PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 Time for my 2nd annual Mid-Atlantic snowfall contest! I'd like to get even more people this year playing, so lurkers, new members and even people outside the region are encouraged to play! You are forecasting the total snowfall for the entire season (not just Dec/Jan/Feb) for the four major airports: BWI, DCA, IAD and RIC. Snowfall totals should be rounded to the nearest tenth of an inch. The tiebreaker will be the temperature departure from average (to the nearest tenth of a degree) in January at BWI. Please use the following format when posting your forecast: BWI: DCA: IAD: RIC: Tiebreaker: The winner will be the person who has the lowest combined absolute value departure for all four airports (i.e. the departures will be calculated for each individual airport, the absolute value of each one of those will be taken, then all four totals will be added). The last day for entries is Thurs., Dec. 1. Anything up until 11:59pm that day will be accepted. No extensions will be given, so please have your totals in by then! You are welcome to edit your forecasts as many times as you want until then, but please let me know if you do so I don't miss it! If there is any accumulating snow before the Dec. 1 deadline, please include that in your seasonal forecast as well. If early snow does fall after you post your forecast, you can make an edit (if you want) as long as its on or before Dec. 1. If I'm confused about something you entered I'll ask for clarification- if there's no response by Dec. 1, I'll take my best guess as to what you were forecasting and use that. The winner will be announced sometime in mid/late April. I'll be providing periodic updates as to who is leading throughout the winter when I have time. If you have any questions, feel free to post here or PM me. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 BWI: 22.5 DCA: 17.5 IAD: 25.9 RIC: 10.5 TB: +1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 BWI: 29.4 DCA: 22.8 IAD: 31.2 RIC: 9.8 Tiebreaker: -1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI 18.1 DCA 12.6 IAD 20.3 RIC 6.4 Tie: -0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI: 27.6" DCA: 21.3" IAD: 33.2" RIC: 15.3" Tiebreaker: -3.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI: 20.4" DCA: 16.8" IAD: 26.2" RIC: 7.8" Tiebreaker: -1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Shaw Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI:25.7" DCA:19.8" IAD: 27.4" RIC: 15.6" Tiebreaker: - 2.3°F Kevin Shaw, Gaithersburg MD - I thought I would show (below) the normal annual snowfall amounts for the four airports, based on long-term normals posted in the annual LCD summaries for each of the airports: These are not my predictions. My predictions are shown above. BWI:20.1" DCA:15.4" IAD: 22.0" RIC:10.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI: 31.2 DCA: 19.6 IAD: 29.8 RIC: 12.6 Tiebreaker +0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 6, 2016 Author Share Posted November 6, 2016 BWI: 18.7" DCA: 13.8" IAD: 21.5" RIC: 6.1" Tiebreaker: -1.7 With both my kids having been born during record breaking heatwaves now, the analog for Baby's First Winter is not good in this household either :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 SBY: 36.2 Mic drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Loving the early optimism! BWI: 29.1" DCA: 19.6" IAD: 27.2" RIC: 12.3" Tiebreaker: +2.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 6, 2016 Author Share Posted November 6, 2016 3 hours ago, Lowershoresadness said: SBY: 36.2 Mic drop I wanted to include SBY but their snow totals are not official apparantly. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I wanted to include SBY but their snow totals are not official apparantly. :-( No biggie. Salisbury is official at being unofficial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 BWI: 17.3" DCA: 12.4" IAD: 20.5" RIC: 7.1" Tiebreaker: +1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 BWI: 16.6 DCA: 11.3 IAD: 21.5 RIC: 6.8 TB: +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 BWI: 17.4 DCA: 11.6 IAD: 20.6 RIC: 7.8 Tiebreaker: +1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Big, big winter coming. Huge. Very large. Enormous. Stupendous. Awe-inspiring. But enough about the Lake Huron snowbelt, for this contest ... BWI: 45.0 DCA: 30.5 IAD: 50.8 RIC: 23.5 Jan BWI anom: --3.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 21 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Big, big winter coming. Huge. Very large. Enormous. Stupendous. Awe-inspiring. But enough about the Lake Huron snowbelt, for this contest ... BWI: 45.0 DCA: 30.5 IAD: 50.8 RIC: 23.5 Jan BWI anom: --3.5 Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 52 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Big, big winter coming. Huge. Very large. Enormous. Stupendous. Awe-inspiring. But enough about the Lake Huron snowbelt, for this contest ... BWI: 45.0 DCA: 30.5 IAD: 50.8 RIC: 23.5 Jan BWI anom: --3.5 Did someone just drop a mic??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 7, 2016 Author Share Posted November 7, 2016 Damn, Roger Smith just threw down the gauntlet- anyone gonna out-weenie him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 BWI: 0.1" DCA: 0.1" IAD: 0.1" RIC: 0.1" Tiebreaker: +5.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 38 minutes ago, Mercurial said: BWI: 0.1" DCA: 0.1" IAD: 0.1" RIC: 0.1" Tiebreaker: +5.0 Last place, sewn up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 7, 2016 Author Share Posted November 7, 2016 44 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Last place, sewn up. ...until Eastcoast NPZ calls for a complete shutout lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 I'll bump it up to 0.3 if someone price is right's me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 17 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Last place, sewn up. Roger Smith will probably earn that honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 BWI: 23.8 DCA: 17.3 IAD: 27.5 RIC: 15.8 (southern slider) Tiebreaker: -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 First guess, just to see how much can change in three weeks when I make my final (less wild-arse) guess. I've said before that I think we could go big, and I'm not willing to stick my neck out there until the end of November. BWI: 13.7 DCA: 9.1 IAD: 16.4 RIC: 6.2 Tiebreaker: -0.5 I fully admit that I have absolutely no clue about any of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: BWI: 23.8 DCA: 17.3 IAD: 27.5 RIC: 15.8 (southern slider) Tiebreaker: -1 Damn. You and I got basically the same idea outside the southern slider lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 BWI: 10.9 DCA: 4.1 IAD: 14.7 RIC: 2.2 Tiebreaker: +2.1 I somehow think we all get delayed and then denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 23 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Damn. You and I got basically the same idea outside the southern slider lol Yeah I had to give some rationale for my call of Richmond snowfall being relatively high. Its a law of averages thing. A central NC to SBY snow event has not happened for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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