mdsnowlover Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 surprise green is from pa north!! va, wva md is white hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 What happened to Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Need to watch next Thurs/Friday as the arctic front comes through. GFS develops a wave and rides it up the front just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 12 minutes ago, Yeoman said: What happened to Ian? He's probably letting us handle the long range fantasy babble until something real comes along. I should do the same but I'm more dumber. He briefly checked in not too long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Cool - thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 37 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: He's probably letting us handle the long range fantasy babble until something real comes along. I should do the same but I'm more dumber. He briefly checked in not too long ago. Yup. The band isn't ready to get back together quite yet. I'm dipping my toe in, watching you guys for signs of when the water is ready. Still a little too lukewarm for me rn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 5 hours ago, showmethesnow said: After living most of my 50+ years in this region I have found that snow in December is bonus snow for most of this region outside of the far north and west subs and the higher elevations. Think that is why 09-10 is by far my favorite winter with a December to remember as well as prolific amounts of snow throughout. Dec 13 was pretty sweet for the Carroll highlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 per anthony maisello who I believe is HM The interior Northeast and Midwest Dec snow pattern in range now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 40 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup. The band isn't ready to get back together quite yet. I'm dipping my toe in, watching you guys for signs of when the water is ready. Still a little too lukewarm for me rn. Looking forward to the reunion. We can all relish and swim in the great feelings that come with out first gut punching failure. Just like old times. Shouldn't be too long now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 hour ago, Yeoman said: What happened to Ian? Same as every year. Many of us don't show up in earnest until first short term threat. Enjoy it now. Soon there will be 287 people browsing and some new poster named DCBlizzardRulz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 47 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup. The band isn't ready to get back together quite yet. I'm dipping my toe in, watching you guys for signs of when the water is ready. Still a little too lukewarm for me rn. Why you choadswaddler.. Compared to last Dec, you'd think this place would be packed to the rafters with the various progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: Disregarding the CFS2' 's warm temps for Dec, it's precip map for the month is very nino'ish. Only if you discount California, Texas and Florida... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 12z Gefs pretty supportive of the west track after the big front. Not just the first wave but all of them. Doesn't mean no snow if it goes that way. Just that a storm won't be nearly as likely to be all snow if something happens. -nao looking sweet again tho...Psu approves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Thanks Bob. I am keeping my eye on the prize which to me is 20-30 Dec. I am hoping for better than last year which seems plausible. I would give up every gift for a WSW on Xmas eve. Even the one that is shaped like a bottle of scotch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Nice, Euro has a solid 4-8" next Sunday afternoon into late evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 33-35 in mid afternoon. Everyone below freezing by late afternoon. QPF 0.5 to 0.75" Snow starts around noon and ends around 3 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 12z euro is like the blues brothers. The band is getting back together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Lol...Euro has lows of 5-10 Monday night based on our fresh snowpack.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 12z euro is like the blues brothers. The band is getting back together. 10" imby. Ha. Nice to see a threat on the radar. Hopefully it sticks for awhile so we can have a little fun before the rug gets pulled out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Matt should start a thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Matt should start a thread Buckle Up, Bitches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Lol Euro. If that's on deck Wednesday, I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Where's Ji? It's not a real party unless he crashes it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 These are my 1"+ events 12/16 or earlier over the last 12 winters (back to 04-05). All in DC proper. So a 6"+ event would be pretty uncommon in DC proper. Last one was 12/5/02 which was 6.5". But with the right pattern, a modest 1-4" event isn't that hard to do. Every 2-3 winters. 12/5/07 - 4.25" 12/5-6/05 - 3.25" 12/8-9/05 - 2.25" 12/5/09 - 1.5" 12/16/10 - 1.5" 12/8/13 - 1.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 At least the euro has been fairly consistent with confluence behind the departing low and tighter spacing. GFS is fast with the low exit and slower with the approaching shortwave so ridging pops between and we end up on the wrong side. Prob equal odds of either happening along with a side order of nothing happening at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: At least the euro has been fairly consistent with confluence behind the departing low and tighter spacing. GFS is fast with the low exit and slower with the approaching shortwave so ridging pops between and we end up on the wrong side. Prob equal odds of either happening along with a side order of nothing happening at all. I'm already irrationally bullish, as if my mind has been erased and I've learned absolutely nothing from living here most of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: At least the euro has been fairly consistent with confluence behind the departing low and tighter spacing. GFS is fast with the low exit and slower with the approaching shortwave so ridging pops between and we end up on the wrong side. Prob equal odds of either happening along with a side order of nothing happening at all. On the 12z Euro it looks like we have just enough of a block and that low sits in the 50-50 position. Too bad its 8+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: On the 12z Euro it looks like we have just enough of a block and that low sits in the 50-50 position. Too bad its 8+ days out. It's really kind of beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's really kind of beautiful. It is. I want it to be real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 19 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I'm already irrationally bullish, as if my mind has been erased and I've learned absolutely nothing from living here most of my life. LOL I've been pretty optimistic about the post 12/10 timeframe for a week now. I'd say I'm bullish in general for the 11th-18th period in general but we typically don't get hit with the first chance after cold settles in. Especially during a fairly significant pattern change. With that being said, on paper it looks like an above normal chance at our first accum chance overall next weekend even if a flawed setup end up reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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