CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Looks like 3KM NAM has a juicy bias too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 In all honestly, I saw a few mesos have a low level conv signature at times. I think that's what the 3KM NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: In all honestly, I saw a few mesos have a low level conv signature at times. I think that's what the 3KM NAM shows. Rgem extrapolated would be 1-3 easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Rgem extrapolated would be 1-3 easily LOL. You can't really decipher what the model will do after its last valid time panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. You can't really decipher what the model will do after its last valid time panel Well I looked at snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 18 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Oye Vey. Nobody bothered to fact check this? I have the same issues with ec and yyt. Made a big deal about it on nlwx twitter. They reported 14.2 cm of snow yesterday. What a joke, way overreport. They probably had 6 at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Happy hour GFS trying to make folks happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Happy hour GFS trying to make folks happy Crushing for New England on day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Crushing for New England on day 5 SLP deepens 20mb in 12 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 pants are off for that GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Wow the snow map is epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Total Miller B climo setup on all models sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 that is one hell of a run for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Even tossing the GFS as we are..a December to remember appears to be shaping up. Been a long time coming. Early starter,early ender winters far, far better than ones that start late and end late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Total Miller B climo setup on all models sweet Locked and loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 I'm finally getting a decent heart rate for this December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Two nice shots followed by a rainer on the 16th. I'll take the two shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 3, 2016 Share Posted December 3, 2016 Yes there is a cutter on the 16th, but another coastal storm takes shape off the NC coastline as the run ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Page or more of this recent stuff should really have been entered into the model mayhem thread... But so long as this has obliterated: The atmosphere would have to thread the needle quite "lucky" like to get this stuff to work out the way this 18z run has features through D 6. D 5 in this modeling technology era is just sort of entering the hockey-stick part of the better verification curve, granted, BUT ...big but at that, this is not really a typical 5 days here. There is just a tremendous amount of gradient between southern Canada and deep south - the total of which is exciting static balanced velocities that are anomalously high everywhere over the U.S. That's typically problematic for models, being the first red flag, for timing events just right (proverbial needle threads...). I am not meaning to point fingers; I'm just trying to enter some objective caution here just in case. There is still a baseline negative interference pattern, which shrinks the playing field. The flow is too compressed for S/W to maintain enough mechanic power ejecting out of the west, getting absorbed into the extreme wind speeds (form of shear). Doesn't mean it can't happen - just that it's a parlay to get things to work out just right. For one, the latitude is usually stretched where the S/W impacts the weather most sensibly (narrow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Yeah let's keep the clown range model solutions out of here. Discussing ensembles and teleconnections in the LR is fine but we don't need to know what the OP GFS is showing at day 13. It is 100% irrelevant to this thread. That's what the mode mayhem thread is for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even tossing the GFS as we are..a December to remember appears to be shaping up. Been a long time coming. Early starter,early ender winters far, far better than ones that start late and end late Congrats everyone over the next 8 days on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 30 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Congrats everyone over the next 8 days on the GFS. Except CC. Goosegged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Once Chicago, IL gets snow, so will Cape Cod, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Once Chicago, IL gets snow, so will Cape Cod, MA They're getting 2-4 overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Except CC. Goosegged SNE like it's suppose to. Heavy snow in NW Mass, lighter as you go east and south. Now if only it can play out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Just now, moneypitmike said: SNE like it's suppose to. Heavy snow in NW Mass, lighter as you go east and south. Now if only it can play out that way. I think ORH averages more than your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Yeah I am waiting for a legitimate nor'easter threat, like the one for December 11-13th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 I feel like white Xmas coverage this year may be epic......all the likely spots get in on it and some fringe areas south of the likely ones get it too.....just a hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think ORH averages more than your area I'm glad to know you think that. You're wrong, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 MPM probably averages around 75-80". ORH is 70". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.