North Balti Zen Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Hope usedtobe doesn't mind me highlighting this. Worth a read, of course: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/11/16/yes-la-nina-will-influence-d-c-s-winter-but-the-connection-is-complicated/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 I guess it's best to set one's expectations low and hope to be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 17, 2016 Author Share Posted November 17, 2016 I found the article had more rays of hope, actually, than I have currently, so it put a bit of a spring in my step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 23 minutes ago, J.Mike said: I guess it's best to set one's expectations low and hope to be surprised. That's what we should always do in these parts. Nothing is ever guaranteed. This year seems to be confounding a lot of long-range forecasters because nothing is standing out as a potential primary driver of our weather this winter. Makes sense, too. It'll likely come down to luck in the end, which could easily mean either feast or famine, especially in terms of lat/long/elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 I meant to post it here yesterday and got sidetracked. The article has a mistake in it that I didn't catch the read through. The average snowfall is 15 inches and change instead of 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 Now it feels like winter season is coming. Wes articles on the reg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 1 hour ago, H2O said: Now it feels like winter season is coming. Wes articles on the reg. Except, I don't see any snow for awhile though at least the weeklies look interesting in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 28 minutes ago, usedtobe said: Except, I don't see any snow for awhile though at least the weeklies look interesting in December. Nice article and nice to see you posting again. It's getting close...haha We're going to get teased with fantasy stuff from time to time but totally agree, snow is probably 3+ weeks away at best. Wnwxlvr land may fair a little better in the next 2-3 weeks. I'm sorta expecting him to be posting the first accum snow outside of higher elevations. I was impressed with the weeklies run as well but reliability is pretty low. Last night's euro ens trended colder across the entire conus late in the run. Coming into better agreement with the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 2 hours ago, usedtobe said: Except, I don't see any snow for awhile though at least the weeklies look interesting in December. That's fine. not expecting much yet anyways. I just like reading your articles about patterns and stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 20, 2016 Share Posted November 20, 2016 It doesn't look like I'll be doing regular two week outlooks this year. They weren't popular enough last year to continue doing them regularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 20, 2016 Share Posted November 20, 2016 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: What?? That was my favorite feature--the only real must read thing for me. I even modeled one of our products after your outlooks since they are a great way to communicate pattern shifts and possibilities to the public. I think the plan is I only write one if the pattern looks real exciting and then keep it much shorter than they've been.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 20, 2016 Author Share Posted November 20, 2016 I think the plan is I only write one if the pattern looks real exciting and then keep it much shorter than they've been..That's a crappy plan. God forbid readers read intelligent well supported pieces.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 16 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: That's a crappy plan. God forbid readers read intelligent well supported pieces. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Everything has to be pithy nowadays. Poeple don't want to be "bothered" with reading insightful analysis. Maybe Wes needs a TL;DR column... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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