews are low and the snow isn't turning to mush.  Wet bulbs have to be running decently low right now.

MVL ASOS already with a 43 degree diurnal swing today at 1pm...with several more hours of warming to go.  Low of 1F and a high of 44F so far.

 

Enjoy man, lots of beautiful sunny days with hero snow this year 

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39 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

...

We're doing seasonal averages in snow while being solidly above normal in temperatures ... failing any affectation of this winter in either direction, which is interesting. I really thought we got very fortunate (lucky) with some of those snows earlier on - they were needle threaded dice roller 7's in patterns that otherwise had no business doing diddly.  The only 'pattern' that really supported much was the last 2 or 3 weeks - ...now a fading snow pack like an old old photo of a cherished celebration.

I noticed that as well.  I'm actually above average for my snowfall but we haven't had any extended periods of cold weather to freeze the local ponds/lakes solid enough for skating or fishing.  Usually we get at least a week or two each year where I see people out skating and fishing on the local ponds.  Interesting if unspectacular winter.

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