ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 Hopefully it's the same relaxation pattern we had around Feb 7-10, 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully it's the same relaxation pattern we had around Feb 7-10, 2015. Well at least it's not a black hole in AK. We can handle "relaxation" in that ensemble look. Anyways, I'm not too concerned at this point given the volatility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 Bad timing on the relaxation but not surprising. Hopefully it's short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Googlymoogly Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 Damn...how relaxed we talking? Just shedding the parka or breaking out the flip flops? (I realize it's not set in stone) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 22 minutes ago, Googlymoogly said: Damn...how relaxed we talking? Just shedding the parka or breaking out the flip flops? (I realize it's not set in stone) Too early to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Some of models have BOS having the same winters as DCA by 2040. I'm a little skeptical. But if you believe them you throw in the towel until you move to CAR. I bet they change by 2025. They are bad past 8 yrs usually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 27 minutes ago, Googlymoogly said: Damn...how relaxed we talking? Just shedding the parka or breaking out the flip flops? (I realize it's not set in stone) There won't be any. Just like no one saw this cold 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: I bet they change by 2025. They are bad past 8 yrs usually #ClownRange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: I bet they change by 2025. They are bad past 8 yrs usually Where is Boston now vis a vis historic averages? Like NYC was prior to say 1970 or PHL? In other words, how far has GW gone over say the past 20-30 years? Here in ORH except for a the last two very mild Decembers and an occasional mild winter it seems that things have pretty much balanced out warm vs cold, snowy vs brown. Is there significant data to show how far along in the (A)GW has already gone or are we expecting a sudden burst of warming in the very near future? What is the actual data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ray was basing that on a GFS op run. I wish people would just stop looking at them and using them to make forecasts. For exactly this reason . Look how bad it's been in the storm tomorrow night. It's been a train wreck with a stem wound cutter not recognizing until last night the strength of the high and that the cold would win .. and it's still correcting I was just interpreting that run...Wasn't a forecast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was just interpreting that run...Wasn't a forecast.. No I know. But he thought you were Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 9 hours ago, J Paul Gordon said: Where is Boston now vis a vis historic averages? Like NYC was prior to say 1970 or PHL? In other words, how far has GW gone over say the past 20-30 years? Here in ORH except for a the last two very mild Decembers and an occasional mild winter it seems that things have pretty much balanced out warm vs cold, snowy vs brown. Is there significant data to show how far along in the (A)GW has already gone or are we expecting a sudden burst of warming in the very near future? What is the actual data? Climate/Global warming thread topic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Man what a nice pattern of systems coming at us out of the SW... EURO has another sweet front ender going over to mix or drizzle at day 7, then temps drop back below zero like a day later...and then another one reloads to come at us Day 10 time frame. In between each system is lake effect and arctic fronts for nickles and dimes. Very active. I'll take some mixing if it comes with snow on the front end. With so much cold nearby, should be a fun battle ground over the next couple weeks. La Ninas seem to get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man what a nice pattern of systems coming at us out of the SW... EURO has another sweet front ender going over to mix or drizzle at day 7, then temps drop back below zero like a day later...and then another one reloads to come at us Day 10 time frame. In between each system is lake effect and arctic fronts for nickles and dimes. Very active. I'll take some mixing if it comes with snow on the front end. With so much cold nearby, should be a fun battle ground over the next couple weeks. La Ninas seem to get it done. You got to love the potential, Quite a contrast from last Decembers disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man what a nice pattern of systems coming at us out of the SW... EURO has another sweet front ender going over to mix or drizzle at day 7, then temps drop back below zero like a day later...and then another one reloads to come at us Day 10 time frame. In between each system is lake effect and arctic fronts for nickles and dimes. Very active. I'll take some mixing if it comes with snow on the front end. With so much cold nearby, should be a fun battle ground over the next couple weeks. La Ninas seem to get it done. You latitude and elevation make for a nice appeal to next weekend. For the rest of us....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Ensembles are not looking very good for Xmas period. Hopefully they trend back the other way but we are seeing much lower heights now over AK. That would put an end to the cold Canada/Northern tier pattern if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ensembles are not looking very good for Xmas period. Hopefully they trend back the other way but we are seeing much lower heights now over AK. That would put an end to the cold Canada/Northern tier pattern if that happened. winter cancel after this week. j/k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ensembles are not looking very good for Xmas period. Hopefully they trend back the other way but we are seeing much lower heights now over AK. That would put an end to the cold Canada/Northern tier pattern if that happened. Horrid looking and a complete reversal, that brings the warmth and rain to Québec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Horrid looking and a complete reversal, that brings the warmth and rain to Québec Don't think I'd take it to that extreme. But that is even possible in this pattern if you get a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I know there has been some flip flopping but hasn't there been a pretty consistent signal for a warm up of some sort after next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: I know there has been some flip flopping but hasn't there been a pretty consistent signal for a warm up of some sort after next weekend? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 14 minutes ago, qg_omega said: 26 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: You latitude and elevation make for a nice appeal to next weekend. For the rest of us....... Won fresh article air coming Thursday or Friday right? And a weak weekend's...more overturning mostly frozen and then more article air Monday and then a pattern relaxation bigger snow storm later. Then maybe Frisch but let's enjoy these next dozen days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Won fresh article air coming Thursday or Friday right? And a weak weekend's...more overturning mostly frozen and then more article air Monday and then a pattern relaxation bigger snow storm later. Then maybe Frisch but let's enjoy these next dozen days Sometimes auto correct can be your foe............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Sometimes auto correct can be your foe............lol What a fookin disastah...but got the gist, do u agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, mahk_webstah said: What a fookin disastah...but got the gist, do u agree? Yes, I was able to read between the tea leaves, And do agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, I was able to read between the tea leaves, And do agree. Another 4-8 inches for the county tomorrow Jeff!! Keep piling it up!! The more snow that falls, the better....in case the Xmas week torch gets up and in there??? Sure hope not! I leave two weeks from tomorrow..hoping to have epic December/early winter conditions this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, WinterWolf said: Another 4-8 inches for the county tomorrow Jeff!! Keep piling it up!! The more snow that falls, the better....in case the Xmas week torch gets up and in there??? Sure hope not! I leave two weeks from tomorrow..hoping to have epic December/early winter conditions this time around. Yeah, The county is rocking, There is going to be some real cold arctic air up there this week, Conditions should be pristine by next weekend up there, Will have to see how the weather plays out over the next 10 days, But at that lat up there, They usually can survive any warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ensembles are not looking very good for Xmas period. Hopefully they trend back the other way but we are seeing much lower heights now over AK. That would put an end to the cold Canada/Northern tier pattern if that happened. Concerns about that long term? Or just a phase to move through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, The county is rocking, There is going to be some real cold arctic air up there this week, Conditions should be pristine by next weekend up there, Will have to see how the weather plays out over the next 10 days, But at that lat up there, They usually can survive any warm up. I'm thinking the same. Just a lil tepid about a total washout...like I've seen in some past Decembers, that ruin a planned trip in December. But thinking that is not the case this go around. Would have to be an epic torch to wipe out what's there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 33 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Won fresh article air coming Thursday or Friday right? And a weak weekend's...more overturning mostly frozen and then more article air Monday and then a pattern relaxation bigger snow storm later. Then maybe Frisch but let's enjoy these next dozen days More articles of clothing. Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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