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Severe Weather Risk 11/28/2016


Jim Martin

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SC103-159-300030-   /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0063.000000T0000Z-161130T0030Z/   NOXUBEE MS-WINSTON MS-   551 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016     ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR WESTERN   NOXUBEE AND SOUTHEASTERN WINSTON COUNTIES...    

 

AT 551 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR VERNON...OR 7   MILES NORTH OF PRESTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  

 

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.     SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

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OKTIBBEHA MS-LOWNDES MS-   555 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016     ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST FOR   SOUTHEASTERN OKTIBBEHA AND SOUTHWESTERN LOWNDES COUNTIES...  

 

  AT 555 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR OKTOC...OR 10   MILES SOUTHEAST OF STARKVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.     HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.     SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

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Just now, janetjanet998 said:

559 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016    

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR WESTERN   NOXUBEE COUNTY...     AT 558 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS   LOCATED NEAR MASHULAVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF PRESTON...MOVING   NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  

I was just about to post that.  Things are going downhill like a rock in Mississippi. :(

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1845   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   0606 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016     AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LA INTO MS     CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 504     VALID 300006Z - 300200Z    

 

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 504 CONTINUES.    

 

SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS WATCH   504.     DISCUSSION...DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WITHIN A   WEAK-WARM-ADVECTION REGIME FROM NORTHEAST LA EAST-NORTHEASTWARD   THROUGH NORTH OF THE JACKSON MS AREA AND INTO EAST-CENTRAL MS. THIS   ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND   NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE   HAIL. THE VAD WIND PROFILES AT GWX AND JAN ARE INDICATING AMPLE DEEP   SHEAR FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL   DIRECTIONAL SHEAR TO ENHANCE SRH IN SUPPORT OF A CONTINUED TORNADO   RISK.  

 

  CONSISTENT WITH A RENEWED INFLUX OF EVEN RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE   INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...MOSAIC RADAR LOOPS ARE INDICATING AN   UPTICK IN SMALL/LOW-REFLECTIVITY ECHOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF   SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST LA...WITH AN UPTICK IN ELEVATED CORES ON THE   COOL SIDE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN LA. WITH SURFACE   DEWPOINTS OF 70-73F SITUATED ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...CONTINUED   MOISTURE/WARM ADVECTION -- ENHANCED BY A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL   JET -- WILL LIKELY FOSTER A PERSISTENT SEVERE RISK THROUGH THE   EVENING. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SRH AND THE FAVORABLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER   MAY FAVOR A NOCTURNAL TORNADO RISK.  

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O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0063.000000T0000Z-161130T0030Z/   NOXUBEE MS-   611 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016     ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR WESTERN   NOXUBEE COUNTY...  

 

 

  AT 610 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF   MASHULAVILLE...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF PRESTON...MOVING NORTHEAST   AT 35 MPH.     HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  

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ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED   TORNADO WARNING   NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS   616 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016     THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A     * TORNADO WARNING FOR...   NORTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...     * UNTIL 715 PM CST    

 

* AT 615 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PRAIRIE...OR   10 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST POINT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.     HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.     SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

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