yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Frozen precip 234-240... maybe some mood flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 288-312 would look to be lots of fun even though SLP is a bit too far west for our liking Surface H is in perfect position for CAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 12z GFS says I land on the 14th in time to see a driving 35F rain turn to mod snow overnight. That works. Shears out the 12th event a bit. Doesnt matter either way. Week of the 12th looks interesting enough that I probably will be completely distracted when I'm at my conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Just now, WxUSAF said: 12z GFS says I land on the 14th in time to see a driving 35F rain turn to mod snow overnight. That works. Shears out the 12th event a bit. Doesnt matter either way. Week of the 12th looks interesting enough that I probably will be completely distracted when I'm at my conference. 14-15th storm is an I-81 pummeler... 2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Very active northern stream should be fun tracking. Well, if getting stabbed in your heart with a rusty steak knife only to be revived 12 hours later before getting hit in the abdomen with a cannonball. There are going to be some classic posts coming up in the next few weeks. Looking very forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Very active northern stream should be fun tracking. Well, if getting stabbed in your heart with a rusty steak knife only to be revived 12 hours later before getting hit in the abdomen with a cannonball. There are going to be some classic posts coming up in the next few weeks. Looking very forward to it. It's winter in the mid Atlantic, and a La Niña winter to boot. Crushing disappointment is all part of the fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 GEFS snow by Tuesday night has 13 members with measurable out here. Barely measurable, but hey.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 27 minutes ago, yoda said: 14-15th storm is an I-81 pummeler... 2 feet That run would cause mass destruction to DC folks. 2 feet here, 2" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: GEFS snow by Tuesday night has 13 members with measurable out here. Barely measurable, but hey.. Saw that... mood snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Pattern is def better after the 10th. i think the PAC looks fine. its what happens in the ATL that will get us snow or not. Gotta get that right to keep from having cutter after cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 31 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That run would cause mass destruction to DC folks. 2 feet here, 2" there. Ok. You guys have us in the tropics beat... I'm used to looking at 10 day forecasts as fantasy land, but now, I get to look at 13-15 day forecasts! But yes, that would be the most snow I've ever experienced in my life by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 mmm, could see some mood flakes early monday per Euro (north and west of 95) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Ha...... Euro keeps hope alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Oh man, Wednesday comes pretty close to us! Gaithersburg might get some "mood flakes" then! Can someone just move that whole little slug a smidge to the right please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ha...... Euro keeps hope alive tuesday night is another good panel. keeps potential there for possible flakes (mainly you and me our surrounding NW people) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 1 minute ago, mappy said: tuesday night is another good panel. keeps potential there for possible flakes (mainly you and me our surrounding NW people) Really can't toss Sunday night either. It looked a lot better on the 0z run, but it's close enough to monitor. Edit: and for the record, it's the Tuesday event that I've been referring to. It seems to have the most potential because it's the one with an actual precip event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 there is some def valley CAD showing up on the euro for tues. Even a cold layer on temps panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Just now, H2O said: there is some def valley CAD showing up on the euro for tues. Even a cold layer on temps panel. And those almost always seem to be modeled too warm until about 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: 850s look fine. Darn 925Ts though. It will make it's own cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Really can't toss Sunday night either. It looked a lot better on the 0z run, but it's close enough to monitor. Edit: and for the record, it's the Tuesday event that I've been referring to. It seems to have the most potential because it's the one with an actual precip event. yeah, i mentioned Sunday above, then saw tuesday 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: 850s look fine. Darn 925Ts though. meh, 34 isn't awful. need good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Just now, mappy said: yeah, i mentioned Sunday above, then saw tuesday meh, 34 isn't awful. need good rates. I'm skeptical about Sunday because of lack of precip. Might pull a 1980 US hockey on it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 some back end snow with the arctic front friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, mappy said: some back end snow with the arctic front friday? Thats what I have been watching for around here... GFS seemed to suggest the chance of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That run would cause mass destruction to DC folks. 2 feet here, 2" there. Lock it up. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Coming out of hibernation--What we really need to worry about Sunday is sun angle. I mean it is SUNday. Lol. Looking forward to that first obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Lock it up. Congrats. You're always welcome to come stay with me. It'll be a lot of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 1 hour ago, mappy said: some back end snow with the arctic front friday? lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: It's winter in the mid Atlantic, and a La Niña winter to boot. Crushing disappointment is all part of the fun! I am going to come back to this post often this winter to console myself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2016 Author Share Posted December 2, 2016 Euro ens doesn't like either of the two "events" in the next 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 2, 2016 Share Posted December 2, 2016 Can we get the HI snowfall over please? URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 420 AM HST FRI DEC 2 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR BIG ISLAND SUMMITS REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY... .AN UPPER LEVEL LOW COMBINED WITH A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE...WILL RESULT IN BURSTS OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND SUMMITS ABOVE 11000 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIZ028-030400- /O.EXT.PHFO.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161204T0400Z/ BIG ISLAND SUMMITS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MAUNA LOA AND MAUNA KEA ABOVE 8000 FEET 420 AM HST FRI DEC 2 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...BIG ISLAND SUMMITS ABOVE 11000 FEET. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...LOW VISIBILITY AND WIND. * ACCUMULATIONS...NEW ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING AND HIKING CONDITIONS DUE TO HEAVY SNOW...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND FREEZING FOG. * WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * TEMPERATURES...MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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