weathafella Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 Damned snowy EPS run. Mnoday's system getting better as we move forward with euro products showing classics swfe and remember this time we have good antecedent cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 32 minutes ago, weathafella said: Damned snowy EPS run. Mnoday's system getting better as we move forward with euro products showing classics swfe and remember this time we have good antecedent cold. One of those deals where it ends as ice and we stay below 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Googlymoogly Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Thoughts on LR? Lol sorry I do this every day. My life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Man that's a cold EURO run in the later stages... Day 8 has -20C H85 temps at BOS...-19C down to the south shore. NNE highs in the single digits. Lows next Thursday at 12z: LEB -19F, Me/MVL -18F, CON -10F, ORH 0F, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 4 minutes ago, Googlymoogly said: Thoughts on LR? Lol sorry I do this every day. My life. Same thing really. Looks to relax a bit in a couple of weeks, but cold between now and then for the most part. Storm track TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Same thing really. Looks to relax a bit in a couple of weeks, but cold between now and then for the most part. Storm track TBD. Could you define relax..and what time frame that would be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Could you define relax..and what time frame that would be? Possible torch for Xmas week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2016 Author Share Posted December 7, 2016 11 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Possible torch for Xmas week Another interpretation is heavy snow but not as cold for Xmas week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 13 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Possible torch for Xmas week If one were to use the GFS op perhaps. But if one uses a sensible ensemble approach it's wintry with good pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 My interpretation is Christmas is out in clown range and will change at least another dozen times before then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: Another interpretation is heavy snow but not as cold for Xmas week. Euro mean is up to a foot in ORH now by day 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Another interpretation is heavy snow but not as cold for Xmas week. ENS would imply that. Not seeing any torch signals with that overbearing cold deeply entrenched in the USA from the Missisppi to Mexico with all of Canada BN with NW Canada ready to unload again. that PV sitting there rotating around will send spokes of energy, Albert A. Clipper my man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro mean is up to a foot in ORH now by day 15 Everyone rips.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: My interpretation is Christmas is out in clown range and will change at least another dozen times before then I'm stunned we can't lock it in by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What's the mean for other areas? 10 BDL, 7 BOS, 13 KTIP, 12 KAQW, 3 KCHH 14 KLEW, 11 KGYX, 20 KPF, 4 KJFK, 13 KLCI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 I don't get the fetish of using ensemble snow maps. They may be the most useless product out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Could you define relax..and what time frame that would be? Well the S and SE ridge may try to flex, that's all. It all depends on storm track. I don't get off on 498 thicknesses unless some snow comes with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 I get off on them 400 thickness's up here, Then let it snow afterwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 But overall the pattern is certainly wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I don't get the fetish of using ensemble snow maps. They may be the most useless product out there. You are so mean. One thing I have used them for over the years is to understand how each individual member interprets the flow. Very useful for seeing gradual changes to deeper consensus. No fetish but rather a way of seeing how the Euro ens handles the overall evolution of the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You are so mean. One thing I have used them for over the years is to understand how each individual member interprets the flow. Very useful for seeing gradual changes to deeper consensus. No fetish but rather a way of seeing how the Euro ens handles the overall evolution of the pattern. But the nuances that go into getting snow...temperature, s/w, exact low track and not to mention member uncertainty...I don't see how they are useful. I guess if you want trend analysis perhaps...but personally I wouldn't look at them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: I get off on them 400 thickness's up here, Then let it snow afterwards Yes get us the cold entrenched with snow cover and we begin the process of cooling the continent. Absolutely important as we have seen over the years to develop the cryosphere to exert influence on pressure fields. There is a reason all these progged cutters are morpfing weaker and further south as the resistance increases as the cold wall is building, obvious what is transpiring in your region, classic NNE winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Sunday night is slowly looking more wintry for the areas inland and north of 90 anyways. If the GFS is right, then its wintry for many. Euro continues the warmer look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: But the nuances that go into getting snow...temperature, s/w, exact low track and not to mention member uncertainty...I don't see how they are useful. I guess if you want trend analysis perhaps...but personally I wouldn't look at them. Avert your eyes and post some IO stuff I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: I get off on them 400 thickness's up here, Then let it snow afterwards I mean the extreme cold is sort of useless without snow...unless you don't want your sled to fall through the ice of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't get the fetish of using ensemble snow maps. They may be the most useless product out there. they have been just as bad as the weenie CFS snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Avert your eyes and post some IO stuff I guess. Much more useful. I'm just saying if I were a hobbyist, I wouldn't read into them too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean the extreme cold is sort of useless without snow...unless you don't want your sled to fall through the ice of course. My exact reason as you mentioned, We need all bodies of water to freeze, Northern part of the state is dealing with that now, Plenty of snow there, And plenty of open water to go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't get the fetish of using ensemble snow maps. They may be the most useless product out there. yup. snow maps in general are weenie fodder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2016 Share Posted December 7, 2016 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: yup. snow maps in general are weenie fodder. Need more SREFS from you! people have to understand what the use is, if they don't get it IDK what to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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