dmillz25 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 31 cold ass degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 28.9°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Back from 78 degrees to 28 now in CNJ. First accum looks likely tomorrow, great way to return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 24...teens maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 27 degrees in Selden. (Central LI) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 28 here. Could go below forecasted temps tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Down to 18F here... WELL below forecasted lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 23° here is right at the forecast low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Temps dropping like a rock out here in Warren County NJ. Left Flemington NJ about 45 minutes ago where it was 22 degrees and made the 30 minute drive north up Route 31 to Oxford where it is currently 15 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, Pequest said: Temps dropping like a rock out here in Warren County NJ. Left Flemington NJ about 45 minutes ago where it was 22 degrees and made the 30 minute drive north up Route 31 to Oxford where it is currently 15 degrees. I have a question for you. Why is it that Oxford, Pequest, and Walpack radiate so well? Are they valley locations? I'm not too familiar with that far western part of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I have a question for you. Why is it that Oxford, Pequest, and Walpack radiate so well? Are they valley locations? I'm not too familiar with that far western part of Jersey. JerseyWX, Great question as I was wondering the same thing when I moved out this way back in 2009. This area (I'm a mile down the road from the Pequest Fish Hatchery where the Pequest weather station is located) radiates like crazy and on prime radiational cooling nights is usually one of the top 3 coldest areas of the state. Not sure of the topography of Walpack but I know Pequest is sandwiched in between some larger mountains to the north and south not to mention the surrounding area is extremely rural with vast undeveloped state owned land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, Pequest said: JerseyWX, Great question as I was wondering the same thing when I moved out this way back in 2009. This area (I'm a mile down the road from the Pequest Fish Hatchery where the Pequest weather station is located) radiates like crazy and on prime radiational cooling nights is usually one of the top 3 coldest areas of the state. Not sure of the topography of Walpack but I know Pequest is sandwiched in between some larger mountains to the north and south not to mention the surrounding area is extremely rural with vast undeveloped state owned land. Thanks for the response Pequest. In my opinion, that western section of the state is by far the most interesting. So many tiny, unincorporated communities out there. It's like a different world, and something no one considers when they think of New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Temp now down to 25 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 15F currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 If this cold pattern is expected to last until at least 12/23 by many posters in this board, then why is Upton projecting NYC to receive an all-out torch cutter by next Saturday? Saturday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Meanwhile...an upper level trough moves onshore from the Pacific during the second half of the week. There are some differences aloft by Sat...although confluent flow across the country and developing low pres in the Plains could bring pcpn back to the region during Sat. The cold airmass already in place should all for pcpn to start in the frozen phase but will likely mix/changeover with sly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, Hailstorm said: If this cold pattern is expected to last until at least 12/23 by many posters in this board, then why is Upton projecting NYC to torch by next Saturday? Saturday A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Meanwhile...an upper level trough moves onshore from the Pacific during the second half of the week. There are some differences aloft by Sat...although confluent flow across the country and developing low pres in the Plains could bring pcpn back to the region during Sat. The cold airmass already in place should all for pcpn to start in the frozen phase but will likely mix/changeover with sly flow. Because 38 is still well below normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Currently 13° out there.. About 0.5" of snow on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 48 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 38 degrees is an all out torch? It'll probably end up being warmer than that with an 11:59 P.M. maximum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Looks like this will be an interior winter. The storm next weekend on the gfs is a cutter and then the gfs has a follow up wave that also tracks inland and gives the interior more snow. -Pna is killing us right now We might have to wait until January or when the pna helps us for meaningful snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Down to 24. Looks like cold rain cold rain. Better then last December I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 ...i'm @ 17*..interested to see what KFOK had..there down(N/A). surprised to the ponds iced-over and even the creeks of moriches bay saturday morn. ..hoping to see some snow later today..before the C/O.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 -Pna is killing us right now We might have to wait until January or when the pna helps us for meaningful snow^^^This-EPO will help us stay cold this week but even that feature disintegrates on the LR ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: EPS hinting that we will see the coldest December temperatures around the region for the 2010's so far this week. They have a low of 14 degrees this week in NYC which would be the first time reaching 15 or lower there since 2008. It would only be the 9th occurrence since 1990 in an era defined by record December warmth. NYC lows of 15 or lower since 1990: 2008...13 2005...14 2004...11 2000...14 1996...15 1995...15 1993...10 1991...13 Impressive cold during an cutter pattern! Hello 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: I think that the rebound in temperatures could also be impressive later in December if that vortex returns to Alaska. Models want to reverse the pattern after the winter solstice. Yeah completely reverse the pattern. We would torch in that pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 A frosty 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Almost like last February with the big Valentines Day cold and a quick warm up later in the month. This would be the first time in December since 2007 that such a strong block near Alaska early in the month was replaced by a deep vortex later on. Isotherms might nail his blow torch January and 07-08 prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 25 for the low here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 20 here. I guess to try to spin this, I'd rather 55 and rain over 37 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: I thought he was going with some 70's La Nina analogs. The problem with 07-08 was that the late December pattern locked in for January. The end of the ensembles look a lot like that 2nd half of Dec. '07 composite. Yuck. Hope that's short lived, if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 You have to wonder if Larry Cosgrove is going to be correct, he was never a fan of it getting cold for very long and has been predicting a warm up in mid December (or around Christmas). His winter outlook was very warm and overall snowless for the Northeastern US. Have to see how things evolve as we move forward since there has been alot of model volatility recently from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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