JC-CT Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Why?SE Ridge probably has him running for the real hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 9 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Why? Because it means Rainer after Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Too early to say what tracks are. But, I'd prepare for some cutters. If it doesn't happen, great. If it does, then you were warned. Could be a interesting time if we play our cards right. I do think after mid month or so it will favor colder scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because it means Rainer after Rainer At this stage it'll take it. I'll give it a few weeks before any meaningful snow threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because it means Rainer after Rainer Drought Busters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Could be the dawn awakening for ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Probably get some front ender swfe's out of that. Before ending as rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 47 minutes ago, weathafella said: Missed you here my friend. Our daughter packed the social calendar. Departure home just past midnight-about 10 hours from now. i agree with the optimism. I'm on the epicosity train for winter. After the GC crap winter during your winter two years ago, I shudder at the thought. Meanwhile, I'm guessing the last vestiges of the snow at my house will be gone today with sun and temps into the mid-30's with what appears to be very little to replace it in the next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2016 Author Share Posted November 23, 2016 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That scares me Visions of dumbfounded 12/19/07 dancing in your head? Glad we don't live there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Visions of dumbfounded 12/19/07 dancing in your head? Glad we don't live there.. Visions of Dec 70 dance in my head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2016 Author Share Posted November 23, 2016 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Visions of Dec 70 dance in my head I specifically remember that exact map! Schwoegler likened it to a rope with waves from shaking it running along. Gotta risk cutters to get the goods as Will's post illustrates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Visions of dumbfounded 12/19/07 dancing in your head? Glad we don't live there..Or maybe 12/29/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Could be the dawn awakening for ski areas. Lmfao I love the peeps flipping bc it may not snow much the first half of December. Climo is a b!tch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: I specifically remember that exact map! Schwoegler likened it to a rope with waves from shaking it running along. Gotta risk cutters to get the goods as Will's post illustrates. I'd love a 70/71 winter for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I'd love a 70/71 winter for sure Very similar season to 07/08.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I'd love a 70/71 winter for sure Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Could be the dawn awakening for ski areas. Dusting off the headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I don't fear a SE ridge if there is a bias towards Highs to our north and a lean towards a -NAO. yes it puts some of us on a line, but at least up here that is a line I like to play with. I fear a lack of ridging off the SE coast as it allows storms to pass to our south, and hallucinations of late trends to the n and w that don't appear. Let's take our chances with an active winter and lots of qpf. December could be a more typical December for a change I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Very similar season to 07/08.. Similar in snowfall, but 70-71 was much colder, and generated that snow with less LE, at least in my area. Anything close to either one - outstanding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 4 hours ago, dmillz25 said: At this stage it'll take it. I'll give it a few weeks before any meaningful snow threats Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 38 minutes ago, tamarack said: Similar in snowfall, but 70-71 was much colder, and generated that snow with less LE, at least in my area. Anything close to either one - outstanding! I just meant RE snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Next week may be ugly even in ski country, but after that...boy it may get good there. Here's hoping that extends south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Next week may be ugly even in ski country, but after that...boy it may get good there. Here's hoping that extends south. Yeah next week has had the cutter look for a while now...it hasn't improved, so we're probably dealing with a couple days of crap from that. Pretty big ridge building in the Bering region out in the extended...that's gonna make Canada cold. I hope we can keep a bit of the blocking in NE Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Dont gradient patterns typically have positive nao? I thought the 2007 and 2008 seasons featured a lot of ak/bering sea ridging with confluent flow in the ne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Dont gradient patterns typically have positive nao? I thought the 2007 and 2008 seasons featured a lot of ak/bering sea ridging with confluent flow in the ne? I think it happens a bit more often than not, but it's not a sure thing...the gradient patterns in Dec 1975, Dec 2007, and Dec 2008 did, but the Dec 1970 pattern did not as that one featured a good amount of Greenland blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think it happens a bit more often than not, but it's not a sure thing...the gradient patterns in Dec 1975, Dec 2007, and Dec 2008 did, but the Dec 1970 pattern did not as that one featured a good amount of Greenland blocking. Cool. Id say the eps gefs most closely resembles dec. 1970 compared to the other gradient looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 What a dump of arctic air dropping into central Canada on the GFS in the long range from the source region moving towards NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 It looks like all products have us on the good side of the gradient 2nd week of December onward. Ala 1970. Week 1 was mild but hammersville thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 1 minute ago, weathafella said: It looks like all products have us on the good side of the gradient 2nd week of December onward. Ala 1970. Week 1 was mild but hammersville thereafter. Yeah this block up in NE Canada is getting bullied by the SE ridge. So we're gonna have to wait until that gets beat down a bit after the 5th. At first it looked like the block was gonna remain stout and help us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Meanwhile, some heavy rainers would be a great benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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