MikeB_01 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 For what its worth, the RAP has the precip about two hours ahead of the NAM. Shows up maybe a little bit south of the 00z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Agreed, looks like it jogged a bit north, but honestly no big changes. It's just a bit warm. The kuchera map is 2" for southern Allegheny County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Honestly, I like the idea of the models showing a wide swath of 2-4. Maybe it will over perform. Like I said in an earlier post, the Euro had a ton of energy coming down with this little wave. Hopefully it over performs and someone gets 5 out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 RGEM looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 A pretty depressing Wave 1 on the GFS. At least for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Still 3-4 for Agh County. Think again this a nowcasting event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Looks like a 3-6 event for Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, colonel717 said: Looks like a 3-6 event for Tuesday If this continues to show up the USAwx forums will crash and burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2-4" for everybody for Friday on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 EURO for tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I'm really kind of confused about the WWA not being extended further south. Every model has agc at least 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 SREFs a solid 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Looking at radar for this storm, the precip seems way ahead of what the models are depicting. Radar looks snowier than what current 12z NAM is depicting and much earlier. I think ignore models and now cast is the way to go. We are going to get snow. Anywhere from 1-7 inches depending upon your area. Lets hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, colonel717 said: SREFs a solid 3 inches Nice to see the SREF's jump up in amplitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Nice to see the SREF's jump up in amplitude There are a few of the members even hinting wave 2 could make its way up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 The short range models have been showing an area of heavy snow in southern Ohio. That's where our high end potential might come from, although it seems to weaken/stay near the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I'm really kind of confused about the WWA not being extended further south. Every model has agc at least 2-4.NWS doesn't seem to be buying into AGC getting quite that much. My forecast is for 1-2. Local mets are saying 1-3 it seems.Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: NWS doesn't seem to be buying into AGC getting quite that much. My forecast is for 1-2. Local mets are saying 1-3 it seems. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk And it will likely be a mostly grass event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I think this atleast warrants a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I think this atleast warrants a WWA. If the NWS thought we'd get at least 2-4, they'd give us one. Right now, they're saying 1-2 or 1-3, depending on where you're at in the county. If they bump the totals up at all with their next forecast, they'll give us one. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: If the NWS thought we'd get at least 2-4, they'd give us one. Right now, they're saying 1-2 or 1-3, depending on where you're at in the county. If they bump the totals up at all with their next forecast, they'll give us one. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Now if GFS was correct I would say we would need one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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