donsutherland1 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 21 hours ago, Googlymoogly said: You think we will exceed 60 between the 21st and New Years? It's possible. Sunday could make a run at 60° in parts of the NYC Metro Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: The weeklies actually did a pretty good job from the the beginning of the month forecasts pegging the cold the next few days followed by the warm up to close out the month. Now the EPS weeklies along with the JMA weeklies show the coming pattern change persisting right into January. The warm surge on Sunday will be the first step in the direction of a more +EPO/+AO/+NAO/SE ridge milder pattern. If that ends up being the case, if we go back to October and November's pattern we could see some crazy warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: If that ends up being the case, if we go back to October and November's pattern we could see some crazy warmth Unfortunately, when you get a dueling Alaska/ Greenland vortex pattern it can last longer than people on this board want to see. But the general public is fine with it since it's easier to travel and heating bills are lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Unfortunately, when you get a dueling Alaska/ Greenland vortex pattern it can last longer than people on this board want to see. But the general public is fine with it since it's easier to travel and heating bills are lower. That part does make it easier. With a family now, snow days and cancelllations are a pain in the butt. (I'm still rooting for them, once a weenie always a weenie) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Curious to see if Roger Smith's the moon is aligned with the stars method will be correct. He posted this in the mid atlantic thread yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 The wind is making it brutal outside. I don't understand how someone can work outdoors today. Bad decision to leave the house without gloves and ear warmers. At least I inaugurated my coat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 7 minutes ago, Morris said: The wind is making it brutal outside. I don't understand how someone can work outdoors today. Bad decision to leave the house without gloves and ear warmers. At least I inaugurated my coat. That's me today. I'm working in the building on 45th and 13th in Borough park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 17 minutes ago, Morris said: The wind is making it brutal outside. I don't understand how someone can work outdoors today. Bad decision to leave the house without gloves and ear warmers. At least I inaugurated my coat. I just brought out my winter coat a week ago...Been so warm it wasn't needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Seems odd that we're in a high wind warning meanwhile adjacent mount holly zones don't even have an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 24/1 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Legit snow squall now, vis under 1/2 mile, fairly windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 14 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Legit snow squall now, vis under 1/2", fairly windy. Half inch visibility is some serious sh*t dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, gravitylover said: Half inch visibility is some serious sh*t dude Lol damnit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 A snow squall whitened the ground in Mamaroneck, New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 snow squall came through here and coated the ground... temp down to 18/10 now the visibility was very poor during the snow squall and now the sun is out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Temp down to 22 now. Temps are under performing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Nice squall just passed thru White Plains dropped a fast coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 There is now strong consensus among the guidance that the Arctic Oscillation (AO) will reach or exceed +3.000 in coming days. Often when the AO reaches +3.000 or above in the second half of December, the probability of a blocky January diminishes. There have been some exceptions. January 1952, 2005, and 2016 developed severe blocking. https://s28.postimg.org/9ie5z9uel/AOJan12152016.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 nice burst of snow here in the good ol bx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 A sensible guess for Jan. made today is for +6 during first 20 days of month. Then to save us from yet another 'warmest ever' month, remainder of month is near normal---so +4 overall. I expect just a few anomalous winter events to occur, like last year. We can not even get BN for a 10 day period. After 21 straight AN months, I will take a strike and not call for any below normal month till we have one and TCONNECTION motif changes. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Nice snow shower in Hauppauge right now, ground coated and temp down to 22f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Snowing pretty hard near Woodside, Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 snow squall now blowing through lower Manhattan. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Wow. Really ripping now. Into some of that half inch visibility stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Intense snow squall moving through Holtsville - Suffolk, Long Island. Heavy snow, reduced visibility. everything is coated with snow and in just a matter of minutes. AWESOME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Just now, Dino said: Intense snow squall moving through Holtsville - Suffolk, Long Island. Heavy snow, reduced visibility. everything is coated with snow and in just a matter of minutes. AWESOME. Yes, same in Lake Grove. Wasn't expecting this at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: That's me today. I'm working in the building on 45th and 13th in Borough park Me too. I wear my snow board gear when it's this cold. Works like a charm. It's often below zero with 50mph winds at the summit in the mountains so this is nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Snow shower passing through here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Visibility down to 1/2 mile with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Ok this is a legit snow squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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